Tue, Mar 29, 2011·St. Pete Times Forum, Tampa
Ottawa Senators 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 78% of the time.
72%
16%
TBL winsOTT wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Spezza–Greening–Butler | Michalek–Shannon–Condra | Neil–Foligno–Winchester | Neil–Foligno–Smith | Lessard–Svatos–Smith | Spezza–Michalek–Butler | Spezza–Svatos–Michalek | Spezza–Svatos–Greening | Spezza–Svatos–Smith | Svatos–Greening–Smith | Svatos–Greening–Winchester | Neil–Svatos–Smith | Spezza–Greening–Condra | Phillips–Lee | Kuba–Karlsson | Hale–Wiercioch | Phillips–Wiercioch | Kuba–Hale | Hale–Lee | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Louis–Lecavalier–Gagne | 1:130.00–0.23 | 1:540.31–0.03 | 1:000.00–0.00 | 0:520.02–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.05 | 3:180.02–0.05 | 1:150.31–0.03 | 0:470.00–0.02 | 0:350.00–0.23 | ||||||||||
| Hall–Moore–Tyrell | 1:430.10–0.05 | 1:370.00–0.00 | 3:110.10–0.05 | ||||||||||||||||
| Thompson–Downie–Stamkos | 0:350.03–0.03 | 1:000.05–0.05 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 1:100.05–0.08 | 1:060.03–0.06 | 1:190.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| St. Louis–Lecavalier–Thompson | 1:260.05–0.05 | 2:060.05–0.08 | 1:250.02–0.10 | ||||||||||||||||
| St. Louis–Lecavalier–Stamkos | 0:320.00–0.00 | 0:570.00–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 1:190.00–0.00 | 0:560.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| Hall–Moore–Bergenheim | 0:330.00–0.08 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.08 | 1:450.00–0.05 | |||||||||||||||
| Moore–Downie–Purcell | 1:010.00–0.07 | 0:370.00–0.01 | 0:510.00–0.07 | ||||||||||||||||
| Hall–Bergenheim–Tyrell | 0:380.00–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 1:050.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||
| Downie–Purcell–Stamkos | 0:500.10–0.00 | 0:420.10–0.00 | |||||||||||||||||
| Gagne–Tyrell–Stamkos | 0:400.02–0.02 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 0:470.02–0.04 | ||||||||||||||||
| Lecavalier–Gagne–Thompson | 0:570.00–0.10 | 0:380.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||||||
| Ohlund–Clark | 5:580.15–0.20 | 1:030.00–0.00 | 1:060.02–0.00 | 1:150.02–0.00 | 0:590.03–0.00 | 6:320.07–0.06 | 1:480.02–0.01 | 2:190.10–0.05 | |||||||||||
| Brewer–Lundin | 0:520.02–0.00 | 6:240.50–0.30 | 1:040.00–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 2:020.05–0.03 | 7:160.38–0.30 | 0:480.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Kubina–Hedman | 0:350.03–0.03 | 2:190.00–0.05 | 0:390.09–0.00 | 0:320.03–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.05 | 0:490.10–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 1:510.13–0.05 | 1:360.03–0.03 | 2:360.00–0.05 | 0:410.10–0.00 | ||||||||
| Bergeron–Hedman | 1:130.60–0.00 | 1:060.14–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.10 | 1:390.46–0.00 | |||||||||||||||
| Kubina–Brewer | 0:420.00–0.00 | 0:520.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||||||
| Bergeron–Lundin | 1:010.00–0.07 | 0:510.00–0.07 | |||||||||||||||||
| Ohlund–Lundin | 0:360.00–0.01 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Ohlund–Brewer | 0:350.00–0.23 | 0:350.00–0.23 | |||||||||||||||||
| Clark–Lundin | 1:000.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TBLOTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Erik KarlssonOTT | 26 | 25:52 | 1:00 | 2:06 | 4 | 1 |
 Filip KubaOTT | 29 | 24:12 | 0:50 | 2:06 | 4 | 3 |
 Jason SpezzaOTT | 27 | 24:11 | 0:54 | 1:52 | 1 | 6 |
 Martin St. LouisTBL | 25 | 22:45 | 0:55 | 1:30 | 3 | 3 |
 Chris PhillipsOTT | 28 | 22:28 | 0:48 | 1:44 | 2 | 4 |
 Vincent LecavalierTBL | 25 | 21:45 | 0:52 | 1:32 | 2 | 2 |
 Steven StamkosTBL | 25 | 21:15 | 0:51 | 2:02 | 0 | 4 |
 Eric BrewerTBL | 28 | 20:32 | 0:44 | 2:16 | 0 | 8 |
 Brett ClarkTBL | 26 | 19:09 | 0:44 | 1:30 | 5 | 2 |
 Colin GreeningOTT | 25 | 18:51 | 0:45 | 1:11 | 1 | 3 |
 Brian LeeOTT | 26 | 18:23 | 0:42 | 1:19 | 2 | 5 |
 Mike LundinTBL | 26 | 18:19 | 0:42 | 1:21 | 1 | 4 |
 Mattias OhlundTBL | 23 | 18:09 | 0:47 | 2:02 | 3 | 1 |
 Simon GagneTBL | 23 | 17:55 | 0:47 | 1:18 | 2 | 2 |
 Ryan ShannonOTT | 22 | 17:43 | 0:48 | 1:52 | 6 | 1 |
 Milan MichalekOTT | 23 | 17:41 | 0:46 | 1:52 | 5 | 1 |
 Victor HedmanTBL | 24 | 17:40 | 0:44 | 1:32 | 1 | 4 |
 Nate ThompsonTBL | 23 | 16:54 | 0:44 | 1:04 | 3 | 4 |
 Zack SmithOTT | 20 | 16:33 | 0:50 | 1:44 | 2 | 1 |
 Dominic MooreTBL | 24 | 16:15 | 0:41 | 1:12 | 2 | 5 |
 Erik CondraOTT | 22 | 15:35 | 0:43 | 1:26 | 3 | 0 |
 Adam HallTBL | 21 | 15:06 | 0:43 | 1:55 | 2 | 6 |
 Patrick WierciochOTT | 23 | 14:54 | 0:39 | 1:07 | 3 | 0 |
 David HaleOTT | 21 | 14:11 | 0:41 | 1:07 | 2 | 0 |
 Marek SvatosOTT | 17 | 13:45 | 0:49 | 1:20 | 2 | 1 |
 Steve DownieTBL | 16 | 13:16 | 0:50 | 1:08 | 1 | 2 |
 Pavel KubinaTBL | 19 | 13:07 | 0:41 | 1:13 | 0 | 4 |
 Bobby ButlerOTT | 17 | 13:02 | 0:46 | 1:13 | 0 | 2 |
 Dana TyrellTBL | 19 | 12:05 | 0:38 | 1:18 | 2 | 2 |
 Nick FolignoOTT | 15 | 12:00 | 0:48 | 1:25 | 4 | 1 |
 Sean BergenheimTBL | 16 | 11:00 | 0:41 | 1:17 | 2 | 3 |
 Teddy PurcellTBL | 16 | 10:56 | 0:41 | 1:08 | 2 | 0 |
 Jesse WinchesterOTT | 14 | 10:33 | 0:45 | 1:13 | 3 | 1 |
 Chris NeilOTT | 15 | 10:33 | 0:42 | 1:25 | 4 | 1 |
 Marc-Andre BergeronTBL | 12 | 9:52 | 0:49 | 1:32 | 3 | 0 |
 Francis LessardOTT | 3 | 2:25 | 0:48 | 1:04 | 1 | 0 |