Sat, Nov 5, 2011·Scotiabank Place, Ottawa
Buffalo Sabres 3, Ottawa Senators 2 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 57% of the time.
34%
9%
9%
48%
OTT winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 24:10 | 0.08 | 38.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23:11 | 0.04 | 54.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 21:49 | 0.00 | 66.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21:37 | 0.25 | 41.7% | +22.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 20:50 | 0.37 | 70.2% | +24.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19:51 | 0.11 | 45.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19:49 | 0.13 | 46.6% | +22.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19:34 | 0.13 | 58.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 19:19 | 0.12 | 44.8% | +22.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:48 | 0.00 | 33.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 16:41 | 0.13 | 49.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:16 | 0.69 | 62.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 15:58 | 0.41 | 50.2% | +24.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 15:20 | 0.00 | 52.9% | +24.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:43 | 0.42 | 67.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:59 | 0.12 | 51.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:53 | 0.00 | 52.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:12 | 0.16 | 56.2% | 0.0 |
| W | 27 | 25 | 2 | .926 | 2.73 | +0.7 | 65:00 |
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 27:55 | 0.12 | 51.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 25:05 | 0.07 | 52.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 22:55 | 0.03 | 72.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21:34 | 0.09 | 74.4% | +18.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 20:10 | 0.29 | 68.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 18:45 | 0.59 | 61.2% | +18.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:05 | 0.14 | 60.8% | +25.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:46 | 0.15 | 48.1% | +25.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:26 | 0.03 | 18.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:13 | 0.00 | 12.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:54 | 0.27 | 55.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:36 | 0.02 | 20.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:46 | 0.09 | 30.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:05 | 0.11 | 25.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:57 | 0.16 | 68.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:54 | 0.08 | 67.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:03 | 0.45 | 30.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:51 | 0.04 | 61.2% | 0.0 |
| O | 33 | 31 | 2 | .939 | 3.17 | +1.2 | 65:00 |