Fri, Jan 23, 2026·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary
Washington Capitals 3, Calgary Flames 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 88% of the time.
8%
84%
CGY winsWSH wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
CGY forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against WSH's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Wilson–Protas–Sourdif | Strome–McMichael–Leonard | Ovechkin–Dowd–Frank | Beauvillier–Duhaime–Lapierre | Dowd–Beauvillier–Protas | Beauvillier–Protas–Lapierre | Dowd–Duhaime–Frank | Protas–Sourdif–Leonard | Ovechkin–Dowd–Wilson | Duhaime–Lapierre–Frank | van Riemsdyk–Sandin | Roy–Chychrun | Carlson–Fehérváry | Roy–Fehérváry | Carlson–Chychrun | Roy–Sandin | van Riemsdyk–Fehérváry | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Backlund–Farabee–Sharangovich | 1:190.00–0.08 | 5:010.37–0.22 | 0:510.00–0.00 | 3:070.19–0.06 | 4:180.11–0.35 | 2:250.07–0.13 | |||||||||||
| Kadri–Huberdeau–Coronato | 5:240.15–0.47 | 1:230.02–0.00 | 0:390.12–0.00 | 1:520.00–0.00 | 3:090.02–0.63 | 3:080.15–0.00 | 0:350.12–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Pospisil–Zary–Gridin | 0:410.00–0.02 | 0:390.00–0.01 | 3:000.05–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 3:050.01–0.00 | 1:160.00–0.02 | 1:230.07–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Lomberg–Frost–Klapka | 1:340.00–0.26 | 0:430.01–0.00 | 1:180.13–0.00 | 1:040.00–0.00 | 0:560.00–0.14 | 0:350.00–0.15 | |||||||||||
| Pospisil–Zary–Klapka | 0:550.06–0.06 | 1:090.10–0.06 | |||||||||||||||
| Lomberg–Frost–Gridin | 0:470.00–0.39 | 0:370.00–0.24 | 0:320.00–0.15 | ||||||||||||||
| Whitecloud–Bahl | 3:170.02–0.14 | 3:400.31–0.20 | 1:040.12–0.00 | 1:460.00–0.35 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 0:520.00–0.04 | 0:560.00–0.06 | 4:330.25–0.11 | 5:500.44–0.61 | 4:510.16–0.26 | 0:420.00–0.04 | 0:470.22–0.00 | |||||
| Weegar–Kuznetsov | 4:180.13–0.02 | 3:200.00–0.03 | 1:540.00–0.04 | 0:470.00–0.30 | 3:110.00–0.06 | 3:220.00–0.22 | 4:370.13–0.17 | 0:480.00–0.19 | 0:540.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Hanley–Pachal | 2:190.06–0.06 | 1:030.00–0.00 | 0:310.08–0.01 | 0:310.00–0.07 | 0:430.01–0.00 | 3:180.08–0.03 | 2:040.00–0.43 | 1:550.13–0.14 | |||||||||
| Pachal–Kuznetsov | 0:380.12–0.00 | 1:110.00–0.00 | 0:500.00–0.05 | 0:350.03–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Hanley–Whitecloud | 0:440.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||
| Weegar–Hanley | 0:480.05–0.00 | 0:320.04–0.00 | |||||||||||||||
| Weegar–Bahl | 0:300.01–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
CGYWSHFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Kevin BahlCGY | 34 | 25:46 | 0:45 | 1:55 | 3 | 6 |
 Zach WhitecloudCGY | 34 | 25:16 | 0:45 | 1:36 | 3 | 6 |
 MacKenzie WeegarCGY | 35 | 22:46 | 0:39 | 1:34 | 3 | 5 |
 John CarlsonWSH | 22 | 20:28 | 0:56 | 2:05 | 1 | 1 |
 Mikael BacklundCGY | 25 | 20:14 | 0:49 | 1:53 | 1 | 5 |
 Yegor SharangovichCGY | 26 | 20:13 | 0:47 | 1:05 | 2 | 4 |
 Yan KuznetsovCGY | 32 | 20:06 | 0:38 | 1:34 | 2 | 5 |
 Matt RoyWSH | 22 | 19:42 | 0:54 | 1:26 | 1 | 3 |
 Rasmus SandinWSH | 22 | 19:38 | 0:54 | 1:48 | 0 | 2 |
 Aliaksei ProtasWSH | 22 | 19:12 | 0:52 | 1:36 | 2 | 2 |
 Jakob ChychrunWSH | 19 | 19:09 | 1:00 | 2:16 | 3 | 2 |
 Joel FarabeeCGY | 25 | 18:59 | 0:46 | 1:05 | 2 | 5 |
 Martin FehérváryWSH | 20 | 18:59 | 0:57 | 1:53 | 1 | 0 |
 Nazem KadriCGY | 25 | 18:26 | 0:44 | 1:15 | 6 | 3 |
 Ryan LeonardWSH | 20 | 18:12 | 0:55 | 2:06 | 5 | 1 |
 Dylan StromeWSH | 21 | 18:07 | 0:52 | 2:16 | 6 | 1 |
 Alex OvechkinWSH | 20 | 17:49 | 0:53 | 3:24 | 4 | 0 |
 Justin SourdifWSH | 22 | 16:55 | 0:46 | 1:26 | 2 | 3 |
 Jonathan HuberdeauCGY | 26 | 16:41 | 0:39 | 1:07 | 6 | 6 |
 Nic DowdWSH | 22 | 16:31 | 0:45 | 1:55 | 2 | 3 |
 Tom WilsonWSH | 20 | 16:30 | 0:50 | 1:27 | 4 | 3 |
 Trevor van RiemsdykWSH | 21 | 16:24 | 0:47 | 1:49 | 0 | 2 |
 Matt CoronatoCGY | 22 | 15:05 | 0:41 | 1:21 | 5 | 1 |
 Connor ZaryCGY | 19 | 14:24 | 0:45 | 1:26 | 2 | 0 |
 Ethen FrankWSH | 18 | 13:50 | 0:46 | 1:50 | 2 | 1 |
 Anthony BeauvillierWSH | 17 | 13:48 | 0:49 | 1:14 | 2 | 2 |
 Joel HanleyCGY | 25 | 13:08 | 0:32 | 1:02 | 5 | 2 |
 Martin PospisilCGY | 20 | 13:07 | 0:39 | 1:26 | 2 | 2 |
 Connor McMichaelWSH | 20 | 12:30 | 0:38 | 1:03 | 3 | 1 |
 Brayden PachalCGY | 19 | 11:42 | 0:37 | 1:00 | 4 | 2 |
 Morgan FrostCGY | 17 | 10:13 | 0:36 | 1:08 | 2 | 0 |
 Hendrix LapierreWSH | 13 | 9:32 | 0:44 | 1:08 | 0 | 2 |
 Adam KlapkaCGY | 15 | 9:26 | 0:38 | 1:04 | 1 | 0 |
 Brandon DuhaimeWSH | 17 | 9:14 | 0:33 | 1:01 | 0 | 5 |
 Matvei GridinCGY | 10 | 9:09 | 0:55 | 1:34 | 2 | 0 |
 Ryan LombergCGY | 12 | 8:59 | 0:45 | 1:47 | 2 | 0 |