Sat, Nov 29, 2025·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Toronto Maple Leafs 7, Pittsburgh Penguins 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 69% of the time.
62%
24%
PIT winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Troy StecherD · #28 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 0 | 23:52 | 0.00 | 49.0% | +9.2 |
 Jake McCabeD · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 21:36 | 0.00 | 48.1% | 0.0 |
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 0 | 21:10 | 0.01 | 38.6% | +30.7 |
 Matthew KniesLW · #23 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20:17 | 0.40 | 41.0% | +16.6 |
 Auston MatthewsC · #34 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 19:47 | 0.38 | 44.0% | +16.6 |
 John TavaresC · #91 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 19:34 | 0.52 | 27.7% | 0.0 |
 William NylanderRW · #88 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 19:17 | 0.05 | 28.5% | +15.5 |
 Easton CowanRW · #53 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 18:44 | 0.14 | 40.7% | +15.5 |
 Philippe MyersD · #51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:52 | 0.02 | 10.8% | 0.0 |
 Nicolas RoyC · #55 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 15:28 | 0.22 | 34.9% | +12.7 |
 Max DomiC · #11 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15:14 | 0.00 | 36.8% | +5.0 |
 Dakota MermisD · #36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:10 | 0.00 | 11.4% | 0.0 |
 Oliver Ekman-LarssonD · #95 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 13:56 | 0.24 | 53.2% | +30.3 |
 Dakota JoshuaC · #81 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 12:51 | 0.25 | 44.4% | +9.2 |
 Bobby McMannC · #74 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 11:50 | 0.22 | 47.1% | +18.7 |
 Scott LaughtonC · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 10:47 | 0.00 | 29.1% | 0.0 |
 Steven LorentzC · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 10:40 | 0.00 | 29.9% | 0.0 |
 Nick RobertsonLW · #89 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 10:02 | 0.19 | 28.7% | +0.1 |
 Dennis Hildeby#35 | W | 35 | 33 | 2 | .943 | 3.79 | +1.8 | 59:45 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Kris LetangD · #58 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 22:44 | 0.20 | 76.0% | 0.0 |
 Erik KarlssonD · #65 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 22:06 | 0.07 | 67.8% | 0.0 |
 Parker WotherspoonD · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 20:24 | 0.10 | 65.5% | 0.0 |
 Ryan SheaD · #5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:19 | 0.03 | 84.7% | 0.0 |
 Bryan RustRW · #17 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 18:54 | 0.82 | 59.3% | +15.2 |
 Sidney CrosbyC · #87 | 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 4 | 15:54 | 0.31 | 68.2% | +17.0 |
 Blake LizotteC · #46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 15:25 | 0.32 | 41.4% | 0.0 |
 Ryan GravesD · #27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 15:20 | 0.08 | 37.0% | 0.0 |
 Kevin HayesRW · #13 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 15:18 | 0.27 | 70.4% | +1.8 |
 Mathew DumbaD · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:17 | 0.01 | 45.7% | 0.0 |
 Ben KindelC · #81 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 15:08 | 0.44 | 77.7% | +15.2 |
 Evgeni MalkinC · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 6 | 15:07 | 0.39 | 59.7% | 0.0 |
 Danton HeinenLW · #43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:45 | 0.26 | 74.1% | 0.0 |
 Tommy NovakC · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 13:54 | 0.23 | 69.7% | 0.0 |
 Anthony ManthaRW · #39 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:50 | 0.17 | 84.2% | 0.0 |
 Joona KoppanenLW · #15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:28 | 0.00 | 27.7% | 0.0 |
 Ville KoivunenRW · #41 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:27 | 0.06 | 78.8% | 0.0 |
 Connor DewarC · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:03 | 0.04 | 31.4% | 0.0 |
 Tristan Jarry#35 | – | 13 | 10 | 3 | .769 | 1.49 | −1.5 | 35:07 |
 Arturs Silovs#37 | L | 10 | 6 | 4 | .600 | 1.15 | −2.9 | 24:37 |