Sat, Oct 10, 2026·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Utah Mammoth 4, Buffalo Sabres 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Utah Mammoth win this game 68% of the time.
24%
61%
BUF winsUTA wins
Utah Mammoth
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Mikhail SergachevD · #98 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 25:23 | 0.26 | 47.7% | +15.5 |
 MacKenzie WeegarD · #52 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 20:23 | 0.10 | 51.7% | 0.0 |
 Logan CooleyC · #92 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20:07 | 0.00 | 63.6% | +18.0 |
 Nate SchmidtD · #88 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 19:37 | 0.01 | 77.1% | 0.0 |
 Nick SchmaltzC · #8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19:12 | 0.66 | 71.3% | +18.0 |
 John MarinoD · #6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 19:06 | 0.14 | 83.9% | +23.0 |
 Clayton KellerRW · #9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:06 | 0.14 | 73.4% | +18.0 |
 Dylan GuentherRW · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 17:18 | 0.40 | 64.5% | 0.0 |
 Vincent TrocheckC · #16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:15 | 0.19 | 53.4% | 0.0 |
 Andrew PeekeD · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:19 | 0.01 | 38.2% | 0.0 |
 Lawson CrouseLW · #67 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:57 | 0.05 | 64.3% | 0.0 |
 Kevin StenlundC · #82 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:50 | 0.00 | 38.6% | 0.0 |
 Dmitri SimashevD · #26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:25 | 0.15 | 46.2% | 0.0 |
 Barrett HaytonC · #27 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 12:30 | 0.04 | 79.6% | +21.6 |
 Kailer YamamotoRW · #56 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 12:28 | 0.20 | 86.9% | +32.2 |
 Jack McBainC · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:09 | 0.09 | 37.9% | 0.0 |
 Anders LeeLW · #72 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 12:08 | 1.28 | 84.0% | +23.0 |
 Daniil ButLW · #50 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:29 | 0.16 | 46.6% | 0.0 |
 Karel Vejmelka#70 | W | 24 | 23 | 1 | .958 | 2.73 | +1.7 | 59:54 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Rasmus DahlinD · #26 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 25:42 | 0.25 | 42.3% | +14.6 |
 Owen PowerD · #25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 25:06 | 0.02 | 32.4% | 0.0 |
 Jack QuinnRW · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:20 | 0.28 | 31.6% | 0.0 |
 Tage ThompsonC · #72 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 19:56 | 0.35 | 28.1% | +14.6 |
 Zach BensonLW · #6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:54 | 0.18 | 43.1% | 0.0 |
 Noah OstlundC · #86 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19:08 | 1.11 | 45.9% | 0.0 |
 Olen ZellwegerD · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:30 | 0.02 | 29.5% | 0.0 |
 Mattias SamuelssonD · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:09 | 0.08 | 36.2% | 0.0 |
 Josh NorrisC · #9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:33 | 0.04 | 26.2% | 0.0 |
 Ryan McLeodC · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:27 | 0.00 | 35.1% | 0.0 |
 Louis CrevierD · #46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 15:07 | 0.01 | 31.3% | 0.0 |
 Josh DoanRW · #91 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:16 | 0.19 | 57.7% | 0.0 |
 Peyton KrebsC · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:49 | 0.19 | 35.0% | 0.0 |
 Zach MetsaD · #73 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:38 | 0.00 | 31.4% | 0.0 |
 Beck MalenstynLW · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:11 | 0.00 | 4.8% | 0.0 |
 Justin DanforthRW · #15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:15 | 0.00 | 31.6% | 0.0 |
 Sam CarrickC · #10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:43 | 0.00 | 5.8% | 0.0 |
 Tyson KozakC · #48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 7:32 | 0.00 | 5.3% | 0.0 |
 Colten Ellis#92 | L | 30 | 26 | 4 | .867 | 3.88 | −0.1 | 59:28 |