Sat, Nov 29, 2025·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Toronto Maple Leafs 7, Pittsburgh Penguins 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 69% of the time.
62%
24%
PIT winsTOR wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
PIT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Tavares–Nylander–Cowan | Domi–Matthews–Knies | Joshua–Roy–McMann | Laughton–Lorentz–Robertson | Roy–Lorentz–Robertson | McCabe–Stecher | Ekman-Larsson–Rielly | Mermis–Myers | Rielly–Myers | Rielly–Mermis | Mermis–Stecher | McCabe–Myers | Rielly–Stecher | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malkin–Mantha–Novak | 2:360.29–0.00 | 1:320.00–0.00 | 3:190.24–0.10 | 1:420.09–0.00 | 2:420.10–0.00 | 3:250.14–0.07 | 2:180.14–0.00 | 0:380.17–0.00 | |||||
| Koppanen–Dewar–Lizotte | 2:090.00–0.00 | 3:380.25–0.40 | 1:200.00–0.13 | 1:020.00–0.00 | 4:310.07–0.35 | 1:340.15–0.00 | 1:010.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Crosby–Hayes–Rust | 1:500.02–0.15 | 4:460.71–0.14 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 2:350.05–0.00 | 2:160.13–0.34 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 0:390.08–0.00 | 0:590.02–0.00 | |||||
| Heinen–Koivunen–Kindel | 1:050.07–0.02 | 1:180.12–0.00 | 1:430.00–0.01 | 1:160.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 1:240.07–0.00 | 1:250.30–0.01 | 0:320.00–0.00 | |||||
| Hayes–Koivunen–Kindel | 1:140.05–0.00 | 0:390.07–0.00 | 1:140.25–0.00 | 1:470.18–0.00 | 0:470.05–0.00 | 0:540.14–0.00 | |||||||
| Crosby–Rust–Heinen | 1:570.10–0.00 | 0:470.09–0.00 | 1:060.05–0.00 | 2:380.20–0.00 | 1:100.03–0.00 | ||||||||
| Letang–Shea | 4:200.25–0.00 | 3:400.24–0.00 | 2:460.18–0.17 | 1:420.06–0.01 | 5:180.25–0.13 | 2:230.18–0.00 | 3:070.12–0.00 | 1:530.19–0.05 | 0:380.00–0.00 | ||||
| Karlsson–Wotherspoon | 3:120.19–0.15 | 5:230.64–0.21 | 1:480.12–0.00 | 1:120.11–0.00 | 0:350.18–0.00 | 4:350.27–0.04 | 3:480.00–0.34 | 1:440.18–0.07 | 0:410.12–0.00 | 0:450.18–0.00 | 0:520.00–0.00 | 0:350.56–0.18 | |
| Dumba–Graves | 2:460.12–0.07 | 1:340.03–0.21 | 3:200.05–0.25 | 3:380.22–0.19 | 5:150.08–0.40 | 1:310.01–0.07 | 3:250.28–0.04 | 2:070.10–0.00 | |||||
| Wotherspoon–Shea | 1:140.03–0.00 | 0:500.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Letang–Karlsson | |||||||||||||
| Letang–Dumba |
Every shift, one row per player.
PITTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Troy StecherTOR | 33 | 23:52 | 0:43 | 1:55 | 0 | 8 |
 Kris LetangPIT | 23 | 22:44 | 0:59 | 1:47 | 5 | 2 |
 Erik KarlssonPIT | 24 | 22:06 | 0:55 | 1:34 | 6 | 4 |
 Jake McCabeTOR | 30 | 21:36 | 0:43 | 1:50 | 0 | 5 |
 Morgan RiellyTOR | 36 | 21:10 | 0:35 | 1:27 | 0 | 4 |
 Parker WotherspoonPIT | 21 | 20:24 | 0:58 | 1:48 | 3 | 2 |
 Ryan SheaPIT | 22 | 20:19 | 0:55 | 1:47 | 1 | 3 |
 Matthew KniesTOR | 21 | 20:17 | 0:58 | 1:48 | 5 | 2 |
 Auston MatthewsTOR | 22 | 19:47 | 0:54 | 2:01 | 4 | 3 |
 John TavaresTOR | 22 | 19:34 | 0:53 | 2:21 | 5 | 3 |
 William NylanderTOR | 21 | 19:17 | 0:55 | 2:17 | 5 | 3 |
 Bryan RustPIT | 21 | 18:54 | 0:54 | 3:00 | 6 | 3 |
 Easton CowanTOR | 20 | 18:44 | 0:56 | 2:10 | 6 | 3 |
 Sidney CrosbyPIT | 21 | 15:54 | 0:45 | 1:08 | 7 | 2 |
 Philippe MyersTOR | 22 | 15:52 | 0:43 | 2:03 | 2 | 1 |
 Nicolas RoyTOR | 22 | 15:28 | 0:42 | 1:35 | 0 | 3 |
 Blake LizottePIT | 23 | 15:25 | 0:40 | 1:12 | 0 | 9 |
 Ryan GravesPIT | 18 | 15:20 | 0:51 | 1:21 | 1 | 2 |
 Kevin HayesPIT | 19 | 15:18 | 0:48 | 1:16 | 4 | 2 |
 Mathew DumbaPIT | 17 | 15:17 | 0:54 | 1:35 | 0 | 2 |
 Max DomiTOR | 20 | 15:14 | 0:46 | 2:03 | 3 | 2 |
 Dakota MermisTOR | 19 | 15:10 | 0:48 | 1:59 | 1 | 0 |
 Ben KindelPIT | 17 | 15:08 | 0:53 | 1:46 | 5 | 1 |
 Evgeni MalkinPIT | 17 | 15:07 | 0:53 | 1:24 | 3 | 0 |
 Danton HeinenPIT | 18 | 14:45 | 0:49 | 1:25 | 4 | 2 |
 Oliver Ekman-LarssonTOR | 22 | 13:56 | 0:38 | 1:28 | 1 | 2 |
 Tommy NovakPIT | 16 | 13:54 | 0:52 | 1:20 | 3 | 0 |
 Anthony ManthaPIT | 17 | 13:50 | 0:49 | 1:14 | 3 | 0 |
 Joona KoppanenPIT | 20 | 13:28 | 0:40 | 1:12 | 1 | 3 |
 Ville KoivunenPIT | 16 | 13:27 | 0:50 | 1:27 | 5 | 0 |
 Connor DewarPIT | 19 | 13:03 | 0:41 | 1:15 | 0 | 4 |
 Dakota JoshuaTOR | 18 | 12:51 | 0:43 | 1:19 | 0 | 2 |
 Bobby McMannTOR | 20 | 11:50 | 0:36 | 1:05 | 0 | 2 |
 Scott LaughtonTOR | 19 | 10:47 | 0:34 | 1:13 | 0 | 7 |
 Steven LorentzTOR | 17 | 10:40 | 0:38 | 1:27 | 0 | 5 |
 Nick RobertsonTOR | 12 | 10:02 | 0:50 | 1:39 | 0 | 1 |