Tue, Jan 27, 2026·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Buffalo Sabres 7, Toronto Maple Leafs 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 60% of the time.
32%
8%
9%
51%
TOR winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Rasmus DahlinD · #26 | 3 | 2 | 5 | +2 | 7 | 26:24 | 0.72 | 55.5% | +55.1 |
 Owen PowerD · #25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 23:02 | 0.09 | 40.2% | 0.0 |
 Bowen ByramD · #4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:48 | 0.20 | 46.4% | 0.0 |
 Mattias SamuelssonD · #23 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 0 | 21:41 | 0.00 | 42.5% | +51.9 |
 Tage ThompsonC · #72 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 18:57 | 0.16 | 33.7% | +33.0 |
 Noah OstlundC · #86 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:33 | 0.13 | 72.6% | 0.0 |
 Josh DoanRW · #91 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 17:19 | 0.40 | 72.3% | +15.8 |
 Zach BensonLW · #6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:02 | 0.04 | 43.9% | 0.0 |
 Konsta HeleniusC · #94 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:12 | 0.16 | 66.3% | 0.0 |
 Jason ZuckerLW · #17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:55 | 0.61 | 56.5% | 0.0 |
 Alex TuchRW · #89 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 15:44 | 0.13 | 53.4% | +16.7 |
 Michael KesselringD · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 15:08 | 0.09 | 85.3% | 0.0 |
 Jack QuinnRW · #22 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14:21 | 0.34 | 50.5% | +3.8 |
 Ryan McLeodC · #71 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13:36 | 0.00 | 56.0% | +15.0 |
 Beck MalenstynLW · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 11:54 | 0.00 | 15.7% | 0.0 |
 Peyton KrebsC · #19 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 11:47 | 0.04 | 17.4% | +20.2 |
 Tyson KozakC · #48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 11:20 | 0.00 | 27.9% | 0.0 |
 Zach MetsaD · #73 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:17 | 0.02 | 49.9% | 0.0 |
 Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen#1 | – | 5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 0.55 | −1.4 | 12:14 |
 Colten Ellis#92 | W | 18 | 16 | 2 | .889 | 2.05 | 0.0 | 47:46 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Jake McCabeD · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:54 | 0.15 | 76.7% | 0.0 |
 Oliver Ekman-LarssonD · #95 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −3 | 1 | 21:43 | 0.04 | 65.4% | +15.8 |
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:52 | 0.02 | 50.9% | 0.0 |
 John TavaresC · #91 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 19:58 | 0.15 | 39.4% | +14.4 |
 Troy StecherD · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:47 | 0.01 | 26.3% | 0.0 |
 Auston MatthewsC · #34 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 19:36 | 0.58 | 60.9% | +36.2 |
 Matthew KniesLW · #23 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 17:44 | 0.26 | 50.9% | +14.4 |
 Bobby McMannC · #74 | 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 4 | 17:40 | 0.30 | 60.3% | +20.5 |
 Brandon CarloD · #25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:15 | 0.00 | 62.9% | 0.0 |
 Simon BenoitD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:40 | 0.00 | 16.8% | 0.0 |
 Max DomiC · #11 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 3 | 15:55 | 0.35 | 55.5% | +36.2 |
 Matias MaccelliLW · #63 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 15:36 | 0.35 | 45.4% | +14.4 |
 Scott LaughtonC · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:05 | 0.05 | 43.8% | 0.0 |
 Nick RobertsonLW · #89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 13:17 | 0.00 | 34.6% | 0.0 |
 Steven LorentzC · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:04 | 0.12 | 61.6% | 0.0 |
 Calle JarnkrokC · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:59 | 0.20 | 52.1% | 0.0 |
 Easton CowanRW · #53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:14 | 0.02 | 30.0% | 0.0 |
 Nicolas RoyC · #55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 9:44 | 0.00 | 13.9% | 0.0 |
 Joseph Woll#60 | L | 30 | 24 | 6 | .800 | 2.85 | −3.1 | 58:08 |