Sat, Mar 21, 2026·Rogers Place, Edmonton
Tampa Bay Lightning 5, Edmonton Oilers 2
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Edmonton Oilers win this game 52% of the time.
44%
9%
9%
39%
EDM winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Darren RaddyshD · #43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 26:00 | 0.10 | 72.0% | 0.0 |
 J.J. MoserD · #90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 0 | 22:42 | 0.00 | 67.7% | +17.5 |
 Ryan McDonaghD · #27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 22:01 | 0.00 | 48.0% | 0.0 |
 Brandon HagelLW · #38 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 2 | 20:47 | 0.28 | 74.4% | +32.9 |
 Erik CernakD · #81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 20:14 | 0.00 | 39.4% | 0.0 |
 Nikita KucherovRW · #86 | 2 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 7 | 19:53 | 0.77 | 72.2% | +68.2 |
 Jake GuentzelC · #59 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 19:22 | 0.47 | 24.9% | +17.8 |
 Brayden PointC · #21 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 17:54 | 0.05 | 25.5% | +17.8 |
 Yanni GourdeC · #37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:16 | 0.08 | 46.0% | 0.0 |
 Gage GoncalvesC · #93 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:13 | 0.00 | 53.5% | 0.0 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsC · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:09 | 0.07 | 17.8% | 0.0 |
 Nick PaulLW · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:01 | 0.05 | 52.5% | 0.0 |
 Emil LillebergD · #78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:02 | 0.03 | 15.5% | 0.0 |
 Charle-Edouard D'AstousD · #51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 11:58 | 0.06 | 18.9% | 0.0 |
 Pontus HolmbergRW · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:00 | 0.19 | 55.9% | 0.0 |
 Anthony CirelliC · #71 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 5 | 10:28 | 0.82 | 69.9% | +21.0 |
 Oliver BjorkstrandRW · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 10:10 | 0.24 | 8.2% | 0.0 |
 Corey PerryRW · #10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:59 | 0.06 | 37.3% | 0.0 |
 Andrei Vasilevskiy#88 | W | 27 | 26 | 2 | .963 | 3.37 | +1.4 | 60:00 |
Edmonton Oilers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Evan BouchardD · #2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −3 | 3 | 27:37 | 0.50 | 23.0% | +19.8 |
 Mattias EkholmD · #14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 23:49 | 0.09 | 30.4% | 0.0 |
 Connor McDavidC · #97 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −3 | 4 | 22:42 | 0.54 | 25.7% | +19.8 |
 Zach HymanLW · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 20:28 | 0.04 | 26.0% | 0.0 |
 Darnell NurseD · #25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20:26 | 0.14 | 55.1% | 0.0 |
 Ryan Nugent-HopkinsC · #93 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 19:56 | 0.14 | 26.5% | 0.0 |
 Kasperi KapanenRW · #42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:37 | 0.09 | 60.6% | 0.0 |
 Connor MurphyD · #5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:23 | 0.00 | 67.0% | 0.0 |
 Jason DickinsonC · #16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:44 | 0.29 | 61.4% | 0.0 |
 Matt SavoieC · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:27 | 0.07 | 78.6% | 0.0 |
 Jake WalmanD · #96 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 15:19 | 0.11 | 83.9% | 0.0 |
 Vasily PodkolzinRW · #92 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:08 | 0.02 | 65.9% | 0.0 |
 Ty EmbersonD · #49 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 13:18 | 0.01 | 77.4% | 0.0 |
 Jack RoslovicC · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 12:43 | 0.16 | 88.6% | 0.0 |
 Josh SamanskiC · #81 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 10:05 | 1.00 | 89.5% | +16.0 |
 Adam HenriqueC · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:29 | 0.14 | 79.5% | 0.0 |
 Max JonesLW · #46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:27 | 0.00 | 69.4% | 0.0 |
 Roby JarventieLW · #15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:30 | 0.03 | 49.7% | 0.0 |
 Connor Ingram#39 | L | 27 | 23 | 4 | .852 | 2.94 | −1.1 | 58:42 |