Sat, Jan 31, 2026·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Montréal Canadiens 4, Buffalo Sabres 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 66% of the time.
60%
27%
BUF winsMTL wins
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 27:33 | 0.30 | 21.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 4 | 20:32 | 0.19 | 59.0% | +38.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:28 | 0.00 | 27.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 20:10 | 0.41 | 62.4% | +32.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 19:29 | 0.01 | 34.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 2 | 18:52 | 0.03 | 45.9% | +41.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:13 | 0.20 | 18.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:28 | 0.24 | 55.1% | +5.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 7 | 17:26 | 0.89 | 59.0% | +15.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:49 | 0.44 | 59.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:33 | 0.11 | 22.1% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 5 | 15:39 | 0.45 | 44.9% | +73.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 12:29 | 0.09 | 45.4% | +25.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:11 | 0.00 | 22.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:33 | 0.00 | 19.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:18 | 0.00 | 22.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:10 | 0.10 | 21.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:09 | 0.00 | 13.4% | 0.0 |
| W | 38 | 36 | 2 | .947 | 4.62 | +2.6 | 59:58 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 26:03 | 0.21 | 75.6% | +17.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 24:00 | 0.49 | 57.2% | +17.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22:29 | 0.49 | 60.9% | +29.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 22:21 | 0.42 | 60.5% | +17.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:48 | 0.15 | 61.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:45 | 0.36 | 65.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 20:19 | 0.14 | 51.3% | +29.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 18:40 | 0.51 | 53.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:38 | 0.19 | 57.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 17:28 | 0.40 | 55.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 17:22 | 0.86 | 76.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 13:18 | 0.20 | 77.7% | +29.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:46 | 0.00 | 71.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 9:54 | 0.08 | 73.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:38 | 0.07 | 56.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 8:53 | 0.00 | 59.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:46 | 0.06 | 37.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:49 | 0.00 | 24.4% | 0.0 |
| L | 30 | 27 | 3 | .900 | 2.66 | −0.3 | 57:43 |