Thu, Dec 4, 2025·Benchmark International Arena, Tampa
Pittsburgh Penguins 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 75% of the time.
69%
19%
TBL winsPIT wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
Shift data for this game has gaps, so treat the charts as approximate.
TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against PIT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Crosby–Hayes–Rust | Malkin–Mantha–Novak | Koivunen–McGroarty–Kindel | Imama–Dewar–Lizotte | Crosby–Koivunen–McGroarty | Clifton–Graves | Karlsson–Wotherspoon | Letang–Shea | Wotherspoon–Shea | Letang–Karlsson | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gourde–Girgensons–Holmberg | 7:460.10–0.62 | 1:470.01–0.00 | 4:430.01–0.00 | 4:540.13–0.53 | 0:490.00–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.21 | ||||
| Kucherov–Cirelli–Hagel | 3:540.51–0.27 | 1:240.12–0.00 | 2:350.40–0.28 | |||||||
| Kucherov–Guentzel–Cirelli | 0:560.06–0.02 | 1:200.00–0.12 | 0:450.00–0.07 | 0:310.00–0.04 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.00 | 2:330.06–0.16 | 0:400.11–0.00 | ||
| Guentzel–Bjorkstrand–Paul | 2:550.01–0.02 | 1:360.00–0.02 | 0:340.01–0.00 | 0:490.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Bjorkstrand–Paul–James | 0:510.00–0.00 | 0:440.01–0.00 | 0:510.00–0.00 | 0:440.01–0.00 | ||||||
| Paul–Hagel–Goncalves | 0:530.22–0.02 | 0:520.22–0.03 | ||||||||
| Guentzel–Goncalves–James | 0:510.06–0.02 | 0:510.06–0.02 | ||||||||
| Bjorkstrand–Paul–Douglas | 0:430.05–0.00 | 1:060.06–0.00 | ||||||||
| Douglas–Goncalves–James | 0:460.00–0.08 | 0:490.00–0.17 | ||||||||
| Raddysh–Moser | 7:180.33–0.38 | 1:250.00–0.02 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.04 | 3:500.19–0.00 | 4:150.10–0.26 | 2:460.06–0.24 | 1:130.00–0.21 | ||
| D'Astous–Lilleberg | 0:490.00–0.27 | 3:460.37–0.38 | 0:520.22–0.00 | 1:150.03–0.08 | 0:520.00–0.00 | 1:330.00–0.00 | 3:290.22–0.35 | 2:210.39–0.27 | 0:350.03–0.12 | |
| Crozier–Carlile | 2:570.01–0.02 | 1:300.05–0.00 | 2:380.05–0.11 | 0:560.01–0.09 | 1:450.03–0.00 | 1:340.09–0.01 | ||||
| Moser–Lilleberg | 0:420.00–0.00 | 1:140.01–0.00 | 2:370.01–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.03 | ||||||
| D'Astous–Crozier | 1:010.12–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 0:530.12–0.00 | ||||||
| D'Astous–Carlile | 0:350.02–0.11 | 0:350.00–0.07 | 0:360.03–0.11 | 0:440.02–0.01 | ||||||
| Raddysh–D'Astous | 0:320.00–0.00 | 0:590.00–0.01 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TBLPITFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Darren RaddyshTBL | 26 | 27:49 | 1:04 | 2:50 | 6 | 0 |
 Jake GuentzelTBL | 23 | 26:08 | 1:08 | 2:39 | 5 | 2 |
 Erik KarlssonPIT | 25 | 25:29 | 1:01 | 2:11 | 2 | 5 |
 Nikita KucherovTBL | 20 | 25:28 | 1:16 | 3:07 | 4 | 3 |
 J.J. MoserTBL | 26 | 23:03 | 0:53 | 1:37 | 3 | 5 |
 Bryan RustPIT | 27 | 21:37 | 0:48 | 1:22 | 4 | 4 |
 Sidney CrosbyPIT | 25 | 21:30 | 0:52 | 1:22 | 4 | 3 |
 Ryan SheaPIT | 21 | 20:05 | 0:57 | 1:36 | 1 | 3 |
 Kris LetangPIT | 21 | 20:03 | 0:57 | 2:17 | 3 | 4 |
 Parker WotherspoonPIT | 26 | 20:01 | 0:46 | 1:49 | 1 | 6 |
 Charle-Edouard D'AstousTBL | 24 | 19:31 | 0:49 | 2:07 | 3 | 2 |
 Emil LillebergTBL | 26 | 18:06 | 0:42 | 1:13 | 3 | 6 |
 Ben KindelPIT | 22 | 17:50 | 0:49 | 1:24 | 3 | 5 |
 Anthony CirelliTBL | 23 | 17:40 | 0:46 | 1:26 | 3 | 7 |
 Nick PaulTBL | 20 | 17:24 | 0:52 | 2:10 | 4 | 0 |
 Oliver BjorkstrandTBL | 17 | 17:24 | 1:01 | 2:02 | 8 | 1 |
 Brandon HagelTBL | 21 | 17:09 | 0:49 | 2:08 | 4 | 5 |
 Yanni GourdeTBL | 22 | 16:24 | 0:45 | 1:12 | 2 | 1 |
 Blake LizottePIT | 24 | 16:07 | 0:40 | 2:15 | 1 | 10 |
 Evgeni MalkinPIT | 20 | 15:54 | 0:48 | 2:11 | 5 | 0 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsTBL | 21 | 15:38 | 0:45 | 1:15 | 2 | 1 |
 Kevin HayesPIT | 21 | 14:58 | 0:43 | 1:18 | 2 | 2 |
 Ryan GravesPIT | 16 | 14:40 | 0:55 | 1:21 | 0 | 1 |
 Connor CliftonPIT | 15 | 14:16 | 0:57 | 1:21 | 0 | 0 |
 Pontus HolmbergTBL | 18 | 13:43 | 0:46 | 1:09 | 2 | 0 |
 Connor DewarPIT | 21 | 13:43 | 0:39 | 2:03 | 0 | 10 |
 Rutger McGroartyPIT | 17 | 13:01 | 0:46 | 1:15 | 1 | 2 |
 Ville KoivunenPIT | 16 | 12:48 | 0:48 | 1:16 | 1 | 1 |
 Anthony ManthaPIT | 19 | 12:36 | 0:40 | 1:08 | 2 | 0 |
 Tommy NovakPIT | 17 | 11:21 | 0:40 | 1:02 | 4 | 0 |
 Declan CarlileTBL | 14 | 10:57 | 0:47 | 1:14 | 1 | 0 |
 Max CrozierTBL | 13 | 10:12 | 0:47 | 1:25 | 1 | 2 |
 Dominic JamesTBL | 13 | 9:02 | 0:42 | 1:13 | 2 | 1 |
 Gage GoncalvesTBL | 11 | 8:16 | 0:45 | 1:40 | 2 | 1 |
 Bokondji ImamaPIT | 9 | 5:38 | 0:38 | 1:05 | 1 | 2 |
 Curtis DouglasTBL | 5 | 2:33 | 0:31 | 0:57 | 0 | 0 |