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Ice Lab

Fri, Jan 14, 2011·Scotiabank Place, Ottawa

Calgary Flames 3, Ottawa Senators 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 55% of the time.

OTT winsCGY wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

OTT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CGY's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Iginla–Jokinen–TanguayHagman–Stajan–GlencrossKotalik–Bourque–BacklundMorrison–Jackman–MossMorrison–Moss–BourqueMorrison–Kotalik–BourqueIginla–Jokinen–KotalikKotalik–Jackman–BacklundKotalik–Hagman–BacklundIginla–Stajan–GlencrossSarich–PardyBouwmeester–GiordanoBabchuk–MikkelsonSarich–GiordanoBouwmeester–Babchuk
Alfredsson–Fisher–Michalek4:200.06–0.240:490.00–0.571:030.01–0.576:000.12–0.11
Ruutu–Neil–Kelly0:470.33–0.002:110.01–0.000:490.00–0.010:480.05–0.003:470.34–0.030:340.05–0.001:140.00–0.01
Regin–Smith–Winchester0:460.00–0.001:040.00–0.021:080.00–0.030:470.02–0.000:480.00–0.002:350.02–0.052:230.00–0.03
Alfredsson–Michalek–Winchester2:490.02–0.000:420.30–0.000:340.00–0.000:480.00–0.023:260.33–0.00
Locke–Shannon–Foligno1:440.03–0.010:450.00–0.011:440.03–0.010:430.00–0.001:080.00–0.01
Fisher–Shannon–Foligno0:560.07–0.101:090.00–0.001:410.05–0.100:310.02–0.00
Neil–Kelly–Smith0:540.02–0.000:330.00–0.000:520.00–0.000:370.02–0.00
Shannon–Foligno–Winchester
Locke–Regin–Smith0:410.00–0.000:410.00–0.00
Alfredsson–Michalek–Locke0:350.00–0.010:440.00–0.01
Phillips–Karlsson6:480.43–0.200:340.00–0.000:510.00–0.572:520.36–0.587:000.07–0.05
Gonchar–Lee6:040.36–0.010:430.05–0.010:540.03–0.034:420.07–0.121:320.30–0.001:560.00–0.010:360.00–0.01
Kuba–Carkner0:300.00–0.003:410.03–0.041:120.00–0.031:090.11–0.031:060.00–0.200:450.02–0.004:260.21–0.050:590.11–0.053:110.00–0.250:370.03–0.00
Kuba–Karlsson0:300.00–0.000:470.02–0.001:170.00–0.050:370.02–0.00
Gonchar–Phillips0:470.02–0.000:330.00–0.000:440.00–0.001:190.02–0.00
Gonchar–Karlsson0:470.00–0.080:490.00–0.08
Phillips–Lee0:470.00–0.000:340.00–0.000:500.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndMichalek FAlfredsson FFisher FKelly FNeil FRuutu FLocke FFoligno FShannon FWinchester FRegin FSmith FPhillips DKarlsson DLee DGonchar DKuba DCarkner DElliott GIginla FJokinen FTanguay FHagman FStajan FGlencross FMorrison FBourque FMoss FJackman FKotalik FBacklund FBouwmeester DGiordano DSarich DPardy DMikkelson DBabchuk DKarlsson G
OTTCGYFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Erik KarlssonOTT3028:520:582:3697
Mark GiordanoCGY3225:480:481:5259
Jay BouwmeesterCGY3124:290:472:0829
Cory SarichCGY3024:160:491:2704
Sergei GoncharOTT2724:050:541:5490
Daniel AlfredssonOTT2623:550:551:3592
Adam PardyCGY3223:040:431:2723
Mike FisherOTT2420:490:521:3582
Milan MichalekOTT2420:110:501:3572
Chris PhillipsOTT2519:440:471:3549
Jarome IginlaCGY2018:290:551:4843
Alex TanguayCGY2317:280:461:3045
Curtis GlencrossCGY2317:260:451:1708
Filip KubaOTT2217:140:471:5240
Brian LeeOTT2516:580:411:1830
Jesse WinchesterOTT2316:370:431:1325
Olli JokinenCGY2015:480:471:4843
Brendan MorrisonCGY2215:310:421:1434
Nick FolignoOTT1915:240:491:2730
Rene BourqueCGY2315:060:391:2135
Matt StajanCGY2214:500:401:2106
Ales KotalikCGY1714:480:521:2722
Zack SmithOTT1514:120:571:2040
Ryan ShannonOTT1814:050:471:2752
Chris KellyOTT1813:510:461:2360
Anton BabchukCGY1913:280:431:1432
Matt CarknerOTT1813:010:431:3521
Niklas HagmanCGY1612:430:481:3702
Chris NeilOTT1511:060:441:2030
David MossCGY1910:560:350:5931
Mikael BacklundCGY139:440:451:0113
Corey LockeOTT129:140:461:4930
Brendan MikkelsonCGY128:150:411:1420
Jarkko RuutuOTT128:140:411:0530
Peter ReginOTT108:120:491:1520
Tim JackmanCGY147:510:340:5810