Sun, Dec 28, 2025·Benchmark International Arena, Tampa
Montréal Canadiens 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 5 (SO)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 50% of the time.
42%
42%
TBL winsMTL wins
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 28:13 | 0.09 | 70.9% | +51.6 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 27:29 | 0.19 | 67.1% | +15.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26:37 | 0.12 | 78.5% | +10.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 22:43 | 0.05 | 44.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 22:42 | 0.41 | 43.3% | +10.7 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 5 | 20:27 | 0.68 | 66.7% | +60.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:56 | 0.18 | 69.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 18:26 | 0.66 | 82.6% | +56.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:52 | 0.11 | 49.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:48 | 0.10 | 17.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 16:20 | 0.63 | 75.9% | +3.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 16:17 | 0.43 | 44.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:34 | 0.02 | 38.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13:42 | 0.89 | 79.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:43 | 0.07 | 54.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:51 | 0.00 | 11.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:22 | 0.01 | 84.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 7:15 | 0.03 | 3.0% | 0.0 |
| O | 21 | 17 | 4 | .810 | 3.12 | −0.9 | 63:43 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24:44 | 0.00 | 82.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24:28 | 0.01 | 57.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 23:41 | 0.00 | 31.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 21:25 | 0.41 | 40.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 20:01 | 0.01 | 36.3% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 19:48 | 2.07 | 41.3% | +34.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 18:42 | 0.10 | 38.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 18:06 | 0.37 | 53.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 17:38 | 0.09 | 41.1% | +5.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 16:38 | 0.07 | 22.0% | +13.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 16:05 | 0.24 | 21.8% | +6.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:46 | 0.21 | 85.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:52 | 0.23 | 82.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 13:51 | 0.53 | 43.6% | +34.9 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 13:27 | 0.04 | 27.7% | +11.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:03 | 0.01 | 27.5% | +6.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12:25 | 0.27 | 83.0% | +5.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:20 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 35 | 31 | 4 | .886 | 4.68 | +0.7 | 65:00 |