Tue, Oct 6, 2026·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit
Ottawa Senators 3, Detroit Red Wings 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 78% of the time.
71%
16%
DET winsOTT wins
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Thomas ChabotD · #72 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 26:12 | 0.12 | 41.4% | 0.0 |
 Jordan SpenceD · #10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 22:29 | 0.13 | 21.3% | 0.0 |
 Tim StützleC · #18 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21:37 | 0.36 | 38.2% | +25.7 |
 Dylan CozensC · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:29 | 0.21 | 39.6% | 0.0 |
 William EklundLW · #27 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 20:09 | 0.34 | 56.3% | +17.9 |
 Tyler KlevenD · #43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:58 | 0.04 | 11.6% | 0.0 |
 Drake BathersonRW · #19 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17:07 | 0.32 | 53.6% | +20.8 |
 Carter YakemchukD · #26 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 17:07 | 0.09 | 43.3% | +6.5 |
 Shane PintoC · #12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:37 | 0.15 | 17.3% | 0.0 |
 Nikolas MatinpaloD · #33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:35 | 0.05 | 47.8% | 0.0 |
 Michael AmadioRW · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:39 | 0.01 | 4.6% | 0.0 |
 Claude GirouxRW · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:28 | 0.02 | 36.1% | 0.0 |
 Fabian ZetterlundLW · #20 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 15:00 | 0.14 | 47.7% | +11.4 |
 Ridly GreigC · #71 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13:10 | 0.19 | 35.1% | +14.3 |
 Cameron CrottyD · #5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 10:51 | 0.00 | 62.0% | 0.0 |
 Stephen HallidayC · #34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 10:37 | 0.19 | 29.8% | 0.0 |
 Warren FoegeleLW · #37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:51 | 0.00 | 18.2% | 0.0 |
 Nick CousinsC · #21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 6:02 | 0.00 | 6.6% | 0.0 |
 Samuel Ersson#30 | L | 35 | 31 | 4 | .886 | 3.31 | −0.7 | 57:56 |
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Moritz SeiderD · #53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 24:01 | 0.18 | 53.4% | 0.0 |
 Dylan LarkinC · #71 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 20:41 | 0.81 | 64.9% | +30.5 |
 Michael RasmussenC · #27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:05 | 0.19 | 67.6% | 0.0 |
 Lucas RaymondLW · #23 | 0 | 3 | 3 | −1 | 6 | 19:47 | 0.51 | 65.1% | +23.0 |
 Alex DeBrincatRW · #93 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 3 | 18:45 | 1.01 | 85.1% | +34.8 |
 Andrew CoppC · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18:24 | 0.34 | 69.2% | 0.0 |
 Justin FaulkD · #72 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 3 | 18:21 | 0.16 | 87.2% | +10.3 |
 Emmitt FinnieC · #58 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:17 | 0.14 | 59.3% | 0.0 |
 Ben ChiarotD · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:14 | 0.05 | 45.7% | 0.0 |
 Viktor ArvidssonLW · #33 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17:20 | 0.39 | 65.9% | +30.5 |
 Anton JohanssonD · #42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:13 | 0.00 | 72.5% | 0.0 |
 Albert JohanssonD · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 17:00 | 0.03 | 56.8% | 0.0 |
 Keegan KolesarRW · #55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:07 | 0.08 | 61.4% | 0.0 |
 Michael Brandsegg-NygårdRW · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:37 | 0.02 | 70.0% | 0.0 |
 Axel Sandin-PellikkaD · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:27 | 0.03 | 47.5% | 0.0 |
 William WallinderD · #54 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 9:07 | 0.00 | 80.3% | +7.5 |
 Nate DanielsonC · #29 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 8:02 | 0.10 | 62.1% | +14.2 |
 Carter MazurLW · #34 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 7:25 | 0.04 | 49.3% | +14.2 |
 John Gibson#36 | W | 25 | 22 | 3 | .880 | 2.35 | −0.7 | 59:54 |