Thu, Oct 1, 2026·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose
Florida Panthers 3, San Jose Sharks 4 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 57% of the time.
35%
8%
8%
49%
SJS winsFLA wins
Florida Panthers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 27:43 | 0.20 | 53.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23:33 | 0.54 | 58.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22:47 | 0.47 | 52.2% | +33.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22:42 | 0.06 | 49.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 21:33 | 0.08 | 64.0% | +5.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20:49 | 0.24 | 57.8% | +33.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 20:43 | 0.46 | 62.7% | +12.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 19:37 | 0.31 | 47.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 17:28 | 0.00 | 58.8% | +12.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:14 | 0.12 | 59.5% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16:28 | 0.38 | 68.5% | +18.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14:57 | 0.20 | 74.2% | +5.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 13:31 | 0.01 | 67.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:52 | 0.00 | 84.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:19 | 0.46 | 59.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:15 | 0.01 | 30.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:03 | 0.00 | 84.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:16 | 0.00 | 84.4% | 0.0 |
| O | 32 | 28 | 4 | .875 | 3.10 | −0.9 | 63:14 |
San Jose Sharks
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 7 | 22:57 | 0.40 | 65.1% | +69.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22:35 | 0.04 | 43.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 21:44 | 0.28 | 41.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 21:17 | 0.37 | 20.1% | +56.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 20:44 | 0.15 | 41.6% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 3 | 20:09 | 0.66 | 63.7% | +69.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:46 | 0.02 | 64.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:55 | 0.02 | 26.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:07 | 0.01 | 57.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:48 | 0.07 | 33.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:09 | 0.00 | 15.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:01 | 0.21 | 49.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:35 | 0.09 | 33.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12:44 | 0.19 | 79.7% | +17.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:13 | 0.09 | 30.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 11:34 | 0.46 | 20.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:29 | 0.00 | 49.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:24 | 0.05 | 23.2% | 0.0 |
| W | 26 | 23 | 3 | .885 | 3.55 | +0.5 | 63:14 |