Sat, Dec 20, 2025·Capital One Arena, Washington
Detroit Red Wings 5, Washington Capitals 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 86% of the time.
9%
82%
WSH winsDET wins
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 3 | 23:31 | 0.22 | 87.6% | +18.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:33 | 0.17 | 33.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 2 | 22:16 | 0.10 | 82.7% | +15.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 22:02 | 0.09 | 35.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 22:01 | 0.04 | 47.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19:48 | 0.73 | 39.5% | +1.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:56 | 0.00 | 50.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 15:23 | 0.20 | 86.0% | +29.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:04 | 0.03 | 51.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 8 | 14:21 | 0.83 | 83.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 13:38 | 0.53 | 73.4% | +9.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 13:31 | 0.04 | 59.3% | +9.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:26 | 0.01 | 65.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:57 | 0.23 | 82.8% | +14.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:28 | 0.10 | 76.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 12:24 | 1.16 | 77.7% | +15.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:15 | 0.30 | 56.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 10:26 | 0.33 | 73.4% | +9.1 |
| W | 26 | 24 | 2 | .923 | 2.31 | +0.3 | 60:00 |
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 22:58 | 0.35 | 46.9% | +3.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 8 | 21:31 | 0.30 | 33.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:14 | 0.31 | 38.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 19:47 | 0.11 | 54.7% | +4.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 19:37 | 0.01 | 31.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 19:21 | 0.00 | 17.3% | +3.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 18:26 | 0.19 | 38.9% | +3.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 18:06 | 0.26 | 24.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −3 | 2 | 17:32 | 0.35 | 19.8% | +4.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:44 | 0.06 | 73.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:07 | 0.00 | 32.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14:37 | 0.00 | 23.0% | +4.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 13:52 | 0.09 | 28.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 12:51 | 0.21 | 46.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:00 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:50 | 0.07 | 34.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:18 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:21 | 0.00 | 24.2% | 0.0 |
| L | 40 | 36 | 4 | .900 | 4.79 | +0.8 | 58:48 |