Sun, Mar 6, 2011·Xcel Energy Center, St. Paul
Buffalo Sabres 3, Minnesota Wild 2 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 66% of the time.
24%
10%
11%
55%
MIN winsBUF wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
MIN forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Boyes–Pominville–Vanek | Connolly–Stafford–Ennis | Niedermayer–McCormick–Mancari | Gaustad–Kaleta–Gerbe | Gaustad–Mancari–Gerbe | Boyes–Vanek–Kaleta | Niedermayer–Gaustad–Mancari | Montador–Sekera | Butler–Myers | Leopold–Morrisonn | Leopold–Butler | Montador–Morrisonn | Leopold–Sekera | Sekera–Myers | Morrisonn–Myers | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Havlat–Bouchard–Brodziak | 3:300.21–0.15 | 4:500.02–0.10 | 1:060.00–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.11 | 3:320.09–0.25 | 2:120.04–0.10 | 4:060.10–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.00 | |||||
| Cullen–Madden–Kobasew | 3:240.11–0.19 | 1:190.07–0.04 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 1:220.03–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.02 | 1:380.04–0.03 | 2:310.03–0.04 | 3:070.14–0.10 | 0:330.00–0.08 | ||||||
| Brunette–Miettinen–Peters | 1:560.09–0.05 | 1:340.00–0.03 | 0:560.00–0.03 | 0:390.01–0.01 | 1:500.00–0.08 | 1:040.00–0.02 | 0:500.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Brunette–Miettinen–Wellman | 1:400.02–0.09 | 1:480.02–0.00 | 0:320.07–0.00 | 2:510.03–0.09 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:360.07–0.00 | |||||||||
| Madden–Kobasew–Nystrom | 2:050.08–0.06 | 0:310.09–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 2:320.08–0.11 | 0:460.00–0.00 | 0:320.09–0.00 | |||||||||
| Peters–Nystrom–Staubitz | 1:110.00–0.03 | 1:150.00–0.04 | 1:090.00–0.07 | 1:190.16–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Brunette–Cullen–Miettinen | 0:450.00–0.00 | 1:100.00–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Havlat–Peters–Bouchard | 0:580.10–0.00 | 0:560.10–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Madden–Nystrom–Staubitz | 0:540.00–0.02 | 0:360.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Brunette–Peters–Wellman | 0:500.07–0.00 | 0:440.03–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Brunette–Havlat–Brodziak | |||||||||||||||
| Zanon–Zidlicky | 3:200.02–0.12 | 3:190.03–0.05 | 1:340.02–0.03 | 1:550.02–0.00 | 1:240.07–0.00 | 0:470.09–0.03 | 0:320.00–0.02 | 3:030.06–0.14 | 5:440.04–0.03 | 4:340.04–0.08 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 0:430.09–0.00 | |||
| Schultz–Burns | 6:060.21–0.33 | 3:340.01–0.13 | 3:240.01–0.57 | 0:540.01–0.00 | 0:500.00–0.11 | 6:040.09–0.86 | 4:190.06–0.16 | 2:400.01–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:520.07–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.00 | |||
| Stoner–Spurgeon | 1:560.06–0.06 | 2:370.02–0.14 | 3:150.17–0.11 | 3:210.17–0.04 | 3:450.17–0.06 | 1:400.17–0.07 | 3:410.07–0.08 | 1:370.00–0.06 | |||||||
| Zanon–Spurgeon | 0:440.00–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.04 | 0:440.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Schultz–Spurgeon | 0:480.01–0.02 | 0:540.16–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.02 | 0:540.16–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Zanon–Burns | 0:370.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| Zidlicky–Burns | 0:330.01–0.00 | 0:330.01–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
MINBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Brent BurnsMIN | 27 | 23:45 | 0:53 | 1:29 | 3 | 2 |
 Greg ZanonMIN | 27 | 22:58 | 0:51 | 1:55 | 1 | 2 |
 Jordan LeopoldBUF | 28 | 21:35 | 0:46 | 1:18 | 3 | 4 |
 Andrej SekeraBUF | 26 | 21:13 | 0:49 | 1:35 | 6 | 1 |
 Chris ButlerBUF | 28 | 21:12 | 0:45 | 1:27 | 1 | 1 |
 Nick SchultzMIN | 27 | 20:47 | 0:46 | 1:11 | 2 | 3 |
 Tyler MyersBUF | 25 | 20:22 | 0:49 | 1:12 | 2 | 2 |
 Marek ZidlickyMIN | 26 | 20:13 | 0:47 | 1:41 | 2 | 2 |
 Steve MontadorBUF | 26 | 19:17 | 0:45 | 1:25 | 4 | 1 |
 Martin HavlatMIN | 21 | 19:01 | 0:54 | 1:39 | 2 | 0 |
 Thomas VanekBUF | 22 | 18:54 | 0:52 | 1:15 | 2 | 1 |
 Kyle BrodziakMIN | 22 | 18:28 | 0:50 | 1:41 | 2 | 1 |
 Tim ConnollyBUF | 22 | 18:20 | 0:50 | 1:11 | 2 | 3 |
 Brad BoyesBUF | 21 | 18:07 | 0:52 | 1:22 | 1 | 1 |
 Andrew BrunetteMIN | 20 | 18:02 | 0:54 | 1:49 | 2 | 1 |
 John MaddenMIN | 21 | 17:59 | 0:51 | 1:15 | 3 | 5 |
 Drew StaffordBUF | 19 | 17:54 | 0:57 | 2:02 | 1 | 3 |
 Pierre-Marc BouchardMIN | 21 | 17:36 | 0:50 | 1:44 | 2 | 1 |
 Matt CullenMIN | 22 | 17:35 | 0:48 | 1:14 | 4 | 3 |
 Jason PominvilleBUF | 25 | 17:34 | 0:42 | 1:02 | 1 | 2 |
 Shaone MorrisonnBUF | 24 | 17:21 | 0:43 | 1:27 | 0 | 3 |
 Antti MiettinenMIN | 19 | 17:19 | 0:55 | 1:36 | 2 | 1 |
 Jared SpurgeonMIN | 19 | 17:17 | 0:55 | 1:27 | 1 | 3 |
 Tyler EnnisBUF | 17 | 16:02 | 0:57 | 1:27 | 0 | 3 |
 Paul GaustadBUF | 20 | 15:14 | 0:46 | 1:27 | 2 | 2 |
 Clayton StonerMIN | 20 | 15:04 | 0:45 | 1:18 | 1 | 4 |
 Chuck KobasewMIN | 20 | 14:42 | 0:44 | 1:07 | 3 | 2 |
 Mark MancariBUF | 16 | 13:30 | 0:51 | 1:15 | 2 | 3 |
 Warren PetersMIN | 16 | 12:23 | 0:46 | 1:08 | 0 | 4 |
 Rob NiedermayerBUF | 14 | 11:31 | 0:49 | 1:18 | 2 | 2 |
 Nathan GerbeBUF | 12 | 10:55 | 0:55 | 1:25 | 3 | 0 |
 Eric NystromMIN | 14 | 10:50 | 0:46 | 1:08 | 1 | 3 |
 Cody McCormickBUF | 12 | 10:31 | 0:53 | 1:48 | 2 | 2 |
 Patrick KaletaBUF | 11 | 10:18 | 0:56 | 1:33 | 3 | 0 |
 Casey WellmanMIN | 9 | 9:03 | 1:00 | 1:29 | 2 | 1 |
 Brad StaubitzMIN | 7 | 6:19 | 0:54 | 1:09 | 0 | 2 |