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Ice Lab

Sat, Nov 5, 2011·Scotiabank Place, Ottawa

Buffalo Sabres 3, Ottawa Senators 2 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 57% of the time.

OTT winsBUF wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

OTT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Roy–Stafford–LeinoBoyes–Gaustad–GerbePominville–Vanek–AdamMcCormick–Ellis–TroppGaustad–Gerbe–TroppPominville–Leino–AdamRoy–Pominville–LeinoBoyes–Roy–GerbeSekera–MyersRegehr–LeopoldEhrhoff–GragnaniRegehr–EhrhoffEhrhoff–SekeraLeopold–Gragnani
Spezza–Michalek–Greening5:280.25–0.201:570.21–0.061:210.03–0.120:400.01–0.000:440.04–0.003:450.27–0.314:150.22–0.021:470.01–0.05
Foligno–Butler–Da Costa2:450.03–0.042:280.11–0.750:400.00–0.002:260.04–0.000:370.03–0.004:010.15–0.792:330.00–0.001:130.11–0.00
Neil–Daugavins–Smith1:230.02–0.134:010.09–0.070:510.01–0.000:550.00–0.004:070.02–0.171:150.02–0.002:020.20–0.04
Condra–Winchester–Filatov0:430.00–0.083:240.28–0.021:230.03–0.001:540.28–0.051:510.00–0.080:580.02–0.000:390.01–0.00
Neil–Condra–Smith2:010.31–0.080:500.09–0.002:160.24–0.05
Foligno–Condra–Da Costa1:010.00–0.000:420.00–0.031:240.00–0.00
Foligno–Condra–Winchester0:550.00–0.000:530.00–0.00
Spezza–Michalek–Butler0:400.00–0.000:340.13–0.001:140.13–0.00
Daugavins–Smith–Butler0:360.00–0.00
Kuba–Karlsson9:030.55–0.232:090.24–0.013:030.12–0.561:060.00–0.030:590.00–0.000:410.00–0.034:390.40–0.096:500.27–0.145:230.24–0.170:590.00–0.03
Gonchar–Phillips2:120.00–0.133:260.34–0.005:360.09–0.072:340.19–0.137:220.41–0.243:510.09–0.002:450.27–0.040:320.00–0.090:540.11–0.00
Lee–Cowen2:390.05–0.205:360.05–0.814:110.02–0.122:570.05–0.235:140.05–0.843:340.01–0.121:030.01–0.00
Karlsson–Cowen0:460.06–0.111:030.06–0.11
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndSmith FDaugavins FNeil FMichalek FGreening FSpezza FButler FDa Costa FFoligno FWinchester FFilatov FCondra FPhillips DGonchar DKuba DKarlsson DCowen DLee DAnderson GVanek FPominville FAdam FRoy FStafford FLeino FBoyes FGaustad FGerbe FEllis FMcCormick FTropp FLeopold DRegehr DSekera DMyers DEhrhoff DGragnani DEnroth G
OTTBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Erik KarlssonOTT2627:551:043:2261
Filip KubaOTT2925:050:522:1053
Tyler MyersBUF3024:100:481:4335
Andrej SekeraBUF2923:110:481:3305
Sergei GoncharOTT2922:550:471:3434
Robyn RegehrBUF2821:490:471:1403
Derek RoyBUF2221:370:591:4315
Chris PhillipsOTT2921:340:451:3424
Jordan LeopoldBUF2620:500:481:3904
Jason SpezzaOTT2720:100:451:2061
Christian EhrhoffBUF2419:510:501:3832
Ville LeinoBUF2019:490:591:1825
Jason PominvilleBUF2419:340:491:4330
Drew StaffordBUF2319:190:501:1827
Milan MichalekOTT2718:450:421:1371
Zack SmithOTT2318:050:471:1825
Marc-Andre GragnaniBUF2417:480:451:3822
Erik CondraOTT1917:460:561:2524
Nick FolignoOTT2217:260:481:2512
Jared CowenOTT2017:130:521:5735
Kaspars DaugavinsOTT2416:540:421:0423
Brad BoyesBUF1716:410:591:4302
Thomas VanekBUF2316:160:421:4341
Nathan GerbeBUF1715:580:561:4802
Brian LeeOTT1815:360:521:2822
Paul GaustadBUF1815:200:511:2603
Bobby ButlerOTT1814:460:491:1122
Stephane Da CostaOTT1914:050:441:1311
Chris NeilOTT1913:570:441:1822
Luke AdamBUF1913:430:431:3021
Colin GreeningOTT1812:540:431:0840
Jesse WinchesterOTT1512:030:481:1021
Matt EllisBUF1310:590:511:2220
Corey TroppBUF139:530:461:0920
Cody McCormickBUF129:120:461:1020
Nikita FilatovOTT108:510:531:1510