Sat, Oct 10, 2026·UBS Arena, Elmont
Tampa Bay Lightning 5, New York Islanders 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 71% of the time.
20%
8%
9%
62%
NYI winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Brandon HagelLW · #38 | 3 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 6 | 21:32 | 1.28 | 58.5% | +74.5 |
 John CarlsonD · #74 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:43 | 0.09 | 33.7% | 0.0 |
 Jake GuentzelC · #59 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 19:29 | 0.39 | 57.6% | +29.2 |
 Erik CernakD · #81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 19:01 | 0.08 | 34.2% | 0.0 |
 Brayden PointC · #21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:57 | 0.25 | 26.5% | 0.0 |
 Gage GoncalvesC · #93 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:13 | 0.00 | 40.9% | 0.0 |
 Anthony CirelliC · #71 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 0 | 18:04 | 0.10 | 71.3% | +6.9 |
 Nikita KucherovRW · #86 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 17:46 | 0.11 | 39.1% | +21.5 |
 Pontus HolmbergRW · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:37 | 0.00 | 34.0% | 0.0 |
 J.J. MoserD · #90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:01 | 0.03 | 39.6% | 0.0 |
 Max CrozierD · #24 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 16:30 | 0.03 | 72.4% | +53.0 |
 Ryan McDonaghD · #27 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:56 | 0.01 | 34.0% | +38.8 |
 Ilya MikheyevRW · #95 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:16 | 0.00 | 21.8% | 0.0 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsC · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15:14 | 0.39 | 21.8% | 0.0 |
 Charle-Edouard D'AstousD · #51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:30 | 0.03 | 55.3% | 0.0 |
 Conor GeekieC · #94 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:27 | 0.13 | 59.7% | 0.0 |
 Victor HedmanD · #77 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 10:34 | 0.00 | 65.1% | +14.2 |
 Scott SabourinRW · #49 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:29 | 0.19 | 59.7% | 0.0 |
 Andrei Vasilevskiy#88 | W | 23 | 20 | 3 | .870 | 1.97 | −1.0 | 60:00 |
New York Islanders
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Matthew SchaeferD · #48 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 8 | 27:07 | 0.34 | 81.3% | +16.1 |
 Adam PelechD · #3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 21:05 | 0.01 | 14.6% | 0.0 |
 Bo HorvatC · #14 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 20:09 | 0.34 | 80.3% | +20.5 |
 Logan StanleyD · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:38 | 0.05 | 64.5% | 0.0 |
 Ryan PulockD · #6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:14 | 0.00 | 17.4% | 0.0 |
 Brayden SchennC · #10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 17:20 | 0.39 | 25.9% | +20.5 |
 Tony DeAngeloD · #77 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16:33 | 0.15 | 71.0% | +31.6 |
 Ondrej PalatLW · #81 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 15:23 | 0.08 | 73.6% | +15.5 |
 Kyle PalmieriC · #21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:16 | 0.00 | 84.1% | 0.0 |
 Scott MayfieldD · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 14:45 | 0.06 | 68.5% | 0.0 |
 Jean-Gabriel PageauC · #44 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 14:35 | 0.22 | 50.9% | +16.1 |
 Matias MaccelliLW · #63 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 14:29 | 0.00 | 22.2% | +20.5 |
 Emil HeinemanLW · #51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:41 | 0.13 | 85.5% | 0.0 |
 Calum RitchieC · #64 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:37 | 0.01 | 26.4% | 0.0 |
 Victor EklundRW · #38 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:25 | 0.00 | 37.5% | 0.0 |
 Simon HolmstromRW · #92 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 13:18 | 0.00 | 12.2% | 0.0 |
 Anthony DuclairLW · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:17 | 0.18 | 48.2% | 0.0 |
 Casey CizikasC · #53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:10 | 0.00 | 31.3% | 0.0 |
 Ilya Sorokin#30 | L | 25 | 21 | 4 | .840 | 2.51 | −1.5 | 59:49 |