Tue, Mar 29, 2011·St. Pete Times Forum, Tampa
Ottawa Senators 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 78% of the time.
72%
16%
TBL winsOTT wins
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 5 | 25:52 | 0.28 | 33.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 24:12 | 0.12 | 50.4% | +1.7 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 24:11 | 0.43 | 59.9% | +5.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 22:28 | 0.00 | 23.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 18:51 | 0.03 | 27.0% | +3.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:23 | 0.10 | 25.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 17:43 | 0.18 | 30.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17:41 | 0.50 | 40.3% | +1.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 16:33 | 0.20 | 31.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15:35 | 0.09 | 35.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 14:54 | 0.03 | 26.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 14:11 | 0.14 | 37.1% | +3.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:45 | 0.12 | 49.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:02 | 0.05 | 36.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 12:00 | 0.00 | 17.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 10:33 | 0.18 | 6.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 10:33 | 0.03 | 25.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:25 | 0.00 | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 30 | 26 | 4 | .867 | 3.57 | −0.4 | 59:09 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 22:45 | 0.94 | 77.0% | +24.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 21:45 | 0.57 | 68.9% | +19.8 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 8 | 21:15 | 1.33 | 59.2% | +4.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 20:32 | 0.00 | 74.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 19:09 | 0.03 | 54.0% | +3.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:19 | 0.02 | 71.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:09 | 0.00 | 41.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 17:55 | 0.08 | 73.5% | +24.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 17:40 | 0.00 | 74.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:54 | 0.23 | 65.4% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 4 | 16:15 | 0.58 | 69.8% | +18.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 15:06 | 0.19 | 56.8% | +0.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:16 | 0.13 | 50.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 13:07 | 0.00 | 51.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 12:05 | 0.02 | 81.7% | +18.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:00 | 0.00 | 36.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:56 | 0.07 | 43.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9:52 | 0.06 | 75.6% | +15.5 |
| W | 33 | 31 | 2 | .939 | 2.48 | +0.5 | 60:00 |