Tue, Nov 11, 2025·Lenovo Center, Raleigh
Washington Capitals 4, Carolina Hurricanes 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 60% of the time.
53%
8%
31%
CAR winsWSH wins
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25:15 | 0.01 | 53.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 22:51 | 0.16 | 51.6% | +30.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22:02 | 0.39 | 31.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 5 | 19:09 | 0.38 | 48.0% | +14.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 19:09 | 0.00 | 9.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 18:06 | 0.19 | 29.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:27 | 0.08 | 42.9% | +15.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 17:11 | 0.11 | 57.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:40 | 0.10 | 53.1% | +15.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:33 | 0.02 | 31.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:12 | 0.16 | 50.9% | +15.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 14:53 | 0.18 | 48.1% | +0.3 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 14:48 | 0.46 | 54.6% | +15.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:02 | 0.01 | 29.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 12:37 | 0.00 | 42.8% | +15.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 5 | 9:19 | 0.69 | 46.9% | +14.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 7:18 | 0.00 | 48.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 6:28 | 0.13 | 52.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 31 | 30 | 1 | .968 | 3.76 | +2.8 | 60:00 |
Carolina Hurricanes
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 23:02 | 0.17 | 58.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 21:24 | 0.04 | 53.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20:43 | 0.30 | 57.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 20:00 | 0.00 | 65.7% | +16.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 17:57 | 0.21 | 45.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17:22 | 0.69 | 62.8% | +16.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 17:21 | 0.40 | 50.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:00 | 0.16 | 55.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:02 | 0.26 | 52.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 15:33 | 0.20 | 52.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 5 | 15:12 | 0.72 | 48.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:48 | 0.00 | 35.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:11 | 0.00 | 55.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 14:09 | 0.36 | 59.6% | +16.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:07 | 0.18 | 66.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:58 | 0.00 | 57.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:29 | 0.07 | 55.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:41 | 0.00 | 64.1% | 0.0 |
| L | 27 | 24 | 3 | .889 | 2.75 | −0.3 | 54:50 | |
| – | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0.00 | 0.0 | 3:36 |