Tue, Oct 6, 2026·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit
Ottawa Senators 3, Detroit Red Wings 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 77% of the time.
71%
16%
DET winsOTT wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
DET forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Zetterlund–Cozens–Eklund | Giroux–Amadio–Pinto | Batherson–Stützle–Eklund | Batherson–Greig–Stützle | Zetterlund–Cozens–Greig | Cousins–Foegele–Halliday | Zetterlund–Pinto–Greig | Foegele–Amadio–Cozens | Foegele–Amadio–Greig | Crotty–Matinpalo | Chabot–Spence | Spence–Kleven | Chabot–Yakemchuk | Kleven–Yakemchuk | Kleven–Matinpalo | Chabot–Matinpalo | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Copp–Kolesar–Rasmussen | 0:430.00–0.00 | 1:460.00–0.00 | 1:420.00–0.02 | 1:160.00–0.00 | 1:070.12–0.00 | 1:510.00–0.06 | 0:550.08–0.00 | 0:580.12–0.00 | 1:410.00–0.02 | 2:310.00–0.04 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.01 | ||||
| Larkin–Arvidsson–Raymond | 1:010.03–0.01 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 2:080.24–0.18 | 1:090.10–0.03 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:570.03–0.00 | 3:140.36–0.32 | 0:590.10–0.00 | 1:520.09–0.03 | 1:160.00–0.01 | 0:410.00–0.00 | |||||
| DeBrincat–Finnie–Brandsegg-Nygård | 1:480.00–0.01 | 0:460.12–0.00 | 0:520.00–0.00 | 1:440.12–0.01 | 1:290.00–0.00 | 2:250.02–0.00 | 0:550.00–0.01 | 0:500.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| DeBrincat–Mazur–Danielson | 0:460.00–0.00 | 0:320.15–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Mazur–Danielson–Brandsegg-Nygård | 0:390.05–0.00 | |||||||||||||||
| Mazur–Danielson–Finnie | 0:540.10–0.18 | 0:400.10–0.18 | ||||||||||||||
| Seider–Johansson | 1:000.00–0.00 | 1:110.06–0.01 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 1:170.00–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 1:420.00–0.00 | 2:550.09–0.24 | 1:410.00–0.00 | 0:450.03–0.00 | 1:270.06–0.01 | 0:590.00–0.00 | ||||
| Chiarot–Sandin-Pellikka | 0:300.00–0.18 | 1:230.00–0.01 | 0:530.00–0.14 | 1:200.03–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 1:120.12–0.18 | 0:570.00–0.01 | 0:540.00–0.01 | |||||||
| Faulk–Johansson | 1:020.00–0.00 | 1:160.00–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 2:120.00–0.00 | 0:360.34–0.00 | 1:040.00–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.02 | 0:520.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Faulk–Wallinder | 0:550.00–0.00 | 0:520.00–0.00 | 0:320.12–0.04 | 0:320.15–0.00 | 0:340.12–0.00 | 1:080.00–0.00 | 1:070.23–0.04 | 1:180.23–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 0:530.15–0.00 | ||||||
| Chiarot–Johansson | 0:470.00–0.01 | 0:460.12–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 1:490.12–0.09 | 1:260.06–0.00 | 0:520.00–0.06 | 0:340.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Johansson–Sandin-Pellikka | 0:320.01–0.00 | 0:410.02–0.00 | 0:320.01–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Chiarot–Wallinder | 0:380.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.05 | 0:330.00–0.05 | 0:380.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Chiarot–Seider | 0:590.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||||
| Seider–Johansson |
Every shift, one row per player.
DETOTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.