Tue, Mar 31, 2026·Amerant Bank Arena, Sunrise
Ottawa Senators 3, Florida Panthers 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 86% of the time.
82%
10%
FLA winsOTT wins
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 4 | 24:05 | 0.10 | 21.7% | +0.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 22:39 | 0.01 | 34.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 21:05 | 0.18 | 34.1% | +0.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 20:48 | 0.00 | 39.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:21 | 0.45 | 21.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 20:18 | 0.61 | 28.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 18:16 | 0.23 | 29.0% | +1.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:53 | 0.13 | 32.9% | +1.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:36 | 0.03 | 40.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:17 | 0.00 | 25.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:43 | 0.02 | 51.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 14:20 | 0.22 | 32.3% | +2.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 13:49 | 0.07 | 55.6% | +1.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:42 | 0.02 | 16.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:11 | 0.24 | 60.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:09 | 0.01 | 33.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:20 | 0.23 | 45.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:08 | 0.07 | 55.5% | 0.0 |
| L | 16 | 11 | 5 | .688 | 2.62 | −2.4 | 14:36 | |
| – | 13 | 12 | 1 | .923 | 2.14 | +1.1 | 41:57 |
Florida Panthers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 1 | 25:20 | 0.36 | 65.5% | +30.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24:26 | 0.11 | 75.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:49 | 0.18 | 87.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 17:55 | 0.01 | 68.6% | +4.9 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17:19 | 0.66 | 79.5% | +3.7 | |
| 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 17:13 | 0.92 | 77.7% | +22.8 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 16:59 | 1.41 | 74.9% | +12.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 16:51 | 0.54 | 78.4% | +4.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:51 | 0.16 | 57.5% | +4.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15:21 | 0.03 | 76.4% | +11.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:09 | 0.03 | 40.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:00 | 0.01 | 53.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:51 | 0.05 | 65.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:46 | 0.39 | 76.0% | +10.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:04 | 0.00 | 25.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:25 | 0.05 | 21.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:16 | 0.11 | 21.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9:25 | 0.41 | 85.7% | +11.0 |
| W | 26 | 23 | 3 | .885 | 2.61 | −0.4 | 60:00 |