Sat, Feb 4, 2012·Scotiabank Place, Ottawa
Toronto Maple Leafs 5, Ottawa Senators 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 69% of the time.
23%
62%
OTT winsTOR wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
OTT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Lupul–Kessel–Bozak | MacArthur–Grabovski–Kulemin | Armstrong–Steckel–Brown | Connolly–Lombardi–Crabb | Phaneuf–Gunnarsson | Schenn–Gardiner | Liles–Franson | Phaneuf–Franson | Phaneuf–Gardiner | Gunnarsson–Gardiner | Liles–Schenn | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alfredsson–Foligno–Turris | 1:410.02–0.05 | 4:030.06–0.38 | 1:040.04–0.04 | 1:530.03–0.00 | 2:040.00–0.39 | 2:520.09–0.04 | |||||
| Spezza–Michalek–O'Brien | 1:500.11–0.04 | 1:190.12–0.01 | 1:270.23–0.19 | 0:430.00–0.17 | 3:270.37–0.01 | 1:150.09–0.17 | |||||
| Daugavins–Condra–Smith | 0:550.15–0.09 | 2:050.23–0.11 | 0:430.06–0.00 | 2:060.27–0.12 | |||||||
| Konopka–Daugavins–O'Brien | 0:590.00–0.01 | 0:510.01–0.00 | 0:520.02–0.03 | 1:240.01–0.03 | 1:160.01–0.00 | ||||||
| Neil–Greening–Foligno | 0:390.25–0.00 | 0:540.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:490.25–0.00 | 1:300.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Spezza–Michalek–Condra | 0:440.00–0.00 | 1:070.01–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 1:420.02–0.00 | |||||||
| Neil–Condra–Smith | 1:120.05–0.00 | 0:540.00–0.04 | 0:470.05–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.06 | |||||||
| Spezza–Michalek–Greening | 0:460.04–0.00 | 0:470.07–0.00 | 0:550.02–0.00 | 2:000.12–0.00 | |||||||
| Greening–Condra–Smith | 1:330.09–0.26 | 0:580.09–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.26 | ||||||||
| Neil–Greening–Smith | 0:520.00–0.05 | 0:590.00–0.03 | |||||||||
| Neil–Spezza–Michalek | 1:300.10–0.00 | 1:300.10–0.00 | |||||||||
| Alfredsson–Konopka–Turris | 0:360.00–0.06 | 0:380.00–0.02 | 1:030.00–0.07 | ||||||||
| Kuba–Karlsson | 2:370.34–0.05 | 7:140.13–0.42 | 1:100.07–0.01 | 3:430.04–0.07 | 4:390.19–0.01 | 4:590.35–0.44 | 3:390.04–0.04 | 0:310.00–0.00 | |||
| Gonchar–Phillips | 4:250.22–0.17 | 0:500.00–0.02 | 1:520.08–0.14 | 0:460.00–0.14 | 3:280.14–0.14 | 3:340.17–0.18 | 0:370.00–0.06 | ||||
| Carkner–Cowen | 0:420.00–0.05 | 3:200.10–0.04 | 1:300.06–0.07 | 2:530.10–0.04 | 1:010.17–0.09 | 1:560.01–0.03 | |||||
| Gonchar–Cowen | 2:440.17–0.34 | 1:040.21–0.09 | 0:350.01–0.00 | 0:380.01–0.00 | 0:580.21–0.09 | 2:170.01–0.28 | 0:300.03–0.00 | ||||
| Phillips–Carkner | 0:520.00–0.09 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:550.01–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 1:050.01–0.00 | ||||||
| Gonchar–Carkner | 0:520.00–0.04 | 0:320.08–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.04 |
Every shift, one row per player.
OTTTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Dion PhaneufTOR | 31 | 26:19 | 0:51 | 1:39 | 6 | 7 |
 Sergei GoncharOTT | 24 | 24:53 | 1:02 | 2:09 | 5 | 4 |
 Filip KubaOTT | 28 | 24:27 | 0:52 | 1:21 | 5 | 4 |
 Erik KarlssonOTT | 27 | 23:59 | 0:53 | 2:17 | 8 | 2 |
 Jake GardinerTOR | 29 | 22:30 | 0:47 | 1:25 | 4 | 2 |
 Carl GunnarssonTOR | 30 | 21:00 | 0:42 | 1:37 | 0 | 11 |
 Milan MichalekOTT | 25 | 18:44 | 0:45 | 1:37 | 5 | 2 |
 John-Michael LilesTOR | 23 | 18:43 | 0:49 | 1:25 | 5 | 1 |
 Jason SpezzaOTT | 24 | 18:10 | 0:45 | 1:24 | 5 | 2 |
 Phil KesselTOR | 21 | 17:59 | 0:51 | 1:38 | 5 | 4 |
 Jared CowenOTT | 23 | 17:54 | 0:47 | 2:13 | 4 | 6 |
 Tyler BozakTOR | 24 | 17:49 | 0:45 | 1:38 | 7 | 4 |
 Joffrey LupulTOR | 22 | 17:30 | 0:48 | 1:38 | 6 | 4 |
 Cody FransonTOR | 24 | 16:42 | 0:42 | 1:25 | 4 | 1 |
 Daniel AlfredssonOTT | 21 | 16:21 | 0:47 | 1:12 | 2 | 1 |
 David SteckelTOR | 21 | 15:59 | 0:46 | 1:37 | 2 | 7 |
 Chris PhillipsOTT | 20 | 15:55 | 0:48 | 1:54 | 4 | 4 |
 Joey CrabbTOR | 21 | 15:34 | 0:44 | 1:19 | 1 | 4 |
 Zack SmithOTT | 21 | 15:21 | 0:44 | 1:13 | 0 | 7 |
 Erik CondraOTT | 21 | 15:18 | 0:44 | 1:17 | 0 | 6 |
 Nick FolignoOTT | 19 | 15:02 | 0:47 | 1:31 | 2 | 1 |
 Kyle TurrisOTT | 20 | 14:55 | 0:45 | 1:25 | 2 | 0 |
 Luke SchennTOR | 24 | 14:54 | 0:37 | 1:20 | 2 | 1 |
 Mikhail GrabovskiTOR | 20 | 14:45 | 0:44 | 1:40 | 4 | 3 |
 Clarke MacArthurTOR | 19 | 13:41 | 0:43 | 1:25 | 4 | 3 |
 Chris NeilOTT | 16 | 13:15 | 0:50 | 1:31 | 5 | 3 |
 Colin GreeningOTT | 18 | 13:10 | 0:44 | 1:31 | 6 | 0 |
 Tim ConnollyTOR | 21 | 13:06 | 0:37 | 1:25 | 3 | 3 |
 Matt CarknerOTT | 16 | 12:52 | 0:48 | 1:16 | 4 | 2 |
 Nikolay KuleminTOR | 20 | 12:23 | 0:37 | 1:06 | 2 | 4 |
 Matthew LombardiTOR | 18 | 12:22 | 0:41 | 1:05 | 2 | 1 |
 Colby ArmstrongTOR | 15 | 11:51 | 0:47 | 1:37 | 2 | 4 |
 Zenon KonopkaOTT | 18 | 11:02 | 0:37 | 1:15 | 6 | 5 |
 Mike BrownTOR | 15 | 10:56 | 0:44 | 1:37 | 2 | 4 |
 Kaspars DaugavinsOTT | 19 | 10:38 | 0:34 | 1:12 | 3 | 7 |
 Jim O'BrienOTT | 14 | 10:18 | 0:44 | 1:37 | 6 | 1 |