Sat, Oct 10, 2026·Ball Arena, Denver
Toronto Maple Leafs 6, Colorado Avalanche 3
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 63% of the time.
55%
29%
COL winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23:40 | 0.10 | 23.1% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 22:06 | 1.03 | 62.0% | +64.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 21:13 | 0.00 | 25.9% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 3 | 5 | +1 | 4 | 19:51 | 0.54 | 43.3% | +98.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 18:48 | 0.02 | 42.5% | +20.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 18:33 | 0.04 | 75.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 17:15 | 0.13 | 33.1% | +42.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 16:53 | 0.00 | 53.4% | +12.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:50 | 0.20 | 10.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:11 | 0.12 | 30.8% | +14.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:07 | 0.13 | 37.6% | +20.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:21 | 0.10 | 56.3% | +23.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 5 | 15:21 | 0.84 | 52.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:25 | 0.00 | 62.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 13:59 | 0.04 | 23.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:58 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:05 | 0.00 | 24.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 3:29 | 0.00 | 1.1% | 0.0 |
| W | 33 | 30 | 3 | .909 | 4.14 | +1.1 | 59:55 |
Colorado Avalanche
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24:07 | 0.30 | 75.2% | +17.8 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 23:56 | 0.64 | 73.2% | +32.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 21:37 | 0.19 | 69.3% | +17.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20:50 | 0.62 | 49.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:19 | 0.41 | 72.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19:05 | 0.00 | 69.3% | +15.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:24 | 0.00 | 45.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 18:02 | 0.00 | 33.7% | +15.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:52 | 0.39 | 55.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17:47 | 0.58 | 72.2% | +25.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 15:55 | 0.13 | 64.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:41 | 0.04 | 70.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:00 | 0.41 | 58.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 11:35 | 0.09 | 30.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:18 | 0.06 | 24.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:39 | 0.00 | 82.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 8:59 | 0.14 | 23.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 7:57 | 0.14 | 32.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 22 | 17 | 5 | .773 | 2.70 | −2.3 | 56:56 |