Mon, Dec 22, 2025·Benchmark International Arena, Tampa
St. Louis Blues 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 4
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 60% of the time.
50%
10%
10%
30%
TBL winsSTL wins
St. Louis Blues
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 22:52 | 0.28 | 42.9% | +13.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22:38 | 0.15 | 58.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:19 | 0.00 | 60.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 20:43 | 0.10 | 55.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 17:43 | 0.00 | 46.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:30 | 0.06 | 26.7% | +13.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 17:19 | 0.17 | 46.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 17:03 | 0.21 | 61.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:09 | 0.08 | 49.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 14:57 | 0.06 | 31.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 14:22 | 0.00 | 29.7% | +13.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:05 | 0.21 | 69.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13:34 | 0.32 | 55.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:03 | 0.14 | 45.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:55 | 0.00 | 51.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:29 | 0.27 | 37.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 12:27 | 0.00 | 53.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:23 | 0.11 | 91.5% | 0.0 |
| L | 17 | 13 | 4 | .765 | 2.70 | −1.3 | 60:00 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 1 | 22:43 | 0.23 | 54.0% | +37.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 21:35 | 0.01 | 58.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:55 | 0.05 | 44.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 1 | 20:31 | 0.40 | 81.6% | +16.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 20:16 | 0.00 | 27.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:10 | 0.42 | 19.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16:36 | 0.08 | 16.7% | +16.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 16:24 | 0.11 | 82.3% | +3.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 15:59 | 0.42 | 61.0% | +13.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:42 | 0.00 | 16.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:09 | 0.07 | 45.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:02 | 0.10 | 87.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:01 | 0.33 | 50.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:46 | 0.03 | 45.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 13:22 | 0.25 | 53.8% | +11.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:16 | 0.04 | 45.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 12:32 | 0.15 | 55.6% | +11.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:01 | 0.00 | 32.6% | 0.0 |
| W | 24 | 23 | 1 | .958 | 2.16 | +1.2 | 60:00 |