Wed, Mar 18, 2026·Capital One Arena, Washington
Ottawa Senators 1, Washington Capitals 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 62% of the time.
55%
31%
WSH winsOTT wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
WSH forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Tkachuk–Cozens–Greig | Cousins–Amadio–Pinto | Giroux–Batherson–Stützle | Eller–Foegele–Zetterlund | Batherson–Cozens–Greig | Foegele–Amadio–Pinto | Zetterlund–Tkachuk–Stützle | Eller–Amadio–Pinto | Chabot–Zub | Spence–Kleven | Gilbert–Matinpalo | Chabot–Spence | Gilbert–Spence | Kleven–Matinpalo | Kleven–Zub | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wilson–Dubois–Protas | 1:380.00–0.18 | 2:590.19–0.03 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 2:100.12–0.01 | 2:490.21–0.03 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 0:570.00–0.18 | |||||||
| Ovechkin–Strome–Beauvillier | 1:390.21–0.00 | 2:150.17–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.03 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 1:220.20–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 4:300.50–0.00 | 1:360.00–0.03 | 0:500.13–0.00 | ||||||
| McMichael–Sourdif–Leonard | 1:390.00–0.02 | 1:080.14–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.00 | 1:110.01–0.08 | 1:320.00–0.00 | 0:530.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Dubois–McMichael–Leonard | 1:550.00–0.30 | 1:010.00–0.21 | 1:130.00–0.21 | 2:200.00–0.30 | |||||||||||
| Wilson–Protas–Lapierre | 0:580.18–0.28 | 0:460.01–0.00 | 0:550.00–0.00 | 1:200.18–0.00 | 1:260.00–0.28 | 0:350.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Duhaime–Lapierre–Frank | 0:330.00–0.10 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 1:090.07–0.10 | 1:130.00–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.10 | |||||||||
| Duhaime–Sourdif–Frank | 0:460.26–0.00 | 1:140.00–0.02 | 0:540.00–0.09 | 0:450.00–0.01 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 1:350.26–0.10 | |||||||||
| Strome–Duhaime–Frank | 0:410.07–0.00 | 0:300.07–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Strome–Beauvillier–Duhaime | 0:380.00–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.07 | |||||||||||||
| Strome–Beauvillier–Frank | |||||||||||||||
| van Riemsdyk–Chychrun | 3:050.07–0.02 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 2:390.15–0.25 | 2:030.22–0.18 | 1:070.00–0.07 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 5:450.39–0.27 | 3:020.06–0.03 | 2:120.00–0.15 | 0:560.00–0.20 | 0:410.00–0.00 | ||||
| Fehérváry–Sandin | 3:240.06–0.62 | 2:260.00–0.18 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 0:580.00–0.03 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 4:320.17–0.01 | 4:440.00–0.67 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 1:210.14–0.18 | |||||
| Roy–Hutson | 1:090.07–0.10 | 2:470.33–0.00 | 3:090.06–0.18 | 1:110.00–0.00 | 0:360.15–0.00 | 3:480.15–0.18 | 3:200.18–0.00 | 1:440.32–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.22 | 1:160.07–0.00 | 0:380.01–0.00 | ||||
| Roy–Sandin | 1:140.26–0.00 | 0:400.17–0.07 | 0:460.00–0.00 | 1:390.43–0.00 | 1:010.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Roy–Chychrun | 0:440.00–0.07 | 1:260.00–0.07 | |||||||||||||
| Roy–Fehérváry | 0:460.04–0.03 | ||||||||||||||
| Fehérváry–Hutson | 0:540.14–0.00 | 0:510.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
WSHOTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Thomas ChabotOTT | 27 | 28:06 | 1:02 | 2:08 | 3 | 4 |
 Jordan SpenceOTT | 25 | 24:04 | 0:58 | 1:38 | 3 | 2 |
 Matt RoyWSH | 24 | 23:31 | 0:59 | 1:35 | 0 | 3 |
 Martin FehérváryWSH | 25 | 21:52 | 0:52 | 1:59 | 2 | 5 |
 Tim StützleOTT | 26 | 21:09 | 0:49 | 1:46 | 9 | 2 |
 Artem ZubOTT | 24 | 20:41 | 0:52 | 2:12 | 0 | 3 |
 Rasmus SandinWSH | 23 | 20:09 | 0:53 | 1:15 | 3 | 1 |
 Tyler KlevenOTT | 25 | 20:07 | 0:48 | 2:16 | 1 | 1 |
 Aliaksei ProtasWSH | 24 | 19:38 | 0:49 | 1:40 | 3 | 4 |
 Shane PintoOTT | 23 | 19:04 | 0:50 | 1:46 | 2 | 4 |
 Brady TkachukOTT | 22 | 18:30 | 0:50 | 1:52 | 6 | 1 |
 Dylan CozensOTT | 21 | 18:25 | 0:53 | 1:49 | 6 | 1 |
 Jakob ChychrunWSH | 20 | 18:01 | 0:54 | 1:41 | 1 | 3 |
 Tom WilsonWSH | 24 | 17:49 | 0:45 | 1:33 | 3 | 5 |
 Connor McMichaelWSH | 24 | 17:34 | 0:44 | 1:14 | 2 | 6 |
 Trevor van RiemsdykWSH | 22 | 17:24 | 0:47 | 1:21 | 0 | 4 |
 Pierre-Luc DuboisWSH | 23 | 17:05 | 0:45 | 1:27 | 3 | 3 |
 Drake BathersonOTT | 23 | 17:05 | 0:45 | 1:38 | 8 | 1 |
 Ridly GreigOTT | 21 | 16:41 | 0:48 | 1:40 | 2 | 2 |
 Cole HutsonWSH | 21 | 16:24 | 0:47 | 1:34 | 2 | 1 |
 Anthony BeauvillierWSH | 20 | 15:43 | 0:47 | 1:55 | 5 | 2 |
 Dylan StromeWSH | 16 | 14:15 | 0:53 | 1:30 | 6 | 0 |
 Michael AmadioOTT | 19 | 14:15 | 0:45 | 1:07 | 1 | 3 |
 Ethen FrankWSH | 16 | 13:26 | 0:50 | 1:14 | 3 | 1 |
 Nick CousinsOTT | 17 | 13:20 | 0:47 | 1:09 | 1 | 1 |
 Claude GirouxOTT | 22 | 13:20 | 0:36 | 1:08 | 8 | 1 |
 Brandon DuhaimeWSH | 21 | 13:08 | 0:38 | 1:06 | 2 | 3 |
 Alex OvechkinWSH | 16 | 12:57 | 0:49 | 2:16 | 5 | 0 |
 Fabian ZetterlundOTT | 23 | 12:41 | 0:33 | 1:11 | 4 | 1 |
 Justin SourdifWSH | 16 | 11:54 | 0:45 | 1:23 | 1 | 3 |
 Ryan LeonardWSH | 15 | 11:51 | 0:47 | 1:38 | 1 | 2 |
 Lars EllerOTT | 20 | 11:42 | 0:35 | 1:41 | 2 | 5 |
 Hendrix LapierreWSH | 15 | 11:19 | 0:45 | 1:25 | 2 | 1 |
 Warren FoegeleOTT | 18 | 10:41 | 0:36 | 1:19 | 3 | 1 |
 Nikolas MatinpaloOTT | 14 | 10:08 | 0:43 | 1:56 | 0 | 1 |
 Dennis GilbertOTT | 15 | 9:33 | 0:38 | 1:17 | 0 | 0 |