Thu, Dec 4, 2025·Lenovo Center, Raleigh
Toronto Maple Leafs 5, Carolina Hurricanes 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 53% of the time.
39%
45%
CAR winsTOR wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
CAR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Domi–Matthews–Knies | Joshua–Roy–McMann | Tavares–Nylander–Cowan | Laughton–Lorentz–Robertson | Tavares–Robertson–Cowan | Tavares–Laughton–Nylander | Laughton–Joshua–McMann | McCabe–Stecher | Ekman-Larsson–Rielly | Myers–Benoit | Ekman-Larsson–Benoit | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aho–Svechnikov–Jarvis | 0:410.02–0.19 | 0:460.02–0.00 | 6:250.51–0.24 | 1:220.09–0.51 | 5:380.28–0.51 | 3:160.34–0.33 | 1:020.05–0.00 | ||||
| Staal–Martinook–Carrier | 6:540.17–0.14 | 0:550.00–0.02 | 1:240.14–0.00 | 3:340.00–0.07 | 5:070.25–0.07 | 1:120.07–0.00 | |||||
| Ehlers–Stankoven–Blake | 1:340.25–0.00 | 1:310.00–0.31 | 3:030.24–0.19 | 0:540.17–0.00 | 1:050.05–0.00 | 4:270.49–0.11 | 2:090.00–0.21 | 1:380.22–0.19 | 0:510.00–0.00 | ||
| Hall–Jankowski–Robinson | 0:480.00–0.07 | 4:470.41–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 1:190.25–0.07 | 2:040.05–0.00 | 3:010.17–0.00 | 1:040.01–0.00 | ||||
| Jankowski–Carrier–Robinson | 0:480.00–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Walker–Nikishin | 5:320.41–0.25 | 1:140.00–0.11 | 2:250.09–0.00 | 1:110.13–0.00 | 4:360.25–0.15 | 4:160.23–0.21 | 2:020.10–0.00 | 0:510.05–0.00 | |||
| Reilly–Nystrom | 1:170.00–0.12 | 4:030.32–0.10 | 3:170.25–0.19 | 0:460.09–0.00 | 3:160.35–0.12 | 2:300.05–0.10 | 4:010.25–0.19 | 0:430.01–0.00 | |||
| Gostisbehere–Chatfield | 3:030.03–0.24 | 0:360.11–0.00 | 3:120.30–0.00 | 0:400.02–0.01 | 1:220.09–0.51 | 3:570.15–0.57 | 4:100.27–0.07 | 1:090.13–0.00 | |||
| Gostisbehere–Nikishin | 0:470.00–0.00 | 0:530.00–0.00 | 1:300.08–0.00 | ||||||||
| Chatfield–Nikishin | 0:400.00–0.00 | 1:090.00–0.13 | 1:240.00–0.02 | ||||||||
| Chatfield–Walker | 0:470.00–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 0:370.10–0.00 | 0:500.04–0.00 | |||||||
| Reilly–Gostisbehere | 0:340.05–0.00 | 0:380.17–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
CARTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
| 26 | 25:21 | 0:59 | 1:39 | 5 | 3 | |
| 30 | 24:23 | 0:49 | 2:47 | 2 | 7 | |
| 31 | 22:23 | 0:43 | 2:51 | 2 | 8 | |
| 28 | 22:03 | 0:47 | 1:52 | 5 | 5 | |
| 25 | 21:39 | 0:52 | 2:04 | 5 | 2 | |
| 25 | 21:39 | 0:52 | 1:40 | 6 | 5 | |
| 22 | 20:08 | 0:55 | 1:54 | 4 | 1 | |
| 28 | 19:52 | 0:43 | 1:26 | 4 | 4 | |
| 22 | 19:38 | 0:54 | 2:15 | 4 | 3 | |
| 21 | 18:53 | 0:54 | 2:11 | 4 | 3 | |
| 20 | 18:04 | 0:54 | 1:47 | 4 | 1 | |
| 22 | 17:45 | 0:48 | 2:13 | 4 | 3 | |
| 24 | 17:03 | 0:43 | 1:35 | 0 | 7 | |
| 24 | 16:57 | 0:42 | 1:39 | 4 | 2 | |
| 19 | 16:55 | 0:53 | 1:53 | 6 | 1 | |
| 18 | 16:49 | 0:56 | 2:45 | 4 | 2 | |
| 19 | 15:42 | 0:50 | 1:31 | 6 | 1 | |
| 19 | 15:30 | 0:49 | 1:44 | 3 | 2 | |
| 19 | 15:10 | 0:48 | 1:25 | 6 | 2 | |
| 21 | 15:02 | 0:43 | 1:11 | 7 | 5 | |
| 18 | 14:52 | 0:50 | 1:29 | 4 | 0 | |
| 19 | 14:51 | 0:47 | 1:23 | 8 | 0 | |
| 19 | 14:36 | 0:46 | 1:17 | 2 | 5 | |
| 20 | 14:33 | 0:44 | 1:11 | 0 | 5 | |
| 19 | 14:19 | 0:45 | 1:13 | 2 | 8 | |
| 18 | 14:04 | 0:47 | 1:26 | 5 | 3 | |
| 14 | 13:55 | 1:00 | 2:48 | 2 | 1 | |
| 19 | 13:41 | 0:43 | 1:21 | 5 | 5 | |
| 18 | 13:27 | 0:45 | 1:23 | 1 | 6 | |
| 19 | 13:21 | 0:42 | 1:25 | 8 | 2 | |
| 16 | 13:10 | 0:49 | 1:27 | 6 | 1 | |
| 16 | 12:32 | 0:47 | 1:25 | 5 | 2 | |
| 17 | 12:17 | 0:43 | 1:13 | 6 | 2 | |
| 17 | 11:18 | 0:40 | 1:12 | 0 | 5 | |
| 14 | 10:45 | 0:46 | 1:32 | 1 | 8 | |
| 13 | 10:00 | 0:46 | 1:46 | 2 | 5 |