WSH 2 @ BUF 1 · Mar 12, 2026

Thu, Mar 12, 2026·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Away

Washington Capitals

Final

Home

Buffalo Sabres

Three stars

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 53% of the time.

45%

38%

BUF winsWSH wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against WSH's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

	Wilson–Dubois–Lapierre	Strome–Protas–Leonard	Duhaime–McMichael–Frank	Ovechkin–Beauvillier–Sourdif	Beauvillier–Duhaime–Sourdif	van Riemsdyk–Fehérváry	Chychrun–Liljegren	Roy–Sandin	Roy–Fehérváry	van Riemsdyk–Chychrun	Liljegren–Sandin
Zucker–McLeod–Quinn	1:100.07–0.00	1:330.25–0.21	5:030.12–0.24	0:410.01–0.01		2:550.23–0.28	3:250.22–0.01	3:280.06–0.23		0:310.00–0.21
Thompson–Ostlund–Benson	3:560.14–0.08		1:040.00–0.00	2:330.16–0.12	0:360.04–0.00	5:200.14–0.09	0:590.16–0.00	2:110.04–0.00	1:230.00–0.00
Norris–Krebs–Doan	2:140.05–0.00	3:200.27–0.11		1:020.07–0.08			4:410.29–0.19	1:510.05–0.00		0:350.05–0.00
Carrick–Pearson–Malenstyn		2:300.35–0.02	0:520.00–0.00	1:420.01–0.01		1:520.03–0.03	2:110.17–0.00	1:530.34–0.00			0:380.00–0.00
Thompson–Krebs–Ostlund		0:300.00–0.02						0:310.00–0.02
Thompson–Norris–Ostlund	1:040.00–0.00						0:380.00–0.00
Byram–Power	7:050.21–0.29	3:020.25–0.22	2:050.06–0.00	0:420.00–0.00	0:360.04–0.00	6:060.37–0.33	3:590.15–0.00	4:340.23–0.02	0:350.00–0.00	0:440.00–0.21	0:560.00–0.09
Samuelsson–Dahlin	2:330.15–0.08	3:010.40–0.02	4:180.06–0.24	2:410.01–0.10	0:440.14–0.00	4:070.13–0.06	3:330.22–0.09	6:080.44–0.30		0:460.05–0.00
Schenn–Stanley	0:350.00–0.00	3:230.22–0.11		2:350.08–0.12		2:350.00–0.02	4:510.30–0.11	1:300.00–0.00	0:380.00–0.00
Schenn–Dahlin								0:330.00–0.06

Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

BUFWSHFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals


Rasmus DahlinBUF	22	23:28	1:04	2:58	2	4
Bowen ByramBUF	24	23:02	0:58	2:23	4	3
Tage ThompsonBUF	20	22:04	1:06	1:47	6	1
Matt RoyWSH	26	21:46	0:50	1:33	3	4
Owen PowerBUF	22	21:29	0:59	1:37	5	3
Tom WilsonWSH	23	20:34	0:54	1:53	3	2
Mattias SamuelssonBUF	24	20:30	0:51	1:17	1	6
Jakob ChychrunWSH	18	20:25	1:08	2:20	3	1
Martin FehérváryWSH	22	19:56	0:54	1:33	0	2
Rasmus SandinWSH	22	19:47	0:54	1:32	3	3
Pierre-Luc DuboisWSH	21	19:41	0:56	1:41	5	0
Trevor van RiemsdykWSH	21	19:00	0:54	1:27	0	2
Ryan McLeodBUF	21	17:26	0:50	2:29	3	4
Zach BensonBUF	20	17:15	0:52	1:32	3	2
Jason ZuckerBUF	18	17:07	0:57	2:21	5	2
Noah OstlundBUF	18	16:49	0:56	1:29	3	0
Aliaksei ProtasWSH	20	16:31	0:50	1:32	5	0
Jack QuinnBUF	21	16:19	0:47	1:27	3	2
Timothy LiljegrenWSH	19	15:50	0:50	1:33	3	1
Josh NorrisBUF	16	15:45	0:59	2:44	3	0
Dylan StromeWSH	18	15:25	0:51	1:41	6	0
Justin SourdifWSH	18	14:50	0:49	1:09	4	1
Josh DoanBUF	16	14:42	0:55	2:53	2	2
Luke SchennBUF	20	14:31	0:44	1:19	0	3
Connor McMichaelWSH	22	14:15	0:39	1:18	2	3
Anthony BeauvillierWSH	17	14:07	0:50	1:10	3	2
Alex OvechkinWSH	17	14:03	0:50	3:00	7	0
Ryan LeonardWSH	17	13:46	0:49	1:30	4	0
Peyton KrebsBUF	16	13:44	0:52	1:08	1	1
Hendrix LapierreWSH	15	13:17	0:53	1:22	1	1
Logan StanleyBUF	20	13:02	0:39	1:32	0	2
Brandon DuhaimeWSH	19	12:17	0:39	1:12	1	4
Sam CarrickBUF	18	10:51	0:36	0:56	1	3
Ethen FrankWSH	14	10:30	0:45	1:00	1	1
Beck MalenstynBUF	16	10:25	0:39	1:46	1	5
Tanner PearsonBUF	15	8:58	0:36	0:57	1	2

Washington Capitals 2, Buffalo Sabres 1

Who was on the ice

Shift totals