Sat, Jan 7, 2012·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
Detroit Red Wings 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 67% of the time.
25%
59%
TOR winsDET wins
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 28:18 | 0.05 | 34.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 27:02 | 0.13 | 34.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 20:51 | 0.38 | 80.1% | +19.6 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 20:24 | 0.22 | 87.3% | +19.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 19:22 | 0.57 | 57.3% | +27.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 5 | 19:08 | 0.40 | 56.9% | +27.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 18:32 | 0.07 | 84.2% | +27.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 18:13 | 0.24 | 82.2% | +13.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 6 | 18:04 | 0.37 | 78.8% | +6.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:57 | 0.29 | 56.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16:39 | 0.34 | 39.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:31 | 0.15 | 37.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:28 | 0.04 | 67.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:18 | 0.05 | 38.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:35 | 0.06 | 59.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:13 | 0.04 | 49.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6:47 | 0.17 | 52.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:47 | 0.45 | 50.8% | 0.0 |
| L | 18 | 14 | 4 | .778 | 2.96 | −1.0 | 58:44 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 25:38 | 0.03 | 48.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23:56 | 0.02 | 58.3% | +11.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 21:53 | 0.10 | 34.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:35 | 0.00 | 58.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:56 | 0.00 | 13.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16:42 | 0.22 | 40.6% | +35.9 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 16:41 | 0.68 | 50.7% | +23.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:38 | 0.09 | 34.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:08 | 0.08 | 8.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:33 | 0.07 | 27.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:13 | 0.00 | 2.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:04 | 0.25 | 78.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:05 | 0.75 | 73.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:00 | 0.06 | 61.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:09 | 0.21 | 31.9% | +7.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:57 | 0.07 | 28.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:11 | 0.28 | 26.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:55 | 0.07 | 27.2% | 0.0 |
| W | 40 | 37 | 3 | .925 | 4.01 | +1.0 | 59:46 |