Fri, Nov 11, 2011·First Niagara Center, Buffalo
Ottawa Senators 1, Buffalo Sabres 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 51% of the time.
40%
10%
10%
40%
BUF winsOTT wins
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 23:13 | 0.14 | 31.6% | +11.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 22:58 | 0.03 | 59.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −3 | 5 | 21:09 | 0.09 | 49.7% | +11.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19:36 | 0.25 | 85.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:12 | 0.01 | 58.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 18:42 | 0.03 | 24.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 17:09 | 0.38 | 81.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 16:15 | 0.22 | 42.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 16:14 | 0.13 | 81.7% | +11.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:47 | 0.42 | 72.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 15:10 | 0.00 | 34.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:59 | 0.13 | 77.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:33 | 0.02 | 31.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:05 | 0.25 | 25.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 13:03 | 0.01 | 14.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 11:44 | 0.23 | 21.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 10:30 | 0.03 | 43.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 8:41 | 0.03 | 22.6% | 0.0 |
| – | 15 | 12 | 3 | .800 | 1.24 | −1.8 | 57:35 | |
| L | 6 | 4 | 2 | .667 | 1.16 | −0.8 | 2:25 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 1 | 22:28 | 0.03 | 56.0% | +16.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 21:38 | 0.11 | 59.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 1 | 20:39 | 0.03 | 57.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 2 | 20:22 | 0.43 | 59.3% | +29.4 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 3 | 20:03 | 0.10 | 55.1% | +29.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 19:16 | 0.18 | 37.0% | +4.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 2 | 18:30 | 0.23 | 55.5% | +1.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:02 | 0.00 | 45.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 17:26 | 0.09 | 37.1% | +4.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:14 | 0.13 | 32.8% | +12.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 15:54 | 0.01 | 35.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:27 | 0.15 | 36.1% | +4.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:42 | 0.03 | 20.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:29 | 0.00 | 15.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:57 | 0.14 | 23.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 10:27 | 0.31 | 71.5% | +11.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 9:44 | 0.42 | 77.5% | +11.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 8:16 | 0.00 | 78.3% | +11.0 |
| W | 37 | 36 | 1 | .973 | 2.39 | +1.4 | 60:00 |