Wed, Mar 18, 2026·Capital One Arena, Washington
Ottawa Senators 1, Washington Capitals 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 62% of the time.
55%
31%
WSH winsOTT wins
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 28:06 | 0.16 | 44.7% | +6.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24:04 | 0.12 | 64.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 21:09 | 0.47 | 54.0% | +6.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 20:41 | 0.11 | 29.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:07 | 0.05 | 54.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:04 | 0.44 | 32.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 18:30 | 0.45 | 63.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:25 | 0.34 | 59.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:05 | 0.28 | 68.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:41 | 0.30 | 60.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:15 | 0.13 | 28.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:20 | 0.12 | 32.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13:20 | 0.20 | 73.6% | +6.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:41 | 0.24 | 41.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:42 | 0.03 | 36.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:41 | 0.14 | 34.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:08 | 0.03 | 45.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:33 | 0.05 | 39.6% | 0.0 |
| L | 23 | 21 | 2 | .913 | 3.02 | +1.0 | 57:42 |
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 23:31 | 0.09 | 62.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 21:52 | 0.00 | 30.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20:09 | 0.00 | 50.9% | +23.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 19:38 | 0.71 | 55.7% | +5.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:01 | 0.00 | 54.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 17:49 | 0.58 | 48.4% | +13.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:34 | 0.11 | 42.7% | +5.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 17:24 | 0.00 | 45.0% | +13.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17:05 | 0.04 | 32.3% | +13.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16:24 | 0.92 | 71.5% | +0.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 15:43 | 0.33 | 64.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 14:15 | 0.36 | 80.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:26 | 0.47 | 61.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:08 | 0.10 | 45.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 12:57 | 0.31 | 81.1% | +23.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:54 | 0.00 | 57.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:51 | 0.33 | 30.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:19 | 0.07 | 49.3% | 0.0 |
| W | 35 | 34 | 1 | .971 | 3.68 | +2.7 | 60:00 |