Sat, Oct 29, 2011·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
Pittsburgh Penguins 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 79% of the time.
14%
73%
TOR winsPIT wins
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 4 | 25:56 | 0.16 | 34.1% | +51.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 23:54 | 0.09 | 34.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 5 | 23:05 | 0.34 | 24.5% | +51.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 21:46 | 0.19 | 30.2% | +27.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:02 | 0.12 | 23.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 20:30 | 1.76 | 66.3% | +23.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 19:05 | 0.06 | 72.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:45 | 0.02 | 49.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:07 | 0.25 | 51.0% | +21.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:35 | 0.00 | 51.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:15 | 0.00 | 57.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:11 | 0.29 | 56.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 13:44 | 0.11 | 68.7% | +21.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13:14 | 0.22 | 50.4% | +21.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 11:40 | 0.26 | 64.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:43 | 0.00 | 47.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:20 | 0.04 | 77.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:01 | 0.06 | 76.5% | 0.0 |
| L | 29 | 25 | 4 | .862 | 2.12 | −1.9 | 58:39 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 27:23 | 0.06 | 59.8% | +41.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 23:32 | 0.02 | 72.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22:12 | 0.17 | 51.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 18:28 | 0.01 | 75.9% | +30.5 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 17:18 | 0.20 | 57.5% | +41.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:45 | 0.05 | 51.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 15:47 | 0.16 | 57.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 15:45 | 0.06 | 65.4% | +52.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:59 | 0.13 | 48.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:58 | 0.27 | 65.4% | +22.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:27 | 0.17 | 51.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:21 | 0.00 | 36.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:09 | 0.03 | 34.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:24 | 0.25 | 44.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:32 | 0.00 | 16.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 12:25 | 0.11 | 57.8% | +52.8 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 12:08 | 0.37 | 57.5% | +41.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:46 | 0.05 | 15.2% | 0.0 |
| W | 37 | 34 | 3 | .919 | 3.98 | +1.0 | 60:00 |