Mon, Nov 17, 2025·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Edmonton Oilers 1, Buffalo Sabres 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 79% of the time.
72%
15%
BUF winsEDM wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against EDM's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Hyman–Draisaitl–McDavid | Henrique–Mangiapane–Frederic | Draisaitl–Roslovic–Podkolzin | Hyman–McDavid–Savoie | Janmark–Lazar–Philp | Roslovic–Podkolzin–Savoie | Henrique–Roslovic–Savoie | Janmark–Mangiapane–Frederic | Janmark–Lazar–Frederic | Ekholm–Bouchard | Nurse–Walman | Kulak–Regula | Kulak–Nurse | Ekholm–Kulak | Ekholm–Regula | Walman–Bouchard | Ekholm–Nurse | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tuch–Thompson–Doan | 1:330.00–0.00 | 0:490.13–0.00 | 3:580.14–0.01 | 1:300.08–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 1:090.00–0.14 | 1:180.00–0.02 | 4:060.11–0.01 | 4:130.52–0.10 | 1:040.16–0.00 | 1:550.13–0.00 | 0:520.00–0.10 | |||||
| McLeod–Quinn–Rosen | 1:360.06–0.03 | 4:230.00–0.11 | 0:340.00–0.13 | 1:280.33–0.03 | 0:400.18–0.00 | 3:260.35–0.15 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 3:530.18–0.13 | 1:290.00–0.05 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 0:360.06–0.00 | ||||||
| Greenway–Krebs–Kozak | 4:110.03–0.16 | 3:260.48–0.17 | 1:060.00–0.11 | 5:090.15–0.05 | 4:130.48–0.41 | 0:320.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Malenstyn–Dunne–Ostlund | 0:310.00–0.02 | 1:360.00–0.00 | 2:540.25–0.00 | 1:000.00–0.42 | 0:400.00–0.02 | 2:350.26–0.09 | 3:290.05–0.42 | ||||||||||
| Thompson–Quinn–Doan | 0:320.09–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||||
| Greenway–Malenstyn–Kozak | 1:010.00–0.00 | 1:030.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||||
| Samuelsson–Dahlin | 6:400.07–0.19 | 2:540.16–0.01 | 2:480.34–0.17 | 2:160.25–0.00 | 1:290.22–0.10 | 0:450.00–0.02 | 9:570.56–0.07 | 4:440.48–0.33 | 1:240.11–0.00 | 0:490.00–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 1:070.00–0.10 | |||||
| Timmins–Byram | 3:380.06–0.03 | 2:310.05–0.01 | 2:210.31–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 1:020.00–0.15 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 4:060.02–0.06 | 4:550.60–0.18 | 2:110.16–0.00 | 1:050.00–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 0:390.06–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.01 | ||||
| Bryson–Power | 6:030.13–0.02 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 1:110.00–0.03 | 1:160.18–0.00 | 1:000.00–0.42 | 1:090.00–0.00 | 2:070.06–0.00 | 5:460.18–0.42 | 2:120.13–0.05 | ||||||||
| Byram–Power | 0:370.00–0.09 | 1:220.13–0.00 | |||||||||||||||
| Samuelsson–Byram | 0:400.18–0.06 | 0:410.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||||
| Timmins–Samuelsson | 0:300.22–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
BUFEDMFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Mattias SamuelssonBUF | 26 | 25:36 | 0:59 | 2:02 | 3 | 3 |
 Evan BouchardEDM | 24 | 24:16 | 1:01 | 2:56 | 6 | 2 |
 Rasmus DahlinBUF | 27 | 24:02 | 0:53 | 2:04 | 2 | 4 |
 Connor McDavidEDM | 22 | 23:35 | 1:04 | 3:20 | 5 | 0 |
 Leon DraisaitlEDM | 21 | 23:07 | 1:06 | 1:54 | 5 | 2 |
 Mattias EkholmEDM | 25 | 22:35 | 0:54 | 1:31 | 5 | 2 |
 Zach HymanEDM | 22 | 22:06 | 1:00 | 1:54 | 6 | 0 |
 Darnell NurseEDM | 26 | 22:03 | 0:51 | 1:30 | 3 | 1 |
 Bowen ByramBUF | 25 | 20:40 | 0:50 | 1:27 | 1 | 6 |
 Jake WalmanEDM | 27 | 19:38 | 0:44 | 1:54 | 3 | 3 |
 Conor TimminsBUF | 22 | 19:09 | 0:52 | 1:55 | 0 | 6 |
 Alex TuchBUF | 25 | 18:52 | 0:45 | 1:17 | 6 | 7 |
 Tage ThompsonBUF | 22 | 18:29 | 0:50 | 2:02 | 3 | 8 |
 Brett KulakEDM | 21 | 18:16 | 0:52 | 1:37 | 4 | 2 |
 Josh DoanBUF | 23 | 17:51 | 0:47 | 1:25 | 3 | 6 |
 Jack RoslovicEDM | 16 | 17:51 | 1:07 | 1:54 | 4 | 3 |
 Owen PowerBUF | 20 | 16:54 | 0:51 | 1:23 | 3 | 3 |
 Jordan GreenwayBUF | 24 | 16:48 | 0:42 | 1:04 | 2 | 4 |
 Ryan McLeodBUF | 24 | 16:35 | 0:41 | 1:23 | 1 | 4 |
 Jack QuinnBUF | 21 | 16:30 | 0:47 | 1:23 | 2 | 2 |
 Tyson KozakBUF | 23 | 15:50 | 0:41 | 1:09 | 2 | 6 |
 Matt SavoieEDM | 18 | 15:49 | 0:53 | 1:27 | 4 | 1 |
 Isak RosenBUF | 21 | 14:52 | 0:42 | 1:06 | 2 | 2 |
 Vasily PodkolzinEDM | 15 | 14:41 | 0:59 | 1:53 | 2 | 1 |
 Andrew MangiapaneEDM | 17 | 13:33 | 0:48 | 1:27 | 5 | 1 |
 Adam HenriqueEDM | 19 | 13:23 | 0:42 | 1:13 | 5 | 2 |
 Peyton KrebsBUF | 18 | 12:29 | 0:42 | 1:08 | 2 | 4 |
 Trent FredericEDM | 16 | 12:24 | 0:47 | 1:05 | 4 | 1 |
 Jacob BrysonBUF | 17 | 12:19 | 0:43 | 1:01 | 2 | 3 |
 Alec RegulaEDM | 14 | 12:09 | 0:52 | 1:59 | 3 | 0 |
 Beck MalenstynBUF | 18 | 11:10 | 0:37 | 1:00 | 1 | 3 |
 Noah OstlundBUF | 17 | 10:42 | 0:38 | 1:01 | 4 | 2 |
 Josh DunneBUF | 15 | 9:12 | 0:37 | 1:00 | 2 | 3 |
 Curtis LazarEDM | 15 | 9:03 | 0:36 | 1:00 | 2 | 3 |
 Mattias JanmarkEDM | 13 | 8:35 | 0:40 | 1:14 | 3 | 0 |
 Noah PhilpEDM | 11 | 6:23 | 0:35 | 1:01 | 1 | 2 |