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Ice Lab

Thu, Dec 4, 2025·Benchmark International Arena, Tampa

Pittsburgh Penguins 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 75% of the time.

TBL winsPIT wins

Pittsburgh Penguins

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Erik KarlssonD · #65011−1625:290.13–+7.7
Bryan RustRW · #17000−1221:370.58–0.0
Sidney CrosbyC · #87000−1121:300.06–0.0
Ryan SheaD · #5000+1020:050.03–0.0
Kris LetangD · #580110320:030.07–+14.7
Parker WotherspoonD · #280000320:010.20–0.0
Ben KindelC · #81101−1517:500.44–+7.7
Blake LizotteC · #460000016:070.09–0.0
Kevin HayesRW · #13000−1314:580.30–0.0
Evgeni MalkinC · #71213+2314:580.27–+58.6
Ryan GravesD · #270000014:400.03–0.0
Connor CliftonD · #750000014:160.00–0.0
Connor DewarC · #190000113:430.08–0.0
Rutger McGroartyRW · #2000−1113:010.03–0.0
Ville KoivunenRW · #41101−1212:480.20–+14.7
Anthony ManthaRW · #39011+2111:400.29–+35.2
Tommy NovakC · #18022+2011:210.00–+49.8
Bokondji ImamaLW · #14000005:380.00–0.0
Tristan Jarry#35W40373.9254.55+1.660:00

Tampa Bay Lightning

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Darren RaddyshD · #43022+1227:490.20–+23.6
Jake GuentzelC · #590110326:080.38–+7.2
Nikita KucherovRW · #86112−11025:281.11–+23.6
J.J. MoserD · #90000+1123:030.02–0.0
Charle-Edouard D'AstousD · #51000−1119:310.30–0.0
Emil LillebergD · #78000−1018:060.11–0.0
Anthony CirelliC · #71000−1117:400.18–0.0
Nick PaulLW · #20011+1117:240.28–+26.9
Oliver BjorkstrandRW · #220000217:240.41–0.0
Brandon HagelLW · #382020717:090.83–+43.3
Yanni GourdeC · #370000216:220.13–0.0
Zemgus GirgensonsC · #280000215:380.13–0.0
Pontus HolmbergRW · #290000313:410.25–0.0
Declan CarlileD · #670000110:570.05–0.0
Max CrozierD · #240000210:120.09–0.0
Dominic JamesC · #17000019:020.09–0.0
Gage GoncalvesC · #93011+108:160.00–+26.9
Curtis DouglasC · #42000012:330.01–0.0
Jonas Johansson#31L31274.8712.81−1.257:48

Shift data for this game is incomplete, so on-ice figures are not shown.