Thu, Mar 12, 2026·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Washington Capitals 2, Buffalo Sabres 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 53% of the time.
45%
9%
9%
38%
BUF winsWSH wins
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Matt RoyD · #3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:46 | 0.02 | 40.5% | 0.0 |
 Tom WilsonRW · #43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20:34 | 0.46 | 65.5% | 0.0 |
 Jakob ChychrunD · #6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 20:25 | 0.12 | 41.1% | +38.2 |
 Martin FehérváryD · #42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:56 | 0.02 | 52.1% | 0.0 |
 Rasmus SandinD · #38 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:47 | 0.21 | 40.8% | 0.0 |
 Pierre-Luc DuboisC · #80 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:41 | 0.19 | 56.9% | 0.0 |
 Trevor van RiemsdykD · #57 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 19:00 | 0.26 | 55.2% | +38.2 |
 Aliaksei ProtasLW · #21 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:31 | 0.09 | 33.3% | +38.2 |
 Timothy LiljegrenD · #27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 15:50 | 0.07 | 41.2% | 0.0 |
 Dylan StromeC · #17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 15:25 | 0.00 | 34.4% | 0.0 |
 Justin SourdifC · #34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:50 | 0.05 | 39.8% | 0.0 |
 Connor McMichaelLW · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:15 | 0.71 | 81.4% | 0.0 |
 Anthony BeauvillierRW · #72 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:07 | 0.10 | 35.2% | 0.0 |
 Alex OvechkinLW · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:03 | 0.30 | 35.6% | 0.0 |
 Ryan LeonardRW · #9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 13:46 | 0.06 | 29.3% | +21.0 |
 Hendrix LapierreC · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:17 | 0.08 | 51.3% | 0.0 |
 Brandon DuhaimeRW · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:17 | 0.00 | 37.5% | 0.0 |
 Ethen FrankRW · #53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:30 | 0.00 | 55.7% | 0.0 |
 Charlie Lindgren#79 | W | 30 | 29 | 1 | .967 | 2.92 | +1.9 | 60:00 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Rasmus DahlinD · #26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23:28 | 0.19 | 64.3% | 0.0 |
 Bowen ByramD · #4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23:02 | 0.18 | 45.3% | 0.0 |
 Tage ThompsonC · #72 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 22:04 | 0.38 | 52.3% | 0.0 |
 Owen PowerD · #25 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21:29 | 0.04 | 49.7% | +13.7 |
 Mattias SamuelssonD · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:30 | 0.05 | 68.5% | 0.0 |
 Ryan McLeodC · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:26 | 0.22 | 43.1% | 0.0 |
 Zach BensonLW · #6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:15 | 0.16 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
 Jason ZuckerLW · #17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 17:07 | 0.28 | 41.4% | 0.0 |
 Noah OstlundC · #86 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:49 | 0.04 | 53.1% | 0.0 |
 Jack QuinnRW · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:19 | 0.14 | 44.4% | 0.0 |
 Josh NorrisC · #9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:45 | 0.18 | 53.7% | 0.0 |
 Josh DoanRW · #91 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 14:42 | 0.39 | 63.1% | 0.0 |
 Luke SchennD · #5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:31 | 0.01 | 48.6% | 0.0 |
 Peyton KrebsC · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:44 | 0.05 | 55.6% | 0.0 |
 Logan StanleyD · #64 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:02 | 0.13 | 57.3% | 0.0 |
 Sam CarrickC · #10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 10:51 | 0.13 | 75.0% | +13.7 |
 Beck MalenstynLW · #29 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 10:25 | 0.08 | 95.0% | +13.7 |
 Tanner PearsonLW · #70 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 8:58 | 0.29 | 84.0% | 0.0 |
 Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen#1 | L | 22 | 20 | 2 | .909 | 2.23 | +0.2 | 58:33 |