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Ice Lab

Tue, Oct 6, 2026·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Ottawa Senators 3, Detroit Red Wings 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 77% of the time.

DET winsOTT wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

DET forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Zetterlund–Cozens–EklundGiroux–Amadio–PintoBatherson–Stützle–EklundBatherson–Greig–StützleZetterlund–Cozens–GreigCousins–Foegele–HallidayZetterlund–Pinto–GreigFoegele–Amadio–CozensFoegele–Amadio–GreigCrotty–MatinpaloChabot–SpenceSpence–KlevenChabot–YakemchukKleven–YakemchukKleven–MatinpaloChabot–Matinpalo
Copp–Kolesar–Rasmussen0:430.00–0.001:460.00–0.001:420.00–0.021:160.00–0.001:070.12–0.001:510.00–0.060:550.08–0.000:580.12–0.001:410.00–0.022:310.00–0.040:390.00–0.000:430.00–0.01
Larkin–Arvidsson–Raymond1:010.03–0.010:320.00–0.002:080.24–0.181:090.10–0.030:310.00–0.000:570.03–0.003:140.36–0.320:590.10–0.001:520.09–0.031:160.00–0.010:410.00–0.00
DeBrincat–Finnie–Brandsegg-Nygård1:480.00–0.010:460.12–0.000:520.00–0.001:440.12–0.011:290.00–0.002:250.02–0.000:550.00–0.010:500.00–0.00
DeBrincat–Mazur–Danielson0:460.00–0.000:320.15–0.000:330.00–0.000:400.00–0.00
Mazur–Danielson–Brandsegg-Nygård0:390.05–0.00
Mazur–Danielson–Finnie0:540.10–0.180:400.10–0.18
Seider–Johansson1:000.00–0.001:110.06–0.010:350.00–0.000:340.00–0.001:170.00–0.000:310.00–0.001:420.00–0.002:550.09–0.241:410.00–0.000:450.03–0.001:270.06–0.010:590.00–0.00
Chiarot–Sandin-Pellikka0:300.00–0.181:230.00–0.010:530.00–0.141:200.03–0.000:450.00–0.000:450.00–0.001:120.12–0.180:570.00–0.010:540.00–0.01
Faulk–Johansson1:020.00–0.001:160.00–0.000:460.00–0.000:340.00–0.002:120.00–0.000:360.34–0.001:040.00–0.000:390.00–0.020:520.00–0.00
Faulk–Wallinder0:550.00–0.000:520.00–0.000:320.12–0.040:320.15–0.000:340.12–0.001:080.00–0.001:070.23–0.041:180.23–0.000:400.00–0.000:530.15–0.00
Chiarot–Johansson0:470.00–0.010:460.12–0.000:340.00–0.001:490.12–0.091:260.06–0.000:520.00–0.060:340.00–0.00
Johansson–Sandin-Pellikka0:320.01–0.000:410.02–0.000:320.01–0.00
Chiarot–Wallinder0:380.00–0.000:330.00–0.050:330.00–0.050:380.00–0.00
Chiarot–Seider0:590.00–0.00
Seider–Johansson
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndCopp FRasmussen FKolesar FFinnie FBrandsegg-Nygård FDeBrincat FArvidsson FLarkin FRaymond FDanielson FMazur FJohansson DFaulk DJohansson DSeider DSandin-Pellikka DChiarot DWallinder DGibson GPinto FAmadio FGiroux FZetterlund FCozens FEklund FStützle FBatherson FGreig FCousins FHalliday FFoegele FYakemchuk DKleven DSpence DChabot DMatinpalo DCrotty DErsson G
DETOTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Thomas ChabotOTT3226:120:491:4156
Moritz SeiderDET2824:010:512:1433
Jordan SpenceOTT2822:290:481:2317
Tim StützleOTT2721:370:481:4825
Dylan CozensOTT2421:290:541:4655
Dylan LarkinDET2620:410:482:1345
William EklundOTT2220:090:551:5223
Michael RasmussenDET2820:050:431:1833
Lucas RaymondDET2119:470:572:3742
Tyler KlevenOTT2718:580:421:2216
Alex DeBrincatDET2018:450:562:1361
Andrew CoppDET2918:240:381:0924
Justin FaulkDET2418:210:461:1412
Emmitt FinnieDET2318:170:481:1743
Ben ChiarotDET2318:140:481:5902
Viktor ArvidssonDET1917:200:552:5331
Anton JohanssonDET2017:130:521:5200
Drake BathersonOTT2517:070:411:3142
Carter YakemchukOTT2417:070:431:4940
Albert JohanssonDET2317:000:441:3815
Shane PintoOTT2416:370:421:1343
Nikolas MatinpaloOTT2316:350:431:2504
Michael AmadioOTT2215:390:431:2911
Claude GirouxOTT2315:280:401:3925
Keegan KolesarDET2115:070:431:1221
Fabian ZetterlundOTT1815:000:501:1123
Ridly GreigOTT2213:100:361:0923
Michael Brandsegg-NygårdDET1812:370:421:1131
Axel Sandin-PellikkaDET1511:270:461:1720
Cameron CrottyOTT1810:510:360:5801
Stephen HallidayOTT1410:370:461:1610
William WallinderDET159:070:361:0203
Warren FoegeleOTT118:510:481:2500
Nate DanielsonDET138:020:371:0600
Carter MazurDET127:250:371:0310
Nick CousinsOTT106:020:361:0210