Thu, Dec 4, 2025·Lenovo Center, Raleigh
Toronto Maple Leafs 5, Carolina Hurricanes 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 53% of the time.
39%
45%
CAR winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Troy StecherD · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 24:23 | 0.23 | 32.2% | 0.0 |
 Jake McCabeD · #22 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 0 | 22:23 | 0.00 | 53.2% | +14.6 |
 Oliver Ekman-LarssonD · #95 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:03 | 0.10 | 43.5% | 0.0 |
 Auston MatthewsC · #34 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 5 | 20:08 | 0.73 | 52.8% | +8.6 |
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 19:52 | 0.10 | 51.5% | +15.4 |
 Matthew KniesLW · #23 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 18:04 | 0.21 | 46.9% | +24.0 |
 Simon BenoitD · #2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 17:03 | 0.00 | 23.3% | +13.5 |
 John TavaresC · #91 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 16:49 | 0.82 | 47.2% | 0.0 |
 William NylanderRW · #88 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:30 | 0.63 | 57.7% | 0.0 |
 Max DomiC · #11 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 14:52 | 0.01 | 56.2% | +24.0 |
 Nicolas RoyC · #55 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 14:36 | 0.11 | 30.0% | +14.7 |
 Bobby McMannC · #74 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 14:33 | 0.92 | 21.1% | +14.7 |
 Scott LaughtonC · #24 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:19 | 0.39 | 52.2% | +13.5 |
 Easton CowanRW · #53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:55 | 0.04 | 40.3% | 0.0 |
 Dakota JoshuaC · #81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 13:27 | 0.00 | 25.3% | 0.0 |
 Philippe MyersD · #51 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 11:18 | 0.00 | 42.5% | +13.5 |
 Steven LorentzC · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 10:45 | 0.00 | 38.3% | 0.0 |
 Nick RobertsonLW · #89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 10:00 | 0.00 | 29.4% | 0.0 |
 Dennis Hildeby#35 | – | 9 | 9 | 0 | 1.000 | 1.65 | +1.6 | 20:00 |
 Joseph Woll#60 | W | 24 | 23 | 1 | .958 | 2.49 | +1.5 | 40:00 |
Carolina Hurricanes
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Alexander NikishinD · #21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 25:21 | 0.06 | 51.9% | 0.0 |
 Shayne GostisbehereD · #4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 21:39 | 0.10 | 59.6% | +14.0 |
 Sean WalkerD · #26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 3 | 21:39 | 0.14 | 69.1% | 0.0 |
 Sebastian AhoC · #20 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 19:38 | 0.32 | 46.7% | +14.0 |
 Seth JarvisRW · #24 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 18:53 | 0.66 | 49.5% | +14.0 |
 Andrei SvechnikovRW · #37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 17:45 | 0.61 | 53.5% | 0.0 |
 Jalen ChatfieldD · #5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:57 | 0.04 | 38.8% | 0.0 |
 Jackson BlakeRW · #53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 16:55 | 0.25 | 70.5% | 0.0 |
 Logan StankovenC · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 3 | 15:42 | 0.38 | 62.9% | 0.0 |
 Mike ReillyD · #6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:10 | 0.12 | 75.3% | 0.0 |
 Jordan StaalC · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:02 | 0.22 | 70.5% | 0.0 |
 Nikolaj EhlersLW · #27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 14:51 | 0.36 | 57.9% | 0.0 |
 William CarrierLW · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:04 | 0.27 | 56.5% | 0.0 |
 Jordan MartinookLW · #48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:41 | 0.00 | 50.9% | 0.0 |
 Joel NystromD · #64 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:21 | 0.01 | 48.6% | 0.0 |
 Taylor HallLW · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:10 | 0.13 | 55.8% | 0.0 |
 Eric RobinsonLW · #50 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:32 | 0.26 | 65.1% | 0.0 |
 Mark JankowskiLW · #77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:17 | 0.22 | 64.4% | 0.0 |
 Frederik Andersen#31 | L | 23 | 19 | 4 | .826 | 2.90 | −1.1 | 57:23 |