Fri, Jan 23, 2026·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary
Washington Capitals 3, Calgary Flames 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 88% of the time.
8%
84%
CGY winsWSH wins
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 20:28 | 0.22 | 51.4% | +23.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 19:42 | 0.31 | 72.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 19:38 | 0.04 | 37.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 19:12 | 0.43 | 65.5% | +24.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 19:09 | 0.37 | 63.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 18:59 | 0.05 | 54.9% | +28.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 18:12 | 0.31 | 38.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 18:07 | 0.56 | 53.3% | +5.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 17:49 | 1.12 | 43.5% | +5.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 16:55 | 0.22 | 53.8% | +24.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:31 | 0.00 | 36.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 16:30 | 0.79 | 80.2% | +24.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:24 | 0.06 | 56.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:50 | 0.00 | 30.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 13:48 | 0.25 | 89.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:30 | 0.07 | 42.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 9:32 | 0.29 | 95.7% | +23.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 9:14 | 0.00 | 91.3% | 0.0 |
| W | 26 | 25 | 1 | .962 | 2.15 | +1.1 | 59:52 |
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 25:46 | 0.06 | 52.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25:16 | 0.00 | 46.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 22:46 | 0.11 | 34.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:14 | 0.04 | 31.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 20:13 | 0.33 | 45.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:06 | 0.00 | 31.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:59 | 0.10 | 46.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 18:26 | 0.17 | 50.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 16:41 | 0.14 | 34.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 15:05 | 0.19 | 24.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 14:24 | 0.05 | 58.6% | +13.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:08 | 0.00 | 26.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13:07 | 0.26 | 68.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:42 | 0.00 | 33.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 10:13 | 0.08 | 15.9% | +13.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:26 | 0.48 | 61.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:09 | 0.00 | 20.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 8:59 | 0.13 | 31.1% | 0.0 |
| L | 37 | 35 | 2 | .946 | 4.63 | +2.6 | 58:20 |