Sat, Dec 20, 2025·Capital One Arena, Washington
Detroit Red Wings 5, Washington Capitals 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 86% of the time.
9%
82%
WSH winsDET wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
WSH forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against DET's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Larkin–Raymond–Finnie | Soderblom–Kasper–Danielson | Copp–DeBrincat–Leonard | van Riemsdyk–Compher–Rasmussen | Compher–Rasmussen–Kasper | Compher–Raymond–Finnie | Copp–DeBrincat–Raymond | Larkin–Leonard–Finnie | Seider–Edvinsson | Chiarot–Sandin-Pellikka | Bernard-Docker–Johansson | Chiarot–Bernard-Docker | Chiarot–Johansson | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wilson–Protas–Sourdif | 7:420.53–0.00 | 1:330.00–0.00 | 2:180.05–0.07 | 3:550.09–0.00 | 0:550.07–0.00 | 2:390.32–0.15 | |||||||
| Dowd–Duhaime–Miroshnichenko | 1:540.00–0.00 | 0:490.00–0.02 | 0:530.00–0.02 | 0:520.00–0.02 | 0:400.00–0.02 | 2:190.00–0.02 | 0:350.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Milano–McMichael–Frank | 0:330.00–0.22 | 1:540.02–0.32 | 0:510.00–0.32 | 1:090.00–0.14 | 1:260.02–0.09 | ||||||||
| Ovechkin–Strome–Beauvillier | 0:310.00–0.00 | 1:160.00–0.43 | 0:470.00–0.35 | 2:290.00–1.06 | 0:400.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Strome–Beauvillier–Frank | 1:080.10–0.04 | 1:000.08–0.01 | 0:350.10–0.00 | 1:430.08–0.04 | |||||||||
| Ovechkin–Strome–Protas | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:590.05–0.09 | 2:060.05–0.09 | ||||||||||
| Ovechkin–McMichael–Miroshnichenko | 1:120.15–0.16 | 0:390.05–0.00 | 2:170.20–0.16 | ||||||||||
| Wilson–McMichael–Sourdif | 1:170.07–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Ovechkin–Strome–Frank | 0:360.02–0.00 | 1:010.02–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Wilson–Strome–Protas | |||||||||||||
| Dowd–Milano–Duhaime | 0:320.00–0.21 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 1:150.00–0.21 | ||||||||||
| Roy–Chychrun | 1:580.35–0.00 | 1:140.18–0.04 | 2:400.15–0.60 | 2:370.05–0.32 | 2:200.00–0.99 | 1:580.20–0.16 | 2:420.26–0.09 | 1:060.21–0.07 | 0:300.00–0.00 | ||||
| Carlson–Sandin | 1:590.05–0.00 | 1:060.00–0.15 | 2:420.05–0.34 | 3:440.05–0.33 | 1:500.06–0.16 | 1:240.13–0.00 | |||||||
| Sandin–Chisholm | 2:240.00–0.28 | 1:120.00–0.00 | 1:260.00–0.02 | 1:150.00–0.00 | 2:450.00–0.00 | 2:070.00–0.59 | |||||||
| Carlson–Fehérváry | 4:500.18–0.00 | 1:440.05–0.04 | 2:340.03–0.00 | 0:520.09–0.00 | |||||||||
| Fehérváry–Chisholm | 0:310.03–0.00 | 1:510.10–0.04 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 1:100.00–0.01 | 1:470.10–0.00 | 1:210.00–0.04 | 1:330.03–0.00 | ||||||
