Sun, Nov 9, 2025·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Carolina Hurricanes 5, Toronto Maple Leafs 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 90% of the time.
87%
TOR winsCAR wins
Carolina Hurricanes
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Sean WalkerD · #26 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26:43 | 0.11 | 84.2% | +13.5 |
 K'Andre MillerD · #19 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 25:33 | 0.09 | 85.4% | +41.3 |
 Sebastian AhoC · #20 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 20:26 | 0.27 | 83.9% | +13.7 |
 Seth JarvisRW · #24 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 19:59 | 0.70 | 83.9% | +15.9 |
 Joel NystromD · #64 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 19:29 | 0.10 | 72.9% | 0.0 |
 Alexander NikishinD · #21 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 19:08 | 0.05 | 58.1% | +15.9 |
 Andrei SvechnikovRW · #37 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 17:30 | 0.59 | 86.7% | +15.9 |
 Jordan MartinookLW · #48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:52 | 0.03 | 52.1% | 0.0 |
 Nikolaj EhlersLW · #27 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 15:59 | 0.24 | 99.4% | +41.3 |
 Jackson BlakeRW · #53 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 15:32 | 0.57 | 93.1% | +32.2 |
 Mike ReillyD · #6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:23 | 0.01 | 83.3% | 0.0 |
 Jordan StaalC · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:04 | 0.12 | 58.1% | 0.0 |
 Logan StankovenC · #22 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 14:14 | 0.23 | 94.1% | +59.8 |
 Taylor HallLW · #71 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 12:59 | 1.38 | 75.4% | +32.2 |
 William CarrierLW · #28 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 12:25 | 0.43 | 61.9% | +13.5 |
 Jesperi KotkaniemiC · #82 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 9:51 | 0.21 | 75.7% | 0.0 |
 Eric RobinsonLW · #50 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:25 | 0.00 | 76.8% | 0.0 |
 Charles Alexis LegaultD · #62 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:15 | 0.00 | 53.6% | 0.0 |
 Brandon Bussi#32 | W | 20 | 16 | 4 | .800 | 2.11 | −1.9 | 60:00 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Jake McCabeD · #22 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 23:22 | 0.01 | 15.1% | +13.7 |
 Auston MatthewsC · #34 | 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 4 | 22:04 | 0.52 | 33.5% | +32.6 |
 William NylanderRW · #88 | 2 | 0 | 2 | −2 | 3 | 21:19 | 0.47 | 24.5% | +32.0 |
 Matthew KniesLW · #23 | 0 | 2 | 2 | −2 | 1 | 21:04 | 0.05 | 24.1% | +26.9 |
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 20:31 | 0.01 | 16.2% | +13.2 |
 Brandon CarloD · #25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 19:54 | 0.00 | 27.3% | 0.0 |
 John TavaresC · #91 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 18:31 | 0.77 | 59.7% | +34.8 |
 Simon BenoitD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:56 | 0.02 | 44.2% | 0.0 |
 Nicolas RoyC · #55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:16 | 0.00 | 5.4% | 0.0 |
 Oliver Ekman-LarssonD · #95 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:12 | 0.00 | 10.1% | 0.0 |
 Philippe MyersD · #51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:08 | 0.02 | 23.8% | 0.0 |
 Bobby McMannC · #74 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 14:51 | 0.00 | 47.7% | +16.0 |
 Nick RobertsonLW · #89 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:33 | 0.07 | 45.7% | +16.0 |
 Matias MaccelliLW · #63 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:30 | 0.00 | 12.0% | 0.0 |
 Dakota JoshuaC · #81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:13 | 0.00 | 9.5% | 0.0 |
 Calle JarnkrokC · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:37 | 0.07 | 4.5% | 0.0 |
 Max DomiC · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:30 | 0.00 | 7.8% | 0.0 |
 Sammy BlaisLW · #79 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:25 | 0.08 | 9.5% | 0.0 |
 Dennis Hildeby#35 | L | 47 | 42 | 5 | .894 | 5.15 | +0.1 | 58:30 |