Mon, Nov 17, 2025·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Edmonton Oilers 1, Buffalo Sabres 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 79% of the time.
72%
15%
BUF winsEDM wins
Edmonton Oilers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 24:16 | 0.23 | 35.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 23:35 | 0.05 | 25.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23:07 | 0.31 | 38.7% | +22.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 22:35 | 0.09 | 24.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 22:06 | 0.29 | 25.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 5 | 22:03 | 0.03 | 28.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 19:38 | 0.02 | 34.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:16 | 0.03 | 50.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 17:51 | 0.09 | 35.6% | +22.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:49 | 0.31 | 29.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:41 | 0.04 | 25.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 13:33 | 0.09 | 35.9% | +22.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:23 | 0.11 | 48.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:24 | 0.33 | 63.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:09 | 0.03 | 44.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 9:03 | 0.11 | 47.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:35 | 0.00 | 46.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 6:23 | 0.00 | 24.4% | 0.0 |
| L | 27 | 23 | 4 | .852 | 3.68 | −0.3 | 58:06 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 25:36 | 0.02 | 71.9% | +13.8 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 24:02 | 0.09 | 65.2% | +31.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 20:40 | 0.08 | 74.9% | +24.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 19:09 | 0.01 | 73.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 18:52 | 0.76 | 83.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 18:29 | 0.66 | 84.4% | +0.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:51 | 0.11 | 78.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:54 | 0.05 | 44.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:48 | 0.27 | 60.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:35 | 0.33 | 66.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:30 | 0.33 | 66.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:50 | 0.15 | 60.3% | +24.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14:52 | 0.22 | 72.2% | +17.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 12:29 | 0.34 | 61.9% | +24.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:19 | 0.00 | 47.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 11:10 | 0.24 | 40.1% | +13.8 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 10:42 | 0.32 | 44.2% | +21.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 9:12 | 0.00 | 41.6% | +3.8 |
| W | 33 | 32 | 1 | .970 | 2.15 | +1.2 | 60:00 |