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Ice Lab

Sat, Nov 26, 2011·St. Pete Times Forum, Tampa

Florida Panthers 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 56% of the time.

TBL winsFLA wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against FLA's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Bergenheim–Skille–MatthiasWeiss–Fleischmann–VersteegSturm–Kopecky–SantorelliKennedy–Dadonov–RepikWeaver–KulikovCampbell–GarrisonJovanovski–Gudbranson
Malone–Purcell–Stamkos3:330.19–0.082:250.01–0.042:520.05–0.061:500.00–0.195:550.27–0.273:440.06–0.122:110.02–0.00
St. Louis–Lecavalier–Connolly3:390.37–0.161:100.30–0.030:480.03–0.034:550.15–0.182:140.20–0.051:530.00–0.11
Moore–Shannon–Pyatt1:050.00–0.010:460.07–0.002:230.07–0.071:370.07–0.001:470.02–0.002:570.19–0.09
Hall–Thompson–Tyrell1:180.01–0.102:550.07–0.230:540.03–0.022:380.01–0.251:150.04–0.00
St. Louis–Lecavalier–Shannon0:420.00–0.180:480.00–0.00
Bergeron–Gilroy3:060.12–0.161:150.01–0.112:380.07–0.063:060.07–0.456:020.16–0.262:110.00–0.055:140.19–0.18
Brewer–Hedman1:530.02–0.005:440.07–0.270:430.00–0.012:310.03–0.083:530.07–0.035:300.00–0.332:470.06–0.00
Clark–Kubina3:560.56–0.041:100.01–0.012:140.30–0.030:320.00–0.003:310.26–0.043:590.23–0.031:170.00–0.01
Brewer–Gilroy0:310.00–0.150:410.05–0.001:000.05–0.15
Kubina–Bergeron1:020.08–0.000:530.08–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndMalone FPurcell FStamkos FHall FTyrell FThompson FLecavalier FSt. Louis FConnolly FPyatt FMoore FShannon FBergeron DGilroy DBrewer DHedman DClark DKubina DGaron GSkille FMatthias FBergenheim FWeiss FFleischmann FVersteeg FSantorelli FSturm FKopecky FKennedy FRepik FDadonov FKulikov DWeaver DCampbell DGarrison DGudbranson DJovanovski DMarkstrom G
TBLFLAFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Eric BrewerTBL3025:450:521:5228
Jason GarrisonFLA2824:080:521:5051
Dmitry KulikovFLA3123:480:461:4653
Victor HedmanTBL2920:530:432:0517
Matt GilroyTBL2420:410:521:3831
Brian CampbellFLA2620:340:471:2851
Mike WeaverFLA2618:420:431:3034
Kris VersteegFLA2318:330:482:0281
Sean BergenheimFLA2318:300:481:2521
Tomas KopeckyFLA2617:560:411:4834
Stephen WeissFLA2117:520:511:3882
Brett ClarkTBL2517:390:421:1323
Marc-Andre BergeronTBL2117:110:491:3830
Steven StamkosTBL1917:100:541:5830
Martin St. LouisTBL1816:510:561:3842
Tomas FleischmannFLA2016:390:501:2660
Ed JovanovskiFLA2616:170:381:1611
Shawn MatthiasFLA2316:160:421:1432
Vincent LecavalierTBL1816:120:541:3943
Pavel KubinaTBL2615:550:371:0722
Dominic MooreTBL1715:410:551:2912
Jack SkilleFLA2215:410:431:1031
Teddy PurcellTBL1715:390:551:5521
Ryan MaloneTBL1714:530:531:5531
Tom PyattTBL1713:390:481:1211
Erik GudbransonFLA2313:280:351:0210
Marco SturmFLA2013:200:401:1323
Adam HallTBL1813:080:441:3805
Nate ThompsonTBL2112:410:361:1607
Brett ConnollyTBL1612:340:471:2512
Tim KennedyFLA1712:190:431:3222
Mike SantorelliFLA2212:180:341:1013
Ryan ShannonTBL1312:000:551:2110
Evgenii DadonovFLA1510:210:411:0921
Dana TyrellTBL129:280:471:2500
Michal RepikFLA139:200:431:0712