Tue, Nov 15, 2011·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary
Ottawa Senators 3, Calgary Flames 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 63% of the time.
27%
9%
56%
CGY winsOTT wins
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 24:19 | 0.01 | 53.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 22:58 | 0.12 | 55.3% | +9.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22:34 | 0.16 | 45.2% | +35.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:51 | 0.05 | 36.4% | +35.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:45 | 0.10 | 47.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:42 | 0.21 | 29.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:20 | 0.16 | 30.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:19 | 0.31 | 26.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:09 | 0.10 | 48.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15:55 | 0.24 | 61.1% | +27.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15:36 | 0.05 | 58.5% | +27.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:59 | 0.03 | 44.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:49 | 0.07 | 47.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:20 | 0.07 | 49.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 13:43 | 1.48 | 55.4% | +9.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:48 | 0.30 | 76.3% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 8:19 | 0.21 | 76.2% | +45.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 7:43 | 0.08 | 69.5% | 0.0 |
| W | 39 | 38 | 1 | .974 | 2.95 | +1.9 | 60:00 |
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 25:24 | 0.11 | 48.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 23:19 | 0.11 | 51.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 21:35 | 0.47 | 74.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 20:41 | 0.00 | 43.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 20:39 | 0.54 | 48.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19:09 | 0.28 | 62.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18:38 | 0.37 | 61.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:58 | 0.01 | 46.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 17:38 | 0.22 | 51.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17:04 | 0.28 | 34.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 16:03 | 0.17 | 59.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:49 | 0.05 | 28.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11:56 | 0.12 | 62.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:53 | 0.02 | 66.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9:52 | 0.03 | 49.0% | +28.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9:42 | 0.10 | 51.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9:10 | 0.07 | 39.6% | +28.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:02 | 0.00 | 41.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 32 | 29 | 3 | .906 | 2.35 | −0.7 | 58:28 |