| Roy–Fehérváry | 1:490.00–0.15 | 2:350.07–0.09 | 1:020.00–0.01 | ||||||||||
| Carlson–Chychrun | 1:470.00–0.43 | 0:450.02–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.43 | 1:050.02–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Chychrun–Chisholm | 0:470.02–0.00 | 0:440.02–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Roy–Sandin | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.21 | 0:390.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
WSHDETFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Moritz SeiderDET | 28 | 23:31 | 0:50 | 2:03 | 6 | 6 |
 Tom WilsonWSH | 20 | 22:58 | 1:09 | 2:34 | 1 | 1 |
 Emmitt FinnieDET | 26 | 22:33 | 0:52 | 1:36 | 3 | 3 |
 Simon EdvinssonDET | 25 | 22:16 | 0:53 | 2:02 | 3 | 5 |
 Ben ChiarotDET | 26 | 22:02 | 0:51 | 2:39 | 3 | 3 |
 Lucas RaymondDET | 23 | 22:01 | 0:57 | 2:22 | 2 | 2 |
 Jakob ChychrunWSH | 20 | 21:31 | 1:05 | 1:46 | 4 | 3 |
 John CarlsonWSH | 24 | 21:14 | 0:53 | 1:53 | 3 | 3 |
 Dylan LarkinDET | 21 | 19:48 | 0:57 | 2:22 | 2 | 2 |
 Martin FehérváryWSH | 21 | 19:47 | 0:57 | 2:04 | 0 | 6 |
 Matt RoyWSH | 20 | 19:37 | 0:59 | 1:53 | 2 | 3 |
 Rasmus SandinWSH | 21 | 19:21 | 0:55 | 1:22 | 3 | 3 |
 Aliaksei ProtasWSH | 21 | 18:26 | 0:53 | 1:32 | 3 | 1 |
 Alex OvechkinWSH | 18 | 18:06 | 1:00 | 2:16 | 7 | 0 |
 Jacob Bernard-DockerDET | 21 | 17:56 | 0:51 | 2:00 | 1 | 3 |
 Dylan StromeWSH | 17 | 17:32 | 1:02 | 1:47 | 3 | 2 |
 Justin SourdifWSH | 20 | 16:44 | 0:50 | 1:19 | 2 | 1 |
 Connor McMichaelWSH | 20 | 16:07 | 0:48 | 2:02 | 5 | 4 |
 Andrew CoppDET | 23 | 15:23 | 0:40 | 1:44 | 2 | 4 |
 Axel Sandin-PellikkaDET | 22 | 15:04 | 0:41 | 1:09 | 3 | 3 |
 Declan ChisholmWSH | 19 | 14:37 | 0:46 | 1:19 | 1 | 3 |
 Alex DeBrincatDET | 20 | 14:21 | 0:43 | 1:16 | 4 | 3 |
 Anthony BeauvillierWSH | 18 | 13:52 | 0:46 | 1:29 | 0 | 3 |
 Marco KasperDET | 18 | 13:38 | 0:45 | 1:13 | 3 | 1 |
 Albert JohanssonDET | 17 | 13:31 | 0:48 | 1:39 | 0 | 1 |
 J.T. CompherDET | 21 | 13:26 | 0:38 | 1:47 | 5 | 3 |
 John LeonardDET | 19 | 12:57 | 0:41 | 1:15 | 2 | 2 |
 Ethen FrankWSH | 18 | 12:51 | 0:43 | 1:12 | 0 | 3 |
 Nate DanielsonDET | 16 | 12:28 | 0:47 | 1:10 | 4 | 1 |
 James van RiemsdykDET | 19 | 12:24 | 0:39 | 1:16 | 7 | 1 |
 Michael RasmussenDET | 23 | 12:15 | 0:32 | 0:49 | 5 | 3 |
 Nic DowdWSH | 16 | 12:00 | 0:45 | 1:32 | 0 | 7 |
 Ivan MiroshnichenkoWSH | 15 | 10:50 | 0:43 | 1:21 | 3 | 2 |
 Elmer SoderblomDET | 13 | 10:26 | 0:48 | 1:13 | 3 | 2 |
 Brandon DuhaimeWSH | 15 | 10:18 | 0:41 | 1:14 | 0 | 5 |
 Sonny MilanoWSH | 13 | 9:21 | 0:43 | 1:30 | 0 | 3 |