Sat, Oct 10, 2026·Ball Arena, Denver
Toronto Maple Leafs 6, Colorado Avalanche 3
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 63% of the time.
55%
29%
COL winsTOR wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
COL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Roslovic–Matthews–Marchenko | Nylander–Matthews–McKenna | Sissons–Groulx–McKenna | Paul–Nylander–Cowan | Paul–Nylander–Groulx | Paul–Groulx–Marchenko | Nylander–Roslovic–Matthews | Sissons–Marchenko–Cowan | Sissons–Blueger–Duhaime | Roslovic–Matthews–McKenna | Blueger–Duhaime–Cowan | Paul–Roslovic–Cowan | Sissons–Nylander–McKenna | Blueger–Nylander–Duhaime | Nylander–Matthews–Cowan | Blueger–Cowan–McKenna | McCabe–Raddysh | Rielly–Blankenburg | Ekman-Larsson–Stecher | Ekman-Larsson–Blankenburg | Rielly–Stecher | McCabe–Stecher | Rielly–Raddysh | Tanev–Rielly | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lehkonen–MacKinnon–Necas | 1:450.35–0.12 | 0:540.07–0.13 | 0:410.14–0.00 | 1:250.19–0.00 | 0:350.11–0.00 | 0:530.07–0.00 | 1:340.14–0.00 | 0:490.00–0.03 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 5:060.44–0.11 | 1:470.07–0.03 | 1:110.14–0.19 | 0:300.05–0.00 | 1:470.18–0.06 | ||||||||||
| Kadri–Nelson–Landeskog | 1:050.00–0.06 | 0:350.02–0.00 | 0:570.36–0.09 | 0:510.05–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 1:020.11–0.00 | 1:090.09–0.07 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 1:090.00–0.09 | 2:550.05–0.02 | 1:090.09–0.07 | 0:450.47–0.00 | 0:580.00–0.00 | 0:570.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Schwartz–Svechkov–Hughes | 0:520.00–0.04 | 0:500.00–0.00 | 0:490.03–0.00 | 1:240.01–0.00 | 1:400.06–0.05 | 1:230.03–0.00 | 2:160.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||||||
| Roy–Kelly–L'Heureux | 0:570.00–0.67 | 0:320.08–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.11 | 0:480.09–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:510.07–0.00 | 1:320.09–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.11 | 0:460.00–0.67 | 1:220.00–0.04 | 0:530.07–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Roy–Kelly–Svechkov | 0:380.06–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Kulak–Malinski | 1:300.31–0.67 | 1:220.15–0.05 | 0:410.00–0.11 | 0:340.00–0.01 | 0:300.01–0.00 | 0:490.00–0.07 | 1:010.00–0.00 | 0:410.07–0.00 | 3:460.07–0.06 | 1:090.15–0.22 | 1:560.00–0.74 | 1:240.01–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 0:420.07–0.00 | 0:410.11–0.00 | |||||||||
| Toews–Makar | 2:230.04–0.18 | 1:250.19–0.00 | 1:290.09–0.00 | 0:350.11–0.00 | 0:550.07–0.00 | 0:520.14–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 5:340.43–0.11 | 2:100.07–0.15 | 1:050.05–0.00 | 1:030.11–0.06 | |||||||||||||
| Burns–Manson | 0:400.00–0.04 | 1:240.14–0.00 | 0:460.03–0.00 | 0:370.36–0.00 | 1:000.00–0.00 | 0:510.09–0.00 | 2:030.03–0.00 | 3:250.23–0.00 | 0:530.36–0.04 | 0:360.03–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Burns–Malinski | 0:340.00–0.00 | 1:020.11–0.00 | 1:110.06–0.09 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||||||||
| Manson–Kulak | 0:350.00–0.12 | 0:390.00–0.12 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Manson–Malinski | 0:570.05–0.00 | 1:160.05–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Burns–Kulak | 0:470.00–0.03 | 0:380.00–0.03 | 0:320.00–0.19 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Manson–Toews | 0:510.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
COLTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Martin NecasCOL | 20 | 24:07 | 1:12 | 3:04 | 4 | 1 |
 Nathan MacKinnonCOL | 21 | 23:56 | 1:08 | 2:43 | 5 | 1 |
 Jake McCabeTOR | 26 | 23:40 | 0:55 | 2:20 | 2 | 3 |
 Auston MatthewsTOR | 22 | 22:06 | 1:00 | 2:00 | 3 | 3 |
 Cale MakarCOL | 21 | 21:37 | 1:02 | 2:29 | 2 | 1 |
 Darren RaddyshTOR | 22 | 21:13 | 0:58 | 2:31 | 4 | 4 |
 Nazem KadriCOL | 18 | 20:50 | 1:09 | 2:40 | 7 | 0 |
 Artturi LehkonenCOL | 23 | 20:19 | 0:53 | 2:15 | 3 | 2 |
 William NylanderTOR | 23 | 19:51 | 0:52 | 1:50 | 6 | 3 |
 Devon ToewsCOL | 22 | 19:05 | 0:52 | 1:22 | 1 | 4 |
 Morgan RiellyTOR | 22 | 18:48 | 0:51 | 2:07 | 3 | 2 |
 Troy StecherTOR | 24 | 18:33 | 0:46 | 1:41 | 3 | 4 |
 Sam MalinskiCOL | 22 | 18:24 | 0:50 | 1:34 | 0 | 4 |
 Brett KulakCOL | 20 | 18:02 | 0:54 | 2:28 | 0 | 3 |
 Gabriel LandeskogCOL | 18 | 17:52 | 1:00 | 2:43 | 4 | 1 |
 Brock NelsonCOL | 22 | 17:47 | 0:49 | 1:14 | 2 | 4 |
 Nick PaulTOR | 22 | 17:15 | 0:47 | 1:28 | 3 | 6 |
 Kirill MarchenkoTOR | 20 | 16:53 | 0:51 | 1:59 | 5 | 2 |
 Colton SissonsTOR | 23 | 16:50 | 0:44 | 1:59 | 1 | 5 |
 Nick BlankenburgTOR | 21 | 16:11 | 0:46 | 2:05 | 4 | 0 |
 Easton CowanTOR | 19 | 16:07 | 0:51 | 2:06 | 3 | 3 |
 Josh MansonCOL | 20 | 15:55 | 0:48 | 1:36 | 2 | 3 |
 Brent BurnsCOL | 19 | 15:41 | 0:50 | 1:40 | 2 | 2 |
 Gavin McKennaTOR | 15 | 15:21 | 1:01 | 1:48 | 1 | 2 |
 Jack RoslovicTOR | 20 | 15:21 | 0:46 | 1:32 | 3 | 2 |
 Oliver Ekman-LarssonTOR | 22 | 14:25 | 0:39 | 1:34 | 2 | 1 |
 T.J. HughesCOL | 14 | 14:00 | 1:00 | 2:22 | 3 | 3 |
 Teddy BluegerTOR | 20 | 13:59 | 0:42 | 1:21 | 2 | 2 |
 Parker KellyCOL | 17 | 11:35 | 0:41 | 1:02 | 0 | 5 |
 Fedor SvechkovCOL | 15 | 11:18 | 0:45 | 1:13 | 0 | 2 |
 Brandon DuhaimeTOR | 19 | 10:58 | 0:35 | 0:59 | 3 | 4 |
 Jaden SchwartzCOL | 14 | 10:39 | 0:46 | 1:09 | 1 | 3 |
 Bo GroulxTOR | 11 | 9:05 | 0:50 | 1:15 | 1 | 0 |
 Nicolas RoyCOL | 12 | 8:59 | 0:45 | 1:13 | 0 | 1 |
 Zachary L'HeureuxCOL | 12 | 7:57 | 0:40 | 1:03 | 0 | 2 |
 Chris TanevTOR | 5 | 3:29 | 0:42 | 0:54 | 0 | 1 |