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Ice Lab

Sat, Dec 3, 2011·TD Garden, Boston

Toronto Maple Leafs 1, Boston Bruins 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 65% of the time.

BOS winsTOR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BOS forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Lupul–Kessel–BozakCrabb–Grabovski–KuleminConnolly–MacArthur–FrattinSteckel–Dupuis–ColborneCrabb–Frattin–ColborneSteckel–Dupuis–FrattinConnolly–MacArthur–ColborneConnolly–Crabb–ColborneConnolly–MacArthur–GrabovskiConnolly–Frattin–ColborneMacArthur–Grabovski–KuleminMacArthur–Grabovski–FrattinSchenn–GardinerLiles–FransonPhaneuf–GunnarssonPhaneuf–GardinerLiles–GardinerLiles–PhaneufGunnarsson–SchennLiles–SchennFranson–Gunnarsson
Horton–Krejci–Lucic8:100.48–0.280:420.00–0.020:300.00–0.001:540.15–0.000:300.12–0.004:410.26–0.140:550.01–0.003:300.29–0.001:580.02–0.171:150.15–0.000:390.00–0.00
Bergeron–Marchand–Seguin1:060.00–0.020:580.00–0.044:310.19–0.061:200.02–0.000:550.01–0.001:580.06–0.001:540.02–0.034:320.49–0.091:170.01–0.020:320.00–0.00
Kelly–Peverley–Pouliot0:380.01–0.003:500.31–0.031:210.00–0.000:490.00–0.002:260.25–0.003:010.00–0.060:570.04–0.000:520.13–0.00
Thornton–Campbell–Paille1:100.04–0.132:500.00–0.081:450.00–0.002:030.00–0.202:580.02–0.010:490.00–0.000:350.00–0.000:310.00–0.00
Kelly–Campbell–Pouliot0:320.00–0.000:320.00–0.01
Thornton–Paille–Peverley0:510.00–0.000:510.00–0.00
Corvo–Seidenberg0:470.00–0.004:170.09–0.161:270.03–0.032:080.06–0.070:380.00–0.160:350.00–0.074:450.07–0.203:270.04–0.061:310.26–0.031:070.00–0.020:320.00–0.230:420.04–0.00
Chara–Boychuk8:430.29–0.130:550.00–0.043:410.29–0.101:450.01–0.034:180.17–0.062:240.02–0.00
Ference–McQuaid4:040.19–0.001:410.00–0.011:350.00–0.000:340.00–0.000:320.05–0.002:540.05–0.023:380.02–0.032:330.19–0.000:320.00–0.000:350.00–0.00
Corvo–Ference1:450.24–0.000:470.32–0.021:450.24–0.00
Seidenberg–Boychuk0:510.00–0.000:300.00–0.000:320.00–0.001:100.00–0.00
Chara–Corvo0:320.00–0.000:460.00–0.000:320.00–0.000:390.00–0.00
Chara–McQuaid0:330.20–0.170:420.20–0.000:370.01–0.17
Seidenberg–McQuaid0:390.00–0.000:500.00–0.010:320.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndSeguin FBergeron FMarchand FKelly FPouliot FPeverley FLucic FKrejci FHorton FCampbell FPaille FThornton FFerence DMcQuaid DCorvo DSeidenberg DChara DBoychuk DRask GConnolly FMacArthur FFrattin FGrabovski FKulemin FCrabb FBozak FKessel FLupul FDupuis FSteckel FColborne FPhaneuf DGunnarsson DFranson DLiles DSchenn DGardiner DReimer G
BOSTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Jake GardinerTOR3026:040:522:4734
Dion PhaneufTOR2924:530:512:1943
Dennis SeidenbergBOS2722:090:491:4243
Johnny BoychukBOS2322:040:581:4844
Zdeno CharaBOS2420:590:521:5155
John-Michael LilesTOR3020:400:412:0272
Andrew FerenceBOS2219:090:521:4525
Joffrey LupulTOR2119:070:551:2842
Joe CorvoBOS2118:430:532:3112
Phil KesselTOR2218:280:501:1555
Luke SchennTOR2918:150:381:3946
Tyler BozakTOR2118:050:521:2854
Patrice BergeronBOS2417:230:431:2528
Tim ConnollyTOR2117:200:501:4560
David KrejciBOS2016:540:511:5432
Nathan HortonBOS1916:370:522:3131
Milan LucicBOS2016:270:492:2932
Brad MarchandBOS2116:160:461:2535
Clarke MacArthurTOR2116:130:461:2770
Carl GunnarssonTOR2516:010:381:3533
Adam McQuaidBOS2415:510:400:5843
Matt FrattinTOR1615:440:592:5532
Tyler SeguinBOS1915:330:491:2744
Mikhail GrabovskiTOR1915:250:491:3311
Rich PeverleyBOS1915:100:481:4444
Chris KellyBOS2014:400:441:3843
Cody FransonTOR2514:070:341:0242
Joe ColborneTOR1613:590:522:5531
Joey CrabbTOR1712:570:462:4121
Daniel PailleBOS1612:110:461:1913
Gregory CampbellBOS1511:470:471:2323
Nikolay KuleminTOR1710:520:381:1612
Benoit PouliotBOS1710:310:371:2342
Shawn ThorntonBOS129:360:481:1211
David SteckelTOR149:270:411:1916
Philippe DupuisTOR128:230:421:2515