Tue, Mar 31, 2026·Amerant Bank Arena, Sunrise
Ottawa Senators 3, Florida Panthers 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 86% of the time.
82%
10%
FLA winsOTT wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
FLA forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Tkachuk–Cozens–Greig | Cousins–Amadio–Pinto | Eller–Foegele–Zetterlund | Batherson–Tkachuk–Cozens | Amadio–Greig–Stützle | Giroux–Batherson–Stützle | Giroux–Cousins–Pinto | Foegele–Batherson–Stützle | Eller–Cousins–Amadio | Giroux–Eller–Zetterlund | Amadio–Pinto–Greig | Giroux–Amadio–Pinto | Kleven–Zub | Spence–Kleven | Thomson–Matinpalo | Spence–Yakemchuk | Kleven–Yakemchuk | Spence–Matinpalo | Zub–Matinpalo | Thomson–Zub | Zub–Yakemchuk | Thomson–Spence | Kleven–Matinpalo | Matinpalo–Yakemchuk | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Verhaeghe–Bennett–Tkachuk | 0:500.00–0.01 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 1:230.28–0.00 | 1:390.18–0.08 | 1:080.21–0.09 | 3:290.33–0.09 | 3:070.42–0.10 | 1:120.25–0.00 | 0:430.01–0.00 | |||||||||||||||
| Greer–Luostarinen–Samoskevich | 5:380.36–0.21 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 1:110.07–0.00 | 1:270.00–0.00 | 1:080.00–0.04 | 1:570.02–0.00 | 0:310.04–0.00 | 2:180.17–0.18 | 0:460.12–0.00 | |||||||||||||||
| Hinostroza–Kunin–Reinhardt | 1:280.00–0.15 | 3:030.13–0.25 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 0:380.02–0.00 | 1:240.08–0.18 | 2:260.00–0.03 | 0:470.05–0.00 | 1:200.02–0.22 | ||||||||||||||||
| Nosek–Gregor–Boqvist | 2:160.21–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.08 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 1:010.00–0.00 | 0:500.03–0.01 | 1:380.00–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.08 | 2:090.00–0.00 | 1:470.21–0.00 | 0:460.03–0.01 | ||||||||||||
| Hinostroza–Luostarinen–Reinhardt | 0:460.00–0.16 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Ekblad–Forsling | 1:450.12–0.06 | 0:590.00–0.00 | 1:050.00–0.00 | 1:200.11–0.00 | 1:140.18–0.00 | 1:440.07–0.00 | 1:070.21–0.09 | 0:360.12–0.01 | 0:320.02–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 1:540.18–0.00 | 1:570.29–0.02 | 1:290.02–0.00 | 2:180.29–0.00 | 0:490.00–0.06 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 0:440.02–0.00 | 0:530.00–0.00 | 0:490.11–0.00 | 0:300.12–0.00 | ||||
| Kulikov–Benning | 1:400.09–0.13 | 2:260.05–0.01 | 1:540.13–0.07 | 0:350.00–0.08 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 1:430.08–0.01 | 0:410.13–0.00 | 2:480.00–0.27 | 1:460.05–0.00 | 2:270.24–0.12 | 1:220.05–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Jones–Sebrango | 2:310.14–0.04 | 1:110.16–0.15 | 1:550.15–0.00 | 0:580.00–0.08 | 0:560.12–0.00 | 1:000.03–0.01 | 3:150.15–0.08 | 2:220.00–0.13 | 1:140.00–0.00 | 0:400.19–0.00 | 0:360.22–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.15 | 1:090.04–0.01 | 0:480.00–0.00 | 0:320.03–0.00 | |||||||||
| Jones–Forsling | 1:090.00–0.04 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Forsling–Benning | 0:350.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
FLAOTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Seth JonesFLA | 29 | 25:20 | 0:52 | 3:04 | 4 | 4 |
 Gustav ForslingFLA | 29 | 24:26 | 0:51 | 2:38 | 1 | 5 |
 Jordan SpenceOTT | 32 | 24:05 | 0:45 | 1:57 | 6 | 5 |
 Tyler KlevenOTT | 27 | 22:39 | 0:50 | 1:30 | 2 | 4 |
 Tim StützleOTT | 26 | 21:05 | 0:49 | 2:06 | 6 | 0 |
 Aaron EkbladFLA | 26 | 20:49 | 0:48 | 1:56 | 2 | 5 |
 Shane PintoOTT | 26 | 20:48 | 0:48 | 1:56 | 2 | 3 |
 Dylan CozensOTT | 23 | 20:21 | 0:53 | 1:37 | 6 | 3 |
 Brady TkachukOTT | 24 | 20:18 | 0:51 | 2:07 | 6 | 3 |
 Drake BathersonOTT | 27 | 18:16 | 0:41 | 1:35 | 9 | 1 |
 Donovan SebrangoFLA | 23 | 17:55 | 0:47 | 2:01 | 3 | 3 |
 Sam BennettFLA | 21 | 17:19 | 0:49 | 3:29 | 1 | 5 |
 Matthew TkachukFLA | 22 | 17:13 | 0:47 | 3:29 | 1 | 6 |
 Carter VerhaegheFLA | 21 | 16:59 | 0:49 | 3:29 | 1 | 6 |
 Ridly GreigOTT | 24 | 16:53 | 0:42 | 1:39 | 2 | 8 |
 A.J. GreerFLA | 23 | 16:51 | 0:44 | 1:22 | 2 | 1 |
 Nikolas MatinpaloOTT | 20 | 16:36 | 0:50 | 3:04 | 0 | 6 |
 Claude GirouxOTT | 24 | 16:17 | 0:41 | 1:19 | 5 | 3 |
 Eetu LuostarinenFLA | 24 | 15:51 | 0:40 | 1:23 | 2 | 4 |
 Artem ZubOTT | 28 | 15:43 | 0:34 | 0:55 | 3 | 7 |
 Tomas NosekFLA | 26 | 15:21 | 0:35 | 1:05 | 2 | 5 |
 Mike BenningFLA | 18 | 15:09 | 0:51 | 1:37 | 2 | 1 |
 Dmitry KulikovFLA | 21 | 15:00 | 0:43 | 1:31 | 2 | 2 |
 Jesper BoqvistFLA | 21 | 14:51 | 0:42 | 1:04 | 3 | 1 |
 Michael AmadioOTT | 23 | 14:20 | 0:37 | 1:41 | 0 | 2 |
 Lassi ThomsonOTT | 19 | 13:49 | 0:44 | 1:25 | 2 | 0 |
 Carter YakemchukOTT | 21 | 13:42 | 0:39 | 1:16 | 5 | 2 |
 Mackie SamoskevichFLA | 17 | 12:46 | 0:45 | 1:40 | 4 | 1 |
 Fabian ZetterlundOTT | 17 | 12:11 | 0:43 | 1:35 | 2 | 4 |
 Nick CousinsOTT | 16 | 11:09 | 0:42 | 1:13 | 1 | 1 |
 Luke KuninFLA | 16 | 11:04 | 0:42 | 1:10 | 5 | 1 |
 Cole ReinhardtFLA | 14 | 10:25 | 0:45 | 1:36 | 4 | 0 |
 Warren FoegeleOTT | 21 | 10:20 | 0:30 | 0:59 | 1 | 3 |
 Vinnie HinostrozaFLA | 14 | 10:16 | 0:44 | 1:35 | 4 | 0 |
 Lars EllerOTT | 17 | 10:08 | 0:36 | 1:32 | 1 | 5 |
 Noah GregorFLA | 15 | 9:25 | 0:38 | 0:55 | 2 | 1 |