Tue, Nov 11, 2025·Lenovo Center, Raleigh
Washington Capitals 4, Carolina Hurricanes 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 60% of the time.
53%
8%
31%
CAR winsWSH wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
CAR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against WSH's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Wilson–McMichael–Protas | Dowd–Duhaime–Frank | Ovechkin–Strome–Beauvillier | Sourdif–Lapierre–Leonard | Dowd–Duhaime–Protas | Roy–Chychrun | Roy–Fehérváry | Sandin–Chisholm | Carlson–Fehérváry | Carlson–Sandin | Chychrun–Chisholm | Roy–Chisholm | Fehérváry–Chisholm | Roy–Sandin | Carlson–Roy | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Staal–Martinook–Carrier | 6:440.53–0.23 | 1:530.22–0.09 | 1:490.30–0.00 | 1:060.00–0.13 | 1:030.01–0.00 | 1:140.00–0.02 | 0:450.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Hall–Robinson–Kotkaniemi | 1:070.00–0.00 | 3:460.16–0.05 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:570.00–0.00 | 1:540.00–0.03 | 1:490.00–0.15 | 1:310.16–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Ehlers–Stankoven–Blake | 0:530.00–0.00 | 1:590.01–0.00 | 0:340.08–0.00 | 2:130.46–0.37 | 1:400.04–0.22 | 2:070.01–0.00 | 0:300.08–0.00 | 0:390.09–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:300.40–0.15 | |||||
| Aho–Svechnikov–Jarvis | 0:550.03–0.00 | 3:450.28–0.22 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 1:290.05–0.07 | 1:430.10–0.00 | 1:170.06–0.15 | 0:310.05–0.00 | ||||||||
| Aho–Svechnikov–Blake | 0:410.00–0.09 | 0:320.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Hall–Aho–Jarvis | 0:480.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| Svechnikov–Stankoven–Blake | 0:370.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| Walker–Miller | 4:570.04–0.12 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 2:580.26–0.22 | 0:410.04–0.14 | 1:490.04–0.14 | 2:140.24–0.00 | 3:090.21–0.00 | 0:570.00–0.25 | 0:520.01–0.00 | 1:000.07–0.09 | 0:510.00–0.00 | 0:450.07–0.00 | |||
| Gostisbehere–Nikishin | 4:230.49–0.12 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 2:110.11–0.07 | 1:360.40–0.25 | 2:390.22–0.10 | 1:490.00–0.08 | 0:450.34–0.00 | 2:020.06–0.04 | 1:300.39–0.15 | 0:330.00–0.00 | |||||
| Reilly–Nystrom | 4:250.16–0.05 | 1:580.09–0.09 | 1:450.00–0.12 | 1:080.00–0.01 | 1:410.25–0.00 | 1:020.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Nikishin–Nystrom | 0:480.00–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Reilly–Miller | 0:480.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| Gostisbehere–Nystrom |
Every shift, one row per player.
CARWSHFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Matt RoyWSH | 25 | 25:15 | 1:01 | 2:24 | 1 | 3 |
 Sean WalkerCAR | 30 | 23:02 | 0:46 | 1:40 | 2 | 4 |
 John CarlsonWSH | 25 | 22:51 | 0:55 | 1:50 | 3 | 9 |
 Tom WilsonWSH | 32 | 22:02 | 0:41 | 1:36 | 3 | 7 |
 K'Andre MillerCAR | 27 | 21:24 | 0:48 | 1:30 | 2 | 3 |
 Alexander NikishinCAR | 25 | 20:43 | 0:50 | 1:48 | 1 | 2 |
 Shayne GostisbehereCAR | 23 | 20:00 | 0:52 | 1:46 | 6 | 0 |
 Jakob ChychrunWSH | 23 | 19:09 | 0:50 | 1:40 | 3 | 1 |
 Rasmus SandinWSH | 24 | 19:09 | 0:48 | 1:44 | 0 | 5 |
 Connor McMichaelWSH | 29 | 18:06 | 0:37 | 1:22 | 0 | 7 |
 Sebastian AhoCAR | 23 | 17:57 | 0:47 | 1:49 | 3 | 4 |
 Nic DowdWSH | 24 | 17:27 | 0:44 | 1:36 | 0 | 5 |
 Jackson BlakeCAR | 18 | 17:22 | 0:58 | 1:46 | 1 | 0 |
 Seth JarvisCAR | 20 | 17:21 | 0:52 | 2:42 | 4 | 4 |
 Martin FehérváryWSH | 21 | 17:11 | 0:49 | 1:48 | 1 | 4 |
 Taylor HallCAR | 18 | 17:00 | 0:57 | 1:48 | 1 | 0 |
 Brandon DuhaimeWSH | 24 | 16:40 | 0:42 | 1:09 | 0 | 6 |
 Aliaksei ProtasWSH | 29 | 16:33 | 0:34 | 1:09 | 1 | 8 |
 Dylan StromeWSH | 20 | 16:12 | 0:49 | 1:52 | 8 | 1 |
 Jordan MartinookCAR | 23 | 16:02 | 0:42 | 1:10 | 6 | 3 |
 Jordan StaalCAR | 23 | 15:33 | 0:41 | 1:12 | 6 | 3 |
 Andrei SvechnikovCAR | 21 | 15:12 | 0:43 | 2:21 | 4 | 2 |
 Anthony BeauvillierWSH | 19 | 14:53 | 0:47 | 1:28 | 4 | 1 |
 Joel NystromCAR | 22 | 14:48 | 0:40 | 1:26 | 4 | 3 |
 Alex OvechkinWSH | 22 | 14:48 | 0:40 | 1:53 | 8 | 0 |
 Eric RobinsonCAR | 16 | 14:11 | 0:53 | 1:26 | 1 | 0 |
 Nikolaj EhlersCAR | 17 | 14:09 | 0:50 | 2:01 | 5 | 0 |
 Logan StankovenCAR | 17 | 14:07 | 0:50 | 1:34 | 1 | 1 |
 Declan ChisholmWSH | 19 | 14:02 | 0:44 | 1:27 | 1 | 2 |
 Mike ReillyCAR | 21 | 13:58 | 0:40 | 1:26 | 3 | 2 |
 Ethen FrankWSH | 18 | 12:37 | 0:42 | 1:20 | 0 | 5 |
 Jesperi KotkaniemiCAR | 13 | 10:29 | 0:48 | 1:11 | 2 | 0 |
 William CarrierCAR | 16 | 9:41 | 0:36 | 0:55 | 6 | 0 |
 Ryan LeonardWSH | 14 | 9:19 | 0:40 | 1:31 | 1 | 0 |
 Justin SourdifWSH | 11 | 7:18 | 0:40 | 1:04 | 0 | 0 |
 Hendrix LapierreWSH | 10 | 6:28 | 0:39 | 0:59 | 0 | 0 |