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Ice Lab

Thu, Dec 4, 2025·Lenovo Center, Raleigh

Toronto Maple Leafs 5, Carolina Hurricanes 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 53% of the time.

CAR winsTOR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

CAR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Domi–Matthews–KniesJoshua–Roy–McMannTavares–Nylander–CowanLaughton–Lorentz–RobertsonTavares–Robertson–CowanTavares–Laughton–NylanderLaughton–Joshua–McMannMcCabe–StecherEkman-Larsson–RiellyMyers–BenoitEkman-Larsson–Benoit
Aho–Svechnikov–Jarvis0:410.02–0.190:460.02–0.006:250.51–0.241:220.09–0.515:380.28–0.513:160.34–0.331:020.05–0.00
Staal–Martinook–Carrier6:540.17–0.140:550.00–0.021:240.14–0.003:340.00–0.075:070.25–0.071:120.07–0.00
Ehlers–Stankoven–Blake1:340.25–0.001:310.00–0.313:030.24–0.190:540.17–0.001:050.05–0.004:270.49–0.112:090.00–0.211:380.22–0.190:510.00–0.00
Hall–Jankowski–Robinson0:480.00–0.074:470.41–0.000:450.00–0.001:190.25–0.072:040.05–0.003:010.17–0.001:040.01–0.00
Jankowski–Carrier–Robinson0:480.00–0.000:480.00–0.00
Walker–Nikishin5:320.41–0.251:140.00–0.112:250.09–0.001:110.13–0.004:360.25–0.154:160.23–0.212:020.10–0.000:510.05–0.00
Reilly–Nystrom1:170.00–0.124:030.32–0.103:170.25–0.190:460.09–0.003:160.35–0.122:300.05–0.104:010.25–0.190:430.01–0.00
Gostisbehere–Chatfield3:030.03–0.240:360.11–0.003:120.30–0.000:400.02–0.011:220.09–0.513:570.15–0.574:100.27–0.071:090.13–0.00
Gostisbehere–Nikishin0:470.00–0.000:530.00–0.001:300.08–0.00
Chatfield–Nikishin0:400.00–0.001:090.00–0.131:240.00–0.02
Chatfield–Walker0:470.00–0.000:320.00–0.000:370.10–0.000:500.04–0.00
Reilly–Gostisbehere0:340.05–0.000:380.17–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndStaal FCarrier FMartinook FSvechnikov FBlake FEhlers FStankoven FAho FJarvis FRobinson FHall FJankowski FGostisbehere DChatfield DNikishin DWalker DReilly DNystrom DAndersen GDomi FKnies FMatthews FRoy FJoshua FMcMann FCowan FNylander FTavares FLorentz FLaughton FRobertson FRielly DEkman-Larsson DStecher DMcCabe DBenoit DMyers DWoll GHildeby G
CARTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Alexander NikishinCAR2625:210:591:3953
Troy StecherTOR3024:230:492:4727
Jake McCabeTOR3122:230:432:5128
Oliver Ekman-LarssonTOR2822:030:471:5255
Shayne GostisbehereCAR2521:390:522:0452
Sean WalkerCAR2521:390:521:4065
Auston MatthewsTOR2220:080:551:5441
Morgan RiellyTOR2819:520:431:2644
Sebastian AhoCAR2219:380:542:1543
Seth JarvisCAR2118:530:542:1143
Matthew KniesTOR2018:040:541:4741
Andrei SvechnikovCAR2217:450:482:1343
Simon BenoitTOR2417:030:431:3507
Jalen ChatfieldCAR2416:570:421:3942
Jackson BlakeCAR1916:550:531:5361
John TavaresTOR1816:490:562:4542
Logan StankovenCAR1915:420:501:3161
William NylanderTOR1915:300:491:4432
Mike ReillyCAR1915:100:481:2562
Jordan StaalCAR2115:020:431:1175
Max DomiTOR1814:520:501:2940
Nikolaj EhlersCAR1914:510:471:2380
Nicolas RoyTOR1914:360:461:1725
Bobby McMannTOR2014:330:441:1105
Scott LaughtonTOR1914:190:451:1328
William CarrierCAR1814:040:471:2653
Easton CowanTOR1413:551:002:4821
Jordan MartinookCAR1913:410:431:2155
Dakota JoshuaTOR1813:270:451:2316
Joel NystromCAR1913:210:421:2582
Taylor HallCAR1613:100:491:2761
Eric RobinsonCAR1612:320:471:2552
Mark JankowskiCAR1712:170:431:1362
Philippe MyersTOR1711:180:401:1205
Steven LorentzTOR1410:450:461:3218
Nick RobertsonTOR1310:000:461:4625