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Ice Lab

Mon, Dec 22, 2025·Benchmark International Arena, Tampa

St. Louis Blues 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 60% of the time.

TBL winsSTL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against STL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Schenn–Neighbours–StenbergBuchnevich–Thomas–BerggrenSundqvist–Joseph–ToropchenkoFabbri–Joseph–DvorskySundqvist–Toropchenko–SuterFabbri–Suter–DvorskyBuchnevich–Thomas–NeighboursFabbri–Berggren–DvorskyParayko–BrobergFaulk–TuckerFowler–MaillouxFaulk–FowlerTucker–BrobergBroberg–MaillouxFowler–Broberg
Girgensons–Cirelli–Holmberg0:450.00–0.015:320.63–0.001:000.01–0.001:420.00–0.263:270.43–0.281:320.00–0.013:490.21–0.09
Kucherov–Gourde–Point1:500.04–0.041:140.00–0.171:040.07–0.021:070.00–0.051:200.04–0.240:450.01–0.176:040.11–0.531:290.00–0.090:480.01–0.000:420.04–0.00
Guentzel–Bjorkstrand–Paul4:230.32–0.070:370.00–0.000:470.00–0.000:360.00–0.000:490.20–0.002:230.00–0.005:290.71–0.051:140.00–0.00
Finley–Goncalves–James2:050.00–0.133:450.22–0.000:590.00–0.141:310.00–0.000:420.00–0.000:590.13–0.092:150.00–0.093:180.09–0.052:000.00–0.00
Kucherov–Guentzel–Point0:470.00–0.001:060.00–0.00
McDonagh–D'Astous7:520.14–0.230:350.00–0.000:360.00–0.001:040.04–0.000:400.00–0.000:300.00–0.173:100.04–0.006:380.10–0.152:380.00–0.051:000.00–0.00
Raddysh–Moser1:150.00–0.027:070.63–0.171:150.00–0.051:420.00–0.265:260.43–0.500:420.19–0.005:350.20–0.09
Crozier–Carlile2:100.22–0.002:250.07–0.162:250.00–0.051:510.00–0.270:490.20–0.003:300.20–0.353:280.20–0.101:180.09–0.031:310.00–0.00
D'Astous–Moser0:540.00–0.001:260.26–0.00
Raddysh–Carlile1:200.00–0.000:330.00–0.000:540.00–0.00
Raddysh–D'Astous1:080.00–0.10
Crozier–Moser0:460.00–0.14
McDonagh–Crozier0:380.00–0.00
McDonagh–Moser0:380.00–0.040:450.00–0.04
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndGirgensons FHolmberg FCirelli FJames FFinley FGoncalves FPoint FKucherov FGourde FPaul FBjorkstrand FGuentzel FRaddysh DMoser DCrozier DCarlile DMcDonagh DD'Astous DVasilevskiy GThomas FBerggren FBuchnevich FToropchenko FSundqvist FJoseph FSchenn FStenberg FNeighbours FDvorsky FFabbri FSuter FFowler DMailloux DBroberg DParayko DTucker DFaulk DBinnington G
TBLSTLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Justin FaulkSTL2622:520:531:3134
Darren RaddyshTBL2422:430:571:5763
Philip BrobergSTL2822:380:491:4738
J.J. MoserTBL2421:350:541:5218
Colton ParaykoSTL3021:190:431:2628
Charle-Edouard D'AstousTBL2420:550:521:3941
Cam FowlerSTL2720:430:461:1821
Jake GuentzelTBL2220:310:561:5786
Ryan McDonaghTBL2320:160:531:4222
Brayden PointTBL2019:100:581:5760
Robert ThomasSTL2317:430:461:2784
Tyler TuckerSTL2017:300:531:4712
Pavel BuchnevichSTL2117:190:491:2774
Jake NeighboursSTL2217:030:471:1142
Nikita KucherovTBL1816:360:551:5750
Oliver BjorkstrandTBL1716:240:581:5762
Brayden SchennSTL2016:090:481:0832
Anthony CirelliTBL2115:590:461:1725
Yanni GourdeTBL1915:420:502:0520
Jonatan BerggrenSTL1914:570:471:0582
Otto StenbergSTL1914:220:451:2622
Max CrozierTBL2214:090:391:2122
Robby FabbriSTL2314:050:371:0722
Nick PaulTBL1814:020:471:1242
Declan CarlileTBL2214:010:381:1631
Dominic JamesTBL1613:460:521:3120
Dalibor DvorskySTL2113:340:391:0742
Zemgus GirgensonsTBL1913:220:421:1024
Gage GoncalvesTBL1613:160:501:2330
Mathieu JosephSTL2113:030:371:0633
Alexey ToropchenkoSTL1912:550:411:1106
Pontus HolmbergTBL1712:320:441:3124
Oskar SundqvistSTL1812:290:421:1306
Logan MaillouxSTL1712:270:441:1420
Pius SuterSTL1912:230:391:0815
Jack FinleyTBL1511:010:441:1321