Tue, Oct 6, 2026·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Minnesota Wild 2, Buffalo Sabres 3 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 83% of the time.
77%
12%
BUF winsMIN wins
Minnesota Wild
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 29:30 | 0.23 | 51.4% | +16.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 24:58 | 0.12 | 41.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 7 | 23:24 | 0.50 | 52.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 0 | 21:49 | 0.05 | 63.5% | +16.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 20:26 | 0.06 | 33.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:18 | 0.00 | 16.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:18 | 0.00 | 26.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 17:44 | 0.11 | 38.2% | +16.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:30 | 0.29 | 57.6% | +16.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 15:16 | 0.00 | 25.0% | +16.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14:21 | 0.16 | 71.7% | +16.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:12 | 0.00 | 28.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:08 | 0.04 | 9.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:40 | 0.00 | 21.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:34 | 0.29 | 24.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 13:25 | 0.00 | 10.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:04 | 0.00 | 13.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:29 | 0.00 | 40.0% | 0.0 |
| O | 28 | 25 | 3 | .893 | 4.01 | +1.0 | 64:22 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 29:15 | 0.06 | 59.7% | +16.3 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 2 | 29:04 | 0.37 | 82.5% | +66.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22:41 | 0.07 | 70.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 21:45 | 0.20 | 65.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 20:41 | 0.66 | 70.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 20:39 | 0.38 | 66.0% | +16.3 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 9 | 20:23 | 1.36 | 64.6% | +76.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:44 | 0.31 | 61.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:21 | 0.16 | 79.6% | +25.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:52 | 0.00 | 62.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:19 | 0.11 | 47.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:15 | 0.04 | 70.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 13:56 | 0.20 | 90.4% | +50.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:01 | 0.00 | 85.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:05 | 0.06 | 43.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:44 | 0.00 | 21.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:28 | 0.04 | 27.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:17 | 0.00 | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 20 | 18 | 2 | .900 | 1.85 | −0.1 | 64:22 |