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Ice Lab

Wed, Mar 2, 2011·Prudential Center, Newark

Tampa Bay Lightning 1, New Jersey Devils 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 55% of the time.

NJD winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

NJD forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

St. Louis–Downie–StamkosLecavalier–Gagne–PurcellHall–Moore–BergenheimMoore–Thompson–TyrellLecavalier–Gagne–ThompsonHall–Thompson–TyrellSt. Louis–Lecavalier–StamkosSt. Louis–Thompson–TyrellLecavalier–Bergenheim–PurcellOhlund–BrewerClark–HedmanKubina–JonesKubina–HedmanBrewer–JonesBrewer–HedmanSmaby–HedmanSmaby–JonesClark–SmabyJones–HedmanKubina–Smaby
Kovalchuk–Zajac–Palmieri0:480.19–0.007:450.14–0.271:220.00–0.040:360.13–0.006:470.17–0.280:330.00–0.001:060.02–0.000:470.00–0.000:420.10–0.000:330.01–0.000:370.02–0.000:450.15–0.00
Rolston–Elias–Zubrus8:080.12–0.000:450.00–0.001:590.00–0.000:330.00–0.002:390.10–0.005:130.12–0.001:480.00–0.000:330.00–0.000:470.00–0.001:230.00–0.00
Steckel–Clarkson–Pelley0:590.00–0.000:340.00–0.005:470.18–0.140:420.00–0.001:400.00–0.142:280.00–0.002:120.18–0.001:320.00–0.000:410.00–0.000:540.00–0.00
Zharkov–Tedenby–Josefson0:530.00–0.000:350.00–0.000:500.00–0.001:240.00–0.010:330.00–0.00
Kovalchuk–Zharkov–Josefson0:330.09–0.000:450.00–0.320:510.09–0.00
Tallinder–Fayne7:580.16–0.023:110.07–0.002:140.18–0.000:350.00–0.000:300.00–0.005:000.04–0.005:120.07–0.022:210.38–0.001:120.00–0.080:390.00–0.000:540.00–0.000:590.00–0.00
Greene–Salmela3:190.25–0.004:200.05–0.441:160.00–0.000:510.00–0.001:180.00–0.040:460.00–0.004:410.10–0.163:310.06–0.001:250.00–0.001:040.00–0.001:190.00–0.000:490.00–0.320:320.00–0.000:350.15–0.00
White–Volchenkov2:170.09–0.022:300.10–0.154:330.01–0.020:510.00–0.000:370.01–0.003:460.18–0.121:250.00–0.012:080.02–0.000:400.01–0.000:510.00–0.000:500.00–0.000:450.10–0.000:390.00–0.000:540.02–0.02
Fayne–Greene0:350.00–0.000:430.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndKovalchuk FZajac FPalmieri FZubrus FRolston FElias FPelley FJosefson FTedenby FSteckel FClarkson FZharkov FGreene DSalmela DFayne DWhite DVolchenkov DTallinder DBrodeur GLecavalier FGagne FThompson FBergenheim FHall FMoore FDownie FSt. Louis FStamkos FTyrell FPurcell FBrewer DOhlund DClark DHedman DJones DKubina DSmaby DRoloson G
NJDTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Martin St. LouisTBL2822:480:492:1331
Victor HedmanTBL3122:460:441:3418
Ilya KovalchukNJD3022:380:452:0180
Eric BrewerTBL3122:240:432:0006
Henrik TallinderNJD2922:000:461:3631
Andy GreeneNJD3221:370:411:2422
Steven StamkosTBL2720:430:462:0322
Mark FayneNJD2920:200:421:1822
Dainius ZubrusNJD3119:380:381:0862
Brian RolstonNJD3119:370:382:0641
Travis ZajacNJD3219:370:371:0862
Vincent LecavalierTBL2519:100:461:2623
Patrik EliasNJD3018:130:360:5652
Mattias OhlundTBL2517:570:431:1403
Colin WhiteNJD2517:250:421:1652
Nick PalmieriNJD2517:110:411:2262
Simon GagneTBL2416:530:421:2121
Dominic MooreTBL2616:500:391:1314
Anssi SalmelaNJD2916:390:341:2421
Steve DownieTBL2016:330:502:1300
Anton VolchenkovNJD2616:260:381:1351
Brett ClarkTBL2516:110:391:1535
Sean BergenheimTBL2215:490:431:1303
Adam HallTBL2315:390:411:4106
David ClarksonNJD2315:380:411:3060
Randy JonesTBL2515:320:371:0406
Pavel KubinaTBL2314:290:381:1813
Rod PelleyNJD2413:530:351:3750
David SteckelNJD2313:330:351:0750
Teddy PurcellTBL1813:290:451:0301
Nate ThompsonTBL2112:450:361:0007
Jacob JosefsonNJD158:320:341:0041
Dana TyrellTBL148:200:360:5203
Matt SmabyTBL138:110:381:0113
Vladimir ZharkovNJD127:200:371:1340
Mattias TedenbyNJD96:030:401:0021