Sun, Mar 6, 2011·Xcel Energy Center, St. Paul
Buffalo Sabres 3, Minnesota Wild 2 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 66% of the time.
24%
10%
11%
55%
MIN winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 21:35 | 0.13 | 32.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 21:13 | 0.10 | 71.7% | +61.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:12 | 0.02 | 53.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:22 | 0.11 | 50.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 2 | 19:17 | 0.06 | 75.5% | +17.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 18:54 | 0.17 | 56.8% | +17.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:20 | 0.04 | 58.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:07 | 0.00 | 55.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:54 | 0.37 | 59.1% | +46.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 17:34 | 0.27 | 60.4% | +17.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:21 | 0.00 | 24.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:02 | 0.13 | 59.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:14 | 0.00 | 33.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:30 | 0.00 | 65.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11:31 | 0.54 | 66.7% | +14.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:55 | 0.11 | 32.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 10:31 | 0.11 | 77.1% | +14.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:18 | 0.04 | 19.5% | 0.0 |
| W | 26 | 24 | 2 | .923 | 1.49 | −0.5 | 60:28 |
Minnesota Wild
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 4 | 23:45 | 0.07 | 30.3% | +14.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22:58 | 0.04 | 44.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 20:47 | 0.03 | 27.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20:13 | 0.08 | 52.0% | +27.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −3 | 0 | 19:01 | 0.05 | 36.5% | +27.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:28 | 0.09 | 19.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:02 | 0.16 | 41.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:59 | 0.15 | 48.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 17:36 | 0.05 | 60.3% | +27.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:35 | 0.08 | 39.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:19 | 0.03 | 45.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:17 | 0.01 | 58.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:04 | 0.00 | 64.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:42 | 0.11 | 49.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12:23 | 0.47 | 44.4% | +14.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 10:50 | 0.05 | 61.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:03 | 0.00 | 41.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 6:19 | 0.00 | 56.2% | +14.2 |
| O | 33 | 30 | 3 | .909 | 2.20 | −0.8 | 60:23 